A Few Flakes...
I personally didn't see any but flurries were reported in several towns today and there are a few snow showers skirting the South Coast this evening associated with some weak upper level energy and surface convergence.
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I personally didn't see any but flurries were reported in several towns today and there are a few snow showers skirting the South Coast this evening associated with some weak upper level energy and surface convergence.
Note to self...next time there are reports of thundersnow to your south UP THE AMOUNTS! We basically received a foot of snow in 6 hours...and in Hopkinton, between the hours of 3-4AM 5" fell...5"!!!!!!!
Extreme lift from mid level cut-off is moving in and heavy bands are surging north. Incredible obs in and around NYC this evening...from nothing to 1/4s+ with the flip of a switch.
Well, I was wrong...the warm advection precip did get to us...and because of it most towns have between 1-2" on the ground...and totals will once again have to go up to compensate for the snow on the front end.
I continue to see big bust potential with this storm and that has us very uneasy in this office right now. We think there will be a sharp cut-off of snow NW of Boston so we tapered our amounts pretty quickly and not gradually to the NW.
First off, thanks for being so patient...we had some in house meetings this evening which delayed this posting. So we are tracking three systems once again this week...
Up to this point we really haven't experienced true arctic air...that's about to change. Arctic air will be pouring in over the next few days with some of the coldest air in years.
Hey all...you know by now NAM has come in with much less QPF. This will likely lead to less snow so I've brought the low end down to 4" and kept the 8" up for now
At the beginning of the week Meteorologist Joe Joyce and I made a gentlemans bet for how much snow Boston would have by Friday evening...the over/under is 10"...I took the under he took the over.
Convergence at the surface is evident from the North Shore stretching back into the Merrimack Valley...Nashua and Manchester...this evening.
Well, considering how complicated cold air damming situations are I'm pretty happy with how everything is working out...although we were a little low on snow amounts
Some serious radiational cooling is taking place right now across the area...the temp in Norwood has gone from 17 to 5 in about 2 hours and this is common in many other suburbs.
Some serious radiational cooling is going on right now thanks to clear sky, light wind and the fresh snowpack. Lows by morning in the very sheltered locals will be subzero!
The official snow total from the storm at Logan turned out to be 14.7" this brings the seasonal total to 40.4"...2.6" shy of what we normally get for the entire season...
The National Weather Service has upgraded the Winter Storm Warning to a Blizzard Warning for all of Coastal Mass except Nantucket...the second Blizzard Warning in two weeks! Snowfall amounts should end up pretty similar to the December Blizzard in most spots, the wind
Here we go! Nor'easter 2011 is taking shape and now is nearly a lock for Wednesday.
Not sure if you recall some of the blogs from last week when we were saying that this storm seemed easier to call than the Norlun event last weekend...well it's true.
Barry talked about the many packets of energy swirling around an upper level vortex in his blog posting from earlier today...it really is incredible how complex the atmospheric set-up is.
These Norlun troughs can be amazing...I've seen several of them set-up on the Maine Coast when I worked up in Portland...15" in one town and a few towns away 2"...impossible, beautiful, incredible...almost every adjective applies when talking about a Norlun
I don't know what it is about recent Winter storms but they just seem be more and more difficult to forecast. This one is a bear...forecasting a Norlun trough is almost like forecasting where a squall line will form...very, very difficult.
Happy New Year everyone...all the best 2011! The week is starting off nice and quiet...not bad Winter weather expected tomorrow and Thursday. Clouds will be rolling in Thursday afternoon and sun will fade away not to be seen again until Sunday. In between is what's interesting though...
We just received a foot and a half of snow and already significant melting has occurred on the sunny side of streets and a little on the shady ones too.
A 980mb low is centered almost due south of Montauk, LI right now and is still bombing out. In fact, this low will continue to strengthen through the 8AM tomorrow morning, down to 970ish as it swings through our coastal waters.
Well this was an interesting day for us model huggers! I feel bad for Joe and the morning mets who went with the blockbuster scenario the NAM and GFS were depicting using tainted data...no fair!
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