Rain Ahead, Warm to Wednesday
Lets not forget that before you go to bed tonight to set your clocks back to standard time. Then get your extra hour of sleep, always a good thing to get in our rush-rush heavily caffeinated world.
Rain is in the forecast starting late tonight. We are expecting these mild temperatures and high humidity (both statements relative to the time of year) to produce a low deck of clouds and some drizzle. It might continue into the morning tomorrow for a while before the clouds break away.
Highs tomorrow will get into the mid-70's. The daytime heating will help produce some isolated thunderstorms, most of this activity will be in the western third of our viewing area from Brownwood up to Bowie. Coverage will only be around 30%, only 20% along the I-35 corridor including the metroplex and the Texas Speedway. The risk of severe weather is also mostly west. Winds will be rather steady out of the south/southeast tomorrow at 15-20 mph. Afternoon rain amount estimates on the left, storm risk on the right:
Rain chances continue on Monday as does the mild weather. We'll have highs in the mid-70's Monday and include a 40% storm chance. There is a chance of some severe weather in the afternoon. Again, look at the placement of both afternoon rain chances and storms chances:
One Tuesday the frontal boundary that has been sitting out to our west for two days finally moves through as a cold front. Strong winds from the southwest will shift to the northwest during the afternoon in the metro area. This will give us our best chance of rain and storms for all of north Texas, be are putting the rain chances at a full 80% coverage, rather high for three days out. There is good chance that the Tuesday morning commute will be a wet one. Again compare the rain placement and storm risk:
When the front comes through we'll have another shot of cool fall weather. Winds will be rather strong in the morning on Wednesday before they slacken some in the afternoon. Highs will likely only get into the low 60's depending on the cloud cover. It'll only be in the mid-60's on Thursday as well before warming on a south wind Friday and Saturday. Right now both of those days are looking marvelous with highs in the low 70's.
