Warming up for the Weekend.
ANOTHER CHILLY NIGHT…
Temperatures this Thursday morning dropped into the 30s for everybody and a few locations fell below freezing. Here is a map of the lows this morning from the metroplex.
TONIGHT will be on the chilly side with temperatures dropping into the upper 30s in Dallas/Fort Worth. I don't think we will see anyone drop below freezing tonight as a light SouthEast wind will develop toward daybreak. That southeast wind will increase tomorrow.
WINDY AND TURNING WARMER AS WE ENTER THE WEEKEND…
Winds on FRIDAY will increase out of the southeast 15 to 25 mph. This will allow temperatures to warm into the upper 60s Friday afternoon. It will be a cool evening for High School Football playoff games because of the wind, but actually air temperatures will stay in the 60s Friday evening.
WEEKEND…
Strong south winds will blow on Saturday with temperatures warming into the upper 70s. There will be move cloud cover on Saturday and Sunday. We could even squeeze out a few showers on either day, but rain chances look pretty low.
WEAK COLD FRONT will stall along the Red River Sunday evening and there will be the possibility of storms developing along that front Sunday night into Monday morning.
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURABANCE will arrive Monday into Tuesday and push a cold front thru the area on Tuesday. It appears that decent rain chances will be possible Monday night into Tuesday. The timing of the rain will have to be adjusted as we near that time frame. But at this point, it looks like decent rain coverage Monday night into Tuesday. Temperatures will be dropping into the 60s behind this front on Tuesday and Wednesday.
THANKSGIVING AND THE WEEKEND…
Thanksgiving will be breezy with temperatures in the 60s. Another storm system will approach the area Friday into Saturday. The timing of this system and the subsequent cold front has varied from model run to model run. But it looks like a strong cold front will arrive on either Friday or Saturday after Thanksgiving. There could be some rain with this front, but a very cold shot of air will arrive for the weekend after Thanksgiving. Temperatures may drop well below freezing Sunday morning with highs in the 40s on the Sunday after Thanksgiving.
FIRST SNOW???
I really hate to speculate this far into the future, but the latest model run of the GFS has the potential for snow in the forecast on and around Dec. 1. That far in the future it really is like speculating on who will win the Republican Presidential Nomination 12 months in advance. But the model is at least hinting at the possibility of a cold snap that could lead to snow if the timing of the upper level disturbances were just right. I'll throw it out there into the universe to see if it actually holds true for the first day of December. Below is the GFS Map for Thursday, Dec. 1 at 6am. The green and blues represent precipitation. But look at the dark blue hashed-line. That is the thickness of the atmosphere from 1000mb to 500mb. Basically the smaller the thickness the cooler the air mass. We look at the dark blue hashed-line as a place where temperatures are below freezing. So if the precip were to still be around as that colder air arrives, we could see winter precipitation the morning of Dec. 1. Again a long way off, so don't read too much into it. But fun to think about anyway. Okay, maybe not "fun".
