Staying Hot and Muggy with Just Isolated Rain Chances for North Texas
RAIN CHANCES REMAINING SOUTH NEXT FEW DAYS…
A stationary front is draped from about Shreveport to Palestine to Waco. That front is the focus of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Here is a look at the front and temperatures as of 3pm on Wednesday.
Dallas/Fort Worth is north of this front, thus the lack of rain coverage here. There will be a few very isolated showers still possible this evening and overnight in the metro area but coverage will be less than 10%.
TOMORROW…
That front remains south of DFW which means more scattered showers and thunderstorms for areas well south and east of DFW. There could be a stray shower or storm pop up near the metro area, but rain chances will be less than 10% here in Dallas/Fort Worth.
FRIDAY…
Mostly sunny, hot and muggy. High of 96. Still can't rule out a pop up shower or storm but most areas will stay dry.
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVEMENT FOR THIS WEEKEND…
The upper level disturbance that has helped trigger showers and thunderstorms the past few days as seen in the map below, is slowly moving to the east.
But part of this upper level disturbance will move back into Texas from the east this weekend. The models do not do a very good job of handling it's placement this weekend. The European holds it off until Monday while the GFS arrives it on Sunday.
Here is the GFS position of the disturbance by Sunday at 7pm.
The position of the upper level disturbance will impact rain coverage this weekend. Right now I am going to put 20% coverage for afternoon showers and thunderstorms on Saturday, Sunday and Monday, with the note that is looks like Sunday will have the greatest likelihood of better coverage. It will remain hot and muggy with temperatures in the mid 90s. But no 100s in the forecast!
