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A Little Winter Weather Ahead

The sun left us on Thursday.

We have a wintry mix in store for us on Monday with a brutal cold wind and temperatures in the 30's. The last time we saw the sun was on Thursday. We don't expect to see it again until late Tuesday.

Temperatures Saturday afternoon are in the 60s. We won't return to temperatures that warm again for almost two weeks. Yes, December has descended upon us and has us in its chilly grips. There is much to talk about in the forecast but I'm going to keep to short so you can start planning around the weather coming in.

Below is the forecast for the Dallas-Fort Worth Area. The risk of icing and sleet by Monday morning and through the day should be just west and north of the metro area in a Weatherford to Gainesville line and west.

TONIGHT AND OVERNIGHT

Rain moving in from the west. sometimes heavy with some thunderstorms. Chance is 100 percent. Temperatures dropping through the 50's to the mid-40s by daybreak. Winds turn to the northwest as a cold front comes through.

COLD RAIN ON SUNDAY AND THE MARATHON

Temperatures dropping to low 40s and holding, winds N 10-15 mph. Rain, sometimes heavy. Chance is 90 percent. A few storms are possible, nothing severe.

SUNDAY NIGHT

Steady rain, temperatures barely dropping to the upper 30s. Winds N 15-25mph.

WINTER WEATHER ON MONDAY/ MONDAY NIGHT

Windy with temperatures reaching into the low 40s mid-day, then dropping to the upper 30s by end of day. Winds north 15-25mph. Morning rain turning to rain/sleet by afternoon. Ending as sleet/snow by early evening before tapering off. A few bursts of flurries of tiny snowflakes possible in the evening and late night with NO accumulation.

TUESDAY

Cloudy start with lows just below freezing. Winds N 15-20mph with wind chills in the teens early. Some clearing by afternoon with highs staying in the 30's for the first time since mid-February. Wind chills in the 20's through the afternoon.

WEDNESDAY

Low down in the mid-20's, our coldest morning so far this season, winds N-10mph with wind chills again down in the teens. Sunny with highs climbing to the mid-40s.

REST OF THE WORK WEEK

Highs on Thursday in the 50s after a morning low in the upper 20s. Highs on Friday only in the upper 40s, in the low 50s on Saturday with clouds coming in. A chance of a cold rain on Sunday.

SOME CRUCIAL POINTS

  1. There will be some much-needed heavy rain coming in tonight and then cranking back up on Sunday afternoon into the  early morning hours on Monday. Two inch amounts are possible in the metro area with the heaviest rain just east.
  2. It will be a very raw day on Monday with north winds 15-25 mph and a driving rain. Temperatures will be in the upper 30s by afternoon. Sleet will be falling by afternoon. Roads will be slick from the sleet by end of day for the Monday evening commute. Slick but not ice.
  3. Bridges and overpasses could have icy patches on Tuesday morning. It depends on quick the precip. ends in the early morning hours. Temperatures inside the metro will get just below freezing so road crews will be out (again depending on when the wintry mix comes to an end).
  4. Wednesday morning will be the coldest morning we've had since February, down in the mid-20s in the metro and down into the upper teen's in the Red River Valley.

It appears that accumulating snow will stay west of Wichita Falls. That is also where the highest risk of freezing rain exists. Oklahoma will get both to our north. In Stillwater  for the Bedlam Football Game there is a 40% rain chance with temperatures dropping through the game from the 50's down to the low 40's as the front comes through. Winds turn to the north at 20mph.

FINAL POINT

Storm tracking and the pace of the cold air coming in overnight Monday are crucial to the forecast. Please keep yourself updated as tweaks to this forecast are likely.

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