Severe Weather Today

We've had several rounds of severe thunderstorms since the early morning hours. It has calmed down some here approaching the noon hour but the severe threat returns later this afternoon.

There is a large temperature contrast along a front over our southeast corner: currently its is 82° in Palestine while it is in the low 50's over Fort Worth. This sharp gradient will help develop a strong overrunning of gulf moisture into this cooler air.

Along the front and in the warmer air strong cells will likely develop that can produce large hail and damaging winds. While the tornado risk is not zero it will be low. The Storm Prediction Center puts hail as the largest risk factor this afternoon and evening from Hillsboro over to S.Springs.

We'll await for the daytime heating to fire up storms along the front later today. Yesterday the storms started to quickly fire up around 5pm - 6pm.

Meanwhile in the cooler air parked over the metroplex I expect some heavy rain to fall. Hail is possible with these storms as well but the size and risk is smaller.

The heavy rain threat continues tonight and into Monday. Urban flooding could become an issue with this storms start to train over the same areas. The forecast is for some huge rains over Arkansas (7.5"!) over the next 48 hours; some of that 2"-4" total rainfall (in the reds) is forecasted for our northern tier counties.

Highs today will stay in the 50's over DFW, we'll come close to tying a record for lowest maximum temperature for this day (the record is 55° back in 1916). While overnight lows will be in the 40's tonight and Monday night they likely won't be record lows though get within a few degrees of the record.
I think we'll certainly break a record for lowest daily maximum on Monday, the high is forecast to only be around 55°, the record is 57°.