Quick Storm Update

The Storm Prediction Center has issued a mesoscale discussion for the storms expected later this afternoon and tonight. Most of the short-range modeling shows storms developing to our north in Oklahoma and moving down in the southeast flow. Development is likely to start in the next couple of hours. Storms should be in north Texas after nightfall, the favored areas continue to be just to the northeast of the metroplex.

We continue to increase storms chances at the ballpark tonight as the game wears on, peaking at around 30% by 10pm. There is a risk of severe weather in the form of damaging hail. The risk is higher to the north and northeast of Arlington. Below you can see one of the short-range convective models, the HRRR. It shows a MCS developing north along the Red River, this image is for 11pm. The upper pattern would have this complex of storms diving down into north Texas overnight bringing a threat of severe weather.