Hot, Yes, But At Least Some Rain Chances
The high today reached 96 degrees. This ties for the hottest day of the year so far with another day just like it possible tomorrow and Monday.
Welcome to June. This time of year the typical high should be only in the 80's, weather we enjoyed yesterday and the day before. Coming out of the warmest Spring on record it's no surprise that hot days have returned after just a couple of days of relief.
Last summer was the hottest summer on record (by average temperature; we were plagued by warm nights) and 2011 the worst one-year droughts on record for the state of Texas. It is understandable that we are all a little sensitive to idea of a repeat performance. What has been different this year so far is the surplus rains. Despite the dry end to May the official record site of DFW Airport still shows a positive number compared to average (as of today: +3.15").
The forecast for the next five days continues to show small storm chances. We again are at the mercy of storm activity both to our north and west. Strong storms last night in central Oklahoma produced an outflow boundary that moved over us during the day. It did not trigger any storms around here but these boundary lines are sometimes all it takes to get some going when you have temperatures in the mid-90's and dewpoints in the 60's.
There is small chance that storms out to our west might produce an outflow boundary that'll trigger some storms by tomorrow morning or afternoon. This happens again on Monday.
An actually front gets here on Monday night or Tuesday. This increases our storms chances to around 30% , the cloud cover should keep us in the low 90's.
On Wednesday and Thursday the remnants of this front and nearby storms might be enough to also get some storms going. We'll keep the chance limited to 20% but again, this isn't "drought" weather. Highs should be kept in check because of the clouds and storm chances; highs could even get stuck in the upper 80's if a few storms linger across the afternoon in the metro area.
