Forecast Discussion for Monday, May 9
STORMS IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS…
Another hot and humid day in North Texas. Eventually, this humidity will be broken with showers and thunderstorms. But it looks like that is still two days away.
The dryline has once again set up to our west. It is still west of Breckenridge and Abilene. There could be a few storms way out there this evening, but those will not make it to the metroplex tonight. So it will be a warm and breezy night with temperatures in the mid 70s.
TUESDAY…
The dryline will move a little closer to Dallas/Fort Worth tomorrow afternoon likely ending up near Mineral Wells to Bowie. Storms will develop along that dryline Tuesday afternoon. This storms will be severe with large hail and damaging winds being the main threat. These storms have the chance to hold together and move into the Metroplex between 8pm and Midnight on Tuesday. Once the sun goes down, these storms will be in a weakening stage. But they still could be strong if they hold together and make it here. Areas along and west of I-35W are in the slight risk for severe weather tomorrow.
WEDNESDAY…
Much better coverage on the thunderstorms are expected with severe weather likely. A strong upper level disturbance will swing over Texas and Oklahoma and help push the dryline farther east. This will trigger showers and thunderstorms starting by mid afternoon around the area. Numerous showers and thunderstorms will be with us during the afternoon and evening on Wednesday with storms continuing thru the early overnight hours Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Large hail and damaging winds the main threat, but there will also be a tornado threat for us on Wednesday. All of North Texas is in the slight risk for severe weather on Wednesday. We do have Rangers Weather Day on Wednesday with the on-field presentation starting at 10am. We should have dry weather in the morning, but for the game which starts at 1pm, there could be storms that disrupt the later part of the game.
THURSDAY…
A cold front will move into the area and likely stall just south and east of Dallas. Storms will be possible on Thursday, but coverage should be much lower than on Wednesday. Some of the models move that front far enough south to prevent any storms here in our area. I will keep a 20% chance of storms in the forecast for mainly our southeastern counties Thursday.
FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND…
Less humid weather is expected for Friday and the weekend. We will have to watch Saturday for a chance of storms, but otherwise it should be dry and pleasant with lows in the 60s and highs in the low to mid 80s.
