Cinco De Mayo Weekend Storm Chances
- Heat & humidity continue until Sunday. Highs near 90.
- Isolated storms west of Metroplex today and Saturday.
- Isolated storms most of North Texas Sunday evening.
- Cold front Monday sets stage for cooler weather.
FRIDAY: Storms Staying West – 20 percent chances
Storms have been firing to our west along the dry line since early this morning. Upper level energy is streaming over the area and will continue to do so throughout the day. As temperatures heat up today, this will help enhance lift in the atmosphere and bring about a better chance for the spotty storms to become severe with large hail and damaging winds being the likely issues. The storms will drift east, but die out before making into Metroplex. The Storm Prediction Center has western portions of North Texas under a Slight Risk for severe storms.
SATURDAY: Storms West & Metro – 10 percent chances
Heat of the day storms are again possible along the dry line with a few of them holding together long enough to make it into the Metroplex. However, tomorrow's weather equation is not the same because there will be a lack of a strong upper level disturbance pushing over the dry line. The Storm Prediction Center does not have North Texas under a risk for severe storms Saturday.
SUNDAY: Storms Possible All of North Texas – 30 percent chances
The Storm Prediction Center also does not have North Texas under a risk for severe storms Sunday. But, the chance to see storms over a larger portion of North Texas exists Sunday evening and overnight because of three factors. First, the dry line pushes into western half of North Texas. Second, another upper level disturbance will move in over the dry line. Third, the cold front will be approaching during the overnight hours and will arrive during the morning Monday.
MONDAY: Morning Storms & Showers – 40 percent chances
The cold front will be near the Metroplex during the morning commute. The overnight hours will have been active, but showers and storms will have begun to shift east and south of the Metroplex. It does not appear that severe storms will be likely. Showers and storms are still possible into the early afternoon as the cold front slowly migrates southeastward, but the chances will drop throughout the day.
