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Phillies were shut down in Game 6 of NLCS. Here's what history says will happen in Game 7

Phillies fans remain hopeful for Game 7 against Diamondbacks
Phillies fans remain hopeful for Game 7 against Diamondbacks 02:35

PHILADELPHIA (CBS) -- There's no getting around it: Monday night was a stinker for the Phillies.

After jumping out with a 2-0 lead in their best-of-seven National League Championship Series matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks, the Phils fell, 5-1, in Game 6 and now face a win-or-go-home Game 7 on Tuesday night.

The Phillies are far from the first team in baseball history to have their bats go silent in such a critical game. In fact, according to Sports Reference's Stathead tool, 25 teams have entered Game 6 of a League Championship Series or World Series up three games to two, then lost that game scoring one or fewer runs.

Like the Phils, all of those teams had one more game to play the next night. Historically, however, those Game 7s have not gone well. Teams that scored one or fewer runs in a Game 6 are collectively 10-15 in Game 7. 

What should really worry Phillies fans is that the offensive rust of Game 6 tends to carry over to Game 7. In 25 Game 7s, the teams have averaged just 2.6 runs.

It's not just that these were bad offenses, either. The teams averaged 4.3 runs over the first five games of their series prior to their Game 6 power outages.

The Phillies were a tick above that at 5.4 runs per game in this NLCS prior to last night. Fans will be hoping that's the team that shows up to Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday night.

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