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UN weather agency predicts rare "triple-dip" La Niña in 2022 — the first time this century

La Nina and climate change both factors in deadly tornadoes
La Nina and climate change both factors in deadly tornadoes 01:37

The U.N. weather agency is predicting that the phenomenon known as La Niña is poised to last through the end of this year, a mysterious "triple dip" — the first this century — marked by three straight years of its effect on climate patterns like drought and flooding worldwide.

The World Meteorological Organization on Wednesday said La Niña conditions, which involve a large-scale cooling of ocean surface temperatures, have strengthened in the eastern and central equatorial Pacific with an increase in trade winds in recent weeks.

The agency's top official was quick to caution that while La Niña is a cooling event, the "triple dip" doesn't mean global warming is easing.

"It is exceptional to have three consecutive years with a La Niña event. Its cooling influence is temporarily slowing the rise in global temperatures, but it will not halt or reverse the long-term warming trend," WMO Secretary-General Petteri Taalas said.

La Niña is a natural and cyclical cooling of parts of the equatorial Pacific that changes weather patterns worldwide, as opposed to warming caused by the better-known El Niño — an opposite phenomenon. La Niña often leads to more Atlantic hurricanes, less rain and more wildfires in the western United States, and agricultural losses in the central U.S.

A diagram of the likely impact of La Niña.  National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association

Studies have shown La Niña is more expensive to the United States than El Niño.

Together El Niño, La Niña and the neutral condition are called ENSO, which stands for El Niño Southern Oscillation, and they have one of the largest natural effects on climate, at times augmenting and other times dampening the big effects of human-caused climate change from the burning of coal, oil and gas, scientists say.

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