As powerhouse Hurricane Matthew continues on its slow but steady track across the Caribbean toward, Jamaica and Cuba, experts caution that the storm’s impact could be devastating.
The 13th named storm of the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season is also the strongest storm since Hurricane Felix in 2007. Matthew briefly reached Category 5 hurricane status — with winds exceeding 157 mph — on Oct. 1, NASA reported. Matthew dropped to Category 4 strength soon after, with maximum sustained winds calculated at a still-dizzying 140 mph on Oct. 3. And high-speed winds are only part of the threat that the storm poses to Haiti, with storm surges and “life-threatening rain” also anticipated, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Florida. [Hurricanes from Above: Images of Nature’s Biggest Storms]
The NHC describes Category 4 storms as producing “catastrophic damage” -- snapping and uprooting trees, severely damaging even well-built homes, causing sustained power outages, and rendering much of the area in the hurricane’s path uninhabitable, perhaps for months.
So what’s making Matthew such a beast, and what needs to happen for hurricanes to reach this level of intensity?
The perfect storm
Storms as strong as Matthew are rare in the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico, and for hurricanes to build up to Matthew’s current intensity, several conditions must be met, according to Chris Lancey, a science and operations officer at the NHC.
Lancey told Live Science that there are several key “ingredients” in the recipe for a powerful hurricane. The first requirement is warm ocean water — “the warmer the better,” Lancey said. And it can’t just be a shallow layer at the ocean surface, he added. Warm water provides the energy that fuels a growing tropical storm — the higher the water temperature and the more warm water there is, the more energy the storm has to tap into, and the faster its winds can blow.
Another important factor that fuels hurricane strength is an abundance of moist air. While hurricanes form in the tropics — where moist air is generally abundant — dry air originating over Africa and western Europe frequently finds its way into hurricanes and weakens them, Lancey explained.
“If dry air is sucked into a hurricane, it disrupts the thunderstorm activity and causes them to stutter,” he said.
The final variables that can make or break a hurricane are wind shear — rapid changes in wind speed or direction at certain atmospheric heights — and whether it hits land. In both cases, the hurricane’s structure is disrupted, which weakens it. For a hurricane to reach Category 4 or Category 5 strength, all of these variables must come together at the same time — and that simply doesn’t happen very often, Lancey told Live Science.
However, much of the damage Matthew is expected to inflict on Haiti, in particular, will not be due to the high wind speeds, but rather a staggering amount of rainfall, with forecasts predicting 15 to 25 inches over the next few days.
“In Haiti, the biggest factor for loss of life is flash floods and mudslides,” Lancey said. “Portions of Haiti are very deforested, which makes flooding worse. A lot of people are living in river valleys that fill up with water; there could be a lot of people hurt or killed when Hurricane Matthew comes through there.”
After Haiti, the storm is expected to continue toward eastern Cuba and reach southeastern parts of the Bahamas on Oct. 5.
Original article on Live Science.