Watch CBS News

How Costs Destroy Your Returns

William Sharpe once demonstrated why, when grouped together, active managers must underperform passive managers. The simple explanation is that the incremental costs of active management create an insurmountable hurdle. Now, there's similar evidence showing that active funds may lag passive funds even when they appear to show outperformance.

There's an overwhelming body of evidence demonstrating that efforts to generate alpha are highly unlikely to prove productive after costs, such as fund operating expenses, trading costs, incentive fees and taxes. (My next book, The Quest for Alpha, due out in February, presents a summary of the evidence on the efforts to generate alpha.)

The bottom line is that the evidence for the active management faithful is downright ugly, but truthfully, all you have to do is look at costs.

Mark Kritzman of Windham Capital Management provided the following hypothetical breakdown of the before and after returns of an index fund, a mutual fund and a hedge fund. Here are the assumptions:

  • Your tax burden is similar to that of Massachusetts.
  • You're in the 35 percent federal tax bracket.
  • Your investment options and relevant assumptions are broken down in the following table, with each asset investing in the same asset class without leverage.

Index Fund

Mutual Fund

Hedge Fund

Expected gross return

10.00%

13.50%

19.00%

Dividend yield

1.50%

1.50%

0.00%

Standard deviation

16.00%

16.00%

16.00%

Turnover

4.00%

95.00%

200.00%

Transaction Cost

0.40%

0.40%

0.40%

Long-term gain

20.00%

20.00%

20.00%

Short-term gain

47.00%

47.00%

47.00%

Qualified dividend

20.00%

20.00%

20.00%

Management fee

0.07%

1.40%

2.00%

Performance fee

0.00%

0.00%

20.00%

Kritzman then assumed you have a 10-year investment horizon and plan to liquidate these funds at the conclusion of your horizon. Which fund should you prefer?

Index Fund

Mutual Fund

Hedge Fund

Return gross of all expenses

10.00%

13.50%

19.00%

Transaction costs

0.02%

0.38%

0.80%

Taxes

1.64%

3.90%

5.42%

Management fee

0.07%

1.40%

2.00%

Performance fee

0.00%

0.00%

3.17%

Total expenses

1.73%

5.68%

11.39%

Return net of all expenses

8.27%

7.82%

7.61%

Despite generating pre-expense alphas of 3.5 percent and 9 percent, respectively, the actively managed funds produced lower net returns than the index fund. To break even with the index fund, the actively managed mutual fund would have had to produce an annualized alpha of 4 percent over 10 years and 4.3 percent over 20 years. For a hedge fund, the breakeven alphas equal 10 percent for 10 years and 11 percent for 20 years.

The analysis by Kritzman demonstrates both how high a hurdle actively managed funds have and why there's so little evidence of persistent outperformance. It also shows the wisdom of John Bogle who stated: "The realistic epitome of investment success is to realize the highest possible portion of the market returns earned in the financial asset class in which you invest-the stock market, the bond market, or the money market-recognizing and accepting that that portion will be less than 100 percent."

As Kritzman observed: "It is very hard, if not impossible, to justify active management if your goal is to grow wealth. If, instead, you view active management as a source of entertainment, you may wish to consider less costly ways to amuse yourself." My own advice is that if you need the stock market to provide entertainment, it's time to get another life.

More on MoneyWatch:
The Costs of Active Management Why a High-Dividend Stock Strategy Isn't a Good Approach Hedge Fund Update for November Have You Been Misled by Returns Information? The Smartest Things Ever Said About Market Forecasting
Hear Larry Swedroe discuss current investment trends and topics every Sunday at noon on 550 AM KTRS in St. Louis or streaming via the KTRS Web site. Can't catch the show? Download the podcast via www.investmentadvisornow.com or through the Buckingham Asset Management podcast page on iTunes.

View CBS News In
CBS News App Open
Chrome Safari Continue