NHC tracks 3 Atlantic systems as South Florida watches for potential development
The NEXT Weather Team will continue to track three areas being monitored for possible development from the National Hurricane Center.
The first system, a tropical wave located roughly halfway between the African coast and the Lesser Antilles, has a 20% chance of development through seven days. The wave is moving quickly westward but is forecast to encounter increasing wind shear later this week as the system approaches the Lesser Antilles will likely limit its development potential.
The more significant development Sunday involved a second system south of the Cabo Verde Islands, where a small area of low pressure has already formed. The NHC raised the seven-day formation probability to 50%, up from 40% Saturday evening. The system is forecast to merge with an approaching tropical wave within the next two days, with environmental conditions expected to become more conducive for development by midweek.
A third area, a trough of low pressure located several hundred miles west-northwest of Bermuda, is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. The system has a 10% chance of development through seven days as it moves quickly eastward well north of Bermuda. It is expected to reach cooler waters later this week, ending any development chances after Wednesday.
Saharan dust lingering over the northeastern Caribbean through Monday will gradually erode as moisture returns Tuesday ahead of an approaching tropical wave.
None of the systems pose an immediate threat to land areas but we will continue to monitor these for any potential development and shifts in the forecast track.
We'll be dealing with the same hot and humid cycle each day for the next week.



