Storms Stay In Forecast

We had record rainfall at DFW today, 2.22" of rain reported making this already an April with above normal rainfall (so far this month 3.65" of rain, the 30-year normal is 3.07").

Strong storms over the metro area created localized flooding in the Arlington and Irving area. These storms became severe when they reached the Anderson and Henderson County line. Hail up to 2" in diameter was reported in the NE corner of Anderson County, one report was of 4" hail. By 6pm the rain had cleared the metro area. By 6:45p there were no more warnings.

 OVERNIGHT

A cluster of cells is hanging along an outflow boundary and stalled front from Waco west into Hamilton county. These storms could slowly move north with a warm front and reach into our southern counties and into the metro area by the morning commute.  Cloudy skies will be over the metro area tonight with temperatures holding in the upper 60's with a wind turning to the southeast.

 MONDAY

Morning rain and storms  start the day, then it'll warm up to around 80 degrees as skies break some. Aloft there is the notorious NW flow; this will likely produce a cluster of storms to our west and northwest. I believe these storms will move into our northern half by evening. There is a risk of severe weather with this round of weather.  Below you can see how the Storm Predication Center puts the higher risk in western Oklahoma. The ones that develop there could slid into the metroplex and areas north late in the night riding in on that NW flow:

TUESDAY

The very same thing could happen on Tuesday with severe weather forming over the panhandle and moving toward the metro by evening riding just ahead of a cold front that'll be just to our north. There will be a slight risk of severe weather with these storms.

WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY

We expect to have enough warm and unstable air in place to produce afternoon storms both days. The chances will stay around 20-30% with afternoon highs in the low 80's and a brisk south wind.

All this rain is going to add up to another banner week. Below is the 5-day total prediction show more than 3" of rain falling along the Red River:

NEXT WEEKEND

The set-up is still looking like another severe weather chance showing up by Saturday or Sunday. There is a dryline and cold front to our west that will move toward us, it should provide enough lift to create a line of strong storms. We'll keep you posted as we draw closer.