Some Hot September Weather Ahead
- DRY WEATHER CONTINUES
- SOME VERY HOT SEPTEMBER DAYS THIS WEEK
- NO TROPICAL RELIEF
Just about perfect weather today with our blue skies and low 90's and 14% humidity. Fortunately we don't have much wind today or we'd be at high risk of wild fires. We are going to have that risk every day, drought conditions being what they are. We expect the same kind of day tomorrow, highs will be slightly higher, in the mid-90's but mostly sunny and low humidity, some north wind in the afternoon (10-15mph).
The Three Day Forecast:
- Sunday: Mostly Sunny, 94, winds N 5-15
- Monday: Mostly Sunny, 98, winds SE 5-10
- Tuesday: Mostly Sunny, 102 winds SW 10-20 (Fire Danger Possible)
WOW THAT DROUGHT
Dry weather is in the forecast for the upcoming week. There will be small chances of rain along the Red River counties on Thursday and Friday when a cold front stalls to the north of the metro area. No help from the tropics so far, its was this week last year we received the tropical downpours of Hermine. Since then DFW has recorded only 14 days where it rains ¾" of rain or more. That two weeks of a good soaking rain spread over 365 days. The state of Texas has never recorded such a sharp drought; as it stands today 99% of the state is in a drought category with 83% in EXCEPTIONAL drought.
WOW THAT HEAT
On Monday highs will reach into the upper 90's. Air quality is an issue; we have air pollution watch level orange tomorrow in fact. On Tuesday we are forecasting a high of 102°, this will be the hottest September day in six years (in the last ten years DFW has only recorded five [5] days with triple-digit highs in September). Another 100° day is on tap for Wednesday unless the cold front gets close enough to keep our skies overcast. Two more hundred-degree days means a major temperature record will fall. That will mean that DFW has logged more 100 degree days in this year than any year ever recorded. We will ties the 1980 mark of 69 days on Tuesday, break in on Wednesday.
TROPIC UPDATES
Tropical Storm Nate is going to come on shore tomorrow in southern Mexico 400 miles south of Brownsville. There is only one computer model that brings some of that moisture into Texas next week after the storm gets across Mexico and reforms in the Baja of Mexico. This seems unlikely at this time. Tropical Storm Maria looks to stay well off the eastern shore of the United States as it turns northwest during the week.
Very little rain ahead, this is the HPC's five day forecast of all the rain they expect from now until Friday. Notice how dry Texas remains. I'm just a little more optimistic than this, I believe the stationary front hanging over the northern counties will bring at least some afternoon showers.
