Warm Start to Week Ahead

It has been a remarkable run of very not-like-winter days since last Thursday. It continues into the start of the new month before we return to winter temperatures again:

Warm and breezy weather is again the weather story of the day. A fine Sunday in progress for us. The strongest winds will occur mid-day before turning northwest and diminishing some.

The transition back to the cold starts Monday night as a cold front swings through. Fortunately this happens in the middle of the night when the atmosphere dynamics are not as strong. It appears like the storm risk will be well east of the Metroplex overnight into Tuesday morning. The worst of the severe weather will occur during the day on Tuesday:

This storm system will also produce a swath of heavy snow across the Midwest. It looks like it hits Iowa the day AFTER the caucus:

January ends like the month has run, dry and warm. Typically in an El Nino winter its cool and wet. That is what the forecast for February looks like:

Below normal temperatures does not mean COLD temperatures. Just look how the coldest air this winter compares with the coldest air of the last two winters. The coldest night we've had is only 27° at DFW. That's happened twice but that is barely a hard freeze:

We'll have at least one freeze if not two in the first week of February. Then we start to warm-up again just in time of the weekend: