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The Latest On Net Internal Migration

Two months ago, I blogged on net internal migration--the number of nonimmigrants moving into or out of major counties from 2000 to 2005.

Last week, the Census Bureau published its figures for 2006, so I can update the numbers. I've listed first the counties with net positive in-migration, with the totals first for 2000-06 and then for 2005-06. You can see from the latter figures where in-migration is accelerating and decelerating. I've indicated the largest city in each county and the larger metropolitan area of which it is a part. I've also found that I excluded one county from my earlier post (Fort Bend, Texas), which I should have included.

County Biggest CityMetro Area2000-062005-06
Riverside, Calif.RiversideLos Angeles345,46553,427
Maricopa, Ariz.PhoenixPhoenix327,29267,423
Clark, Nev.Las VegasLas Vegas259,53740,425
Collin, TexasPlanoDallas137,13626,299
San Bernardino, Calif.San BernardinoLos Angeles129,1568,660
Will, Ill.JolietChicago120,83116,364
Lee, Fla.Fort MyersFort Myers117,67924,201
Pasco, Fla.New Port RicheyTampa109,18920,539
Denton, TexasDentonDallas98,90019,771
Fort Bend, TexasSugarLandHouston98,06220,697
Palm Beach, Fla.W. Palm BeachMiami88,806- 2,006
Hillsborough, Fla.TampaTampa87,79014,465
Lake, Fla.TaverasN/A79,88912,117
Montgomery, TexasConroeHouston78,21814,282
Wake, N.C.RaleighRaleigh77,83623,232
Williamson, TexasRound RockAustin76,08914,870
Gwinnett, Ga.LawrencevilleAtlanta74,44614,599
Pinal, Ariz.Casa GrandeN/A70,90628,448
Loudoun, Va.LeesburgWashington70,8627,176
Douglas, Colo.Castle RockDenver64,5099,911
Tarrant, TexasFort WorthDallas60,77324,481
Polk, Fla.LakelandN/A60,33716,735
Marion, Fla.OcalaN/A59,97812,922
Brevard, Fla.MelbourneN/A57,5363,386
Volusia, Fla.Daytona BeachN/A57,0539,420
Orange, Fla.OrlandoOrlando 56,2985,898
St. Lucie, Fla.Fort PierceN/A55,70711,789
Mecklenburg, N.C.CharlotteCharlotte54,57518,126
Kern, Calif.Bakersfield Bakersfield52,91411,388
San Joaquin, Calif.StocktonStockton52,312- 2,339
Pima, Ariz. TucsonTucson52,13812,339

Net internal in-migration is accelerating in Arizona and much of Florida, except for Palm Beach County, which has switched to net out-migration, as has San Joaquin County, Calif. (evidently the overflow frothe San Francisco Bay area has stopped). Loudoun County, Va., is less of a hot spot now (and the locals have elected a no-growth county board of supervisors), and so is San Bernardino County, Calif., but net internal in-migration into Riverside County, Calif., continues strong--presumably to the desert communities strung out on Highway 111 between Palm Springs and Indio.

There were sharp accelerations of net internal in-migration into Tarrant County, Texas, Wake County, N.C., and Mecklenburg County, N.C.

There has been similar growth in the 20-county Atlanta area, but only one county shows up on this list because the counties are relatively small. One county has fallen off the list altogether: Sacramento, which had a net internal out-migration of 8,019 in 2005-06, reducing its net internal in-migration figure for 2000-06 to 42,991.

Here are similar figures for the counties with net internal out-migration. I've led off with the total for the five boroughs of New York City, each of which is a separate county.

County Biggest CityMetro Area2000-062005-06
New York CityNew YorkNew York979,274170,818
Los Angeles, Calif.Los AngelesLos Angeles749,449187,098
Cook, Ill.ChicagoChicago 601,808101,709
Kings, N.Y.BrooklynNew York351,73059,982
Queens, N.Y.QueensNew York339,58856,015
Dallas, TexasDallasDallas228,56621,177
Santa Clara, Calif.San JoseSan Francisco220,62119,122
Miami-Dade, Fla.MiamiMiami190,59622,103
Orange, Calif.Santa AnaLos Angeles188,18646,823
Wayne, Mich.Detroit Detroit 182,883 35,539
Alameda, Calif.OaklandSan Francisco153,87821,271
Bronx, N.Y.The BronxNew York148,40929,099
New York, N.Y.ManhattanNew York136,58023,903
Philadelphia, Pa.PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia133,86120,017
Suffolk, Mass.BostonBoston120,22318,200
San Diego, Calif.San DiegoSan Diego119,63622,100
Middlesex, Mass.CambridgeBoston 112,74216,463
Cuyahoga, OhioClevelandCleveland110,38322,581
San Francisco, Calif.San FranciscoSan Francisco101,3979,988
Hudson, N.J.Jersey CityNew York93,22317,051
Fairfax, Va.FairfaxWashington91,35019,485
Hennepin, Minn.MinneapolisMinneapolis89,47911,908
Harris, TexasHoustonHouston83,68+39,234
King, Wash.SeattleSeattle62,469+ 4,320
Milwaukee, Wis.MilwaukeeMilwaukee78,26013,179
Hamilton, OhioCincinnatiCincinnati77,70412,188
Essex, N.J.NewarkNew York76,94415,721
DeKalb, Ga.DecaturAtlanta68,5734,180
Denver, Colo.DenverDenver685954,927
Nassau, N.Y.HempsteadNew York67,21615,672
Baltimore City, Md.BaltimoreBaltimore64,1688,275
Washington, D.C.WashingtonWashington60,6447,094
Allegheny, Pa.PittsburghPittsburgh59,17210,148
Westchester, N.Y.YonkersNew York58,23410,104
Franklin, OhioColumbusColumbus55,1277,075
Ramsey, Minn.St. PaulMinneapolis54,3467,328
DuPage, Ill.WheatonChicago53,48310,756
Montgomery, Md.RockvilleWashington50,8728,145

The outflow from the San Francisco Bay area has slowed down, but the outflow from coastal Southern California continues at a very fast rate. Two areas showed a turnaround--Harris County, Texas, where a major factor was the inflow of evacuees from Hurricane Katrina, and King County, Wash., where the tech turnaround has shown an effect similar to that in the Bay Area.

One county dropped off the list: Fulton, Ga. (Atlanta), which had a net internal in-migration of 13,328 in 2005-06, reducing its net internal out-migration in 2000-06 to 49,586. A similar effect, though not a reversal, was seen in the other central county in the Atlanta area, DeKalb, Ga.

By Michael Barone

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