SAN FRANCISCO (CBS 5) -- With up to a quarter of California primary election ballots already cast and five days remaining until the deadline for voting, Proposition 29 (The Tobacco Tax for Cancer Research Act) may pass narrowly or may not pass, according to a new KPIX-TV CBS 5 poll released Thursday.
Prop. 29 is currently supported by 42% of primary voters and opposed by 38%, according to the polling data. That leaves 20% of primary voters still undecided, and how those final votes are cast will determine the outcome.
Among voters who said they had already returned a ballot, Prop. 29 led 52% to 45%. But among those "late deciders" who had not yet voted but said they would by Election Day, Prop 29 is effectively even with 38% in favor and 36% opposed. Young and old voters narrowly support Prop. 29, the poll found, while middle-aged voters narrowly oppose it. Hispanics and Asians support the measure, while whites and blacks narrowly oppose it. The poll data also showed Democrats generally support Prop. 29, while Republicans oppose it.
KCBS' Doug Sovern Reports:
In the top-2 primary for U.S. Senate, Dianne Feinstein is assured to advance to a general election, the poll results showed, but it remains anyone guess who her opponent will be. Eight Feinstein opponents showed up as a blip on the radar screen and 15 other opponents were not even a blip. Among the blips: Elizabeth Emken and Dan Hughes each had 4%, Rick Williams and Al Ramirez each had 3%.
In a hypothetical November matchup between Feinstein and Emken, the poll found Feinstein wins. In a hypothetical contest between Feinstein and Hughes, the poll also showed Feinstein as the winner.
If the general election, which is five months away, for President of the United States were held today, the poll found Barack Obama would carry California by 21 points, defeating Mitt Romney 57% to 36%.
The CBS 5 poll was conducted by the firm SurveyUSA, which interviewed 1,232 registered voters who had either cast or were likely to cast a ballot in the June 5th Primary. The poll results have a margin of error of plus-or-minus 2.8%.
(Copyright 2012 CBS San Francisco. All rights reserved.)
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