Of course it's possible that the US stock market would have surged without the threat of this shut-down. I admit, I can't explain why the stock market does what it does over any quarter, much less one week. And the market isn't closed as I write this. Still, there is some evidence that investors couldn't care less about this shut-down, as it relates to their portfolios.
That said, I hope for an end to this partisan bickering. Can't we all just get along? I think the stock market would react positively to this, though I should stick to writing about reality rather than fantasy.
Postscript - Perhaps investors cared a little, since stocks ended up slipping by the end of the day. The US stock market, as measured by the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI), closed down 0.32% for the week. A yawner if you ask me.