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CBS Poll: Clinton To Blame

Most Americans continue to separate their positive evaluations of President Clinton's performance in office from negative assessments of his morality and character, according to the latest CBS News poll.


Who Is More To Blame?
CLINTON
53%

ENEMIES
39%

At the same time, more people now are likely to blame the president himself—rather than his political enemies—for creating the current situation than before his Aug. 17 admission of an inappropriate relationship with Monica Lewinsky. There are increased concerns about the impact of the scandal on the Clinton administration, but two-thirds of Americans don't think it would be better for the country if Mr. Clinton resigned.

This poll was conducted Tuesday and Wednesday nights, with nearly half the respondents interviewed after independent counsel Kenneth Starr's report was sent to the House of Representatives. There were few differences in overall assessments before and after.

THE PRESIDENT'S JOB PERFORMANCE


Clinton's Job Ratings
APPROVE
Overall
59%
Foreign Policy 62%
Economy 73%

DISAPPROVE
Overall
34%
Foreign Policy 28%
Economy 17%

Nearly six in 10 Americans continue to approve of the way the president is handling his job overall, and even larger percentages approve of the way he is handling foreign policy and the economy.

This is the first time the president's overall job approval has dropped below 60 percent since January, before and immediately after the accusations that there had been a sexual relationship between Mr. Clinton and Monica Lewinsky.

Sixty-three percent describe the president as having strong qualities of leadership. Yet, in this poll, there are increasing concerns about the president's ability to continue to do his job. Seventy-one percent now say they believe the scandal will have a serious impact on the next two years of the administration, up from 60 percent just three weeks ago.

WHAT SHOULD HAPPEN NOW?


Scandal Has Had A Serious Impact On
White House?
NOW
71%

Aug. 19-20
60%

As of now, there does not appear to be any public groundswell for Mr. Clinton to leave office. By 69 percent to 26 percent, the public says it would be better for the country if Mr. Clinton completes his term. Forty-six percent of Republicans and 12 percent of Democrats think it would be better for the country if he resigned.

As has been the case almost since the beginning of the investigation into the Lewinsky matter, many Americans seem to favor only limited action. In fact, while more support Congressional censure of the president than do not, the margin is not overwhelming. Forty-eight percent say Congress should censure the president, while 40 percent say it should not.


Better For Country If Clinton Resigned?
YES
26%

NO
69%

Although the independent counsel's report was sent to the U.S. House during this survey, it has not yet been examined by Congress or the public.

The public, at least, is not convinced about the fairness of either the report or the investigation. Half have concerns about the report itself. Forty-one percent say the report will be a fair and balanced look at all of the facts, while 50 percent expect it to be one-sided. As has been the case since the early days of the scandal, more than twice as many people view the entire Starr investigation as partisan as view it as an impartial investigation.


Will Ken Starr's Report Lead To Impeachment?
YES
54%

NO
31%

Many Americans also question the motives of the president's Congressional critics. Nearly three out of four say both Republicans and Democrats who criticize the president are doing so because they are looking for political gain, not because they care about ethics.

The public tends to move more slowly than political elites, and it is impossible to predict what will happen if the entire report is released and read. By 61 percent to 30 percent, Americans want the report to be made public.

Regardless of what Congress decides to do with the report, a majority of Americans believe the report will lead to Congressional impeachment hearings.

ETHICS AND RESPONSIBILITY
The public's assessments of Mr. Clinton's morality and honesty have fallen significantly since the beginning of the scandal. Only 32 percent now say he shares the moral values most Americans try to live by. Only 22 percent describe him as having more honesty and integrity than most people in public life.

Nearly as many people have an unfavorable opinion of the president as have a favorable one Forty-three percent have a favorable opinion. Forty-one percent an unfavorable one. The last time Mr. Clinton's favorable rating was this mixed was in the period after the 1994 election, which resulted in Republican majorities in both the House and the Senate. At that time, however, the president's approval rating was at or below 40 percent.

As the president continues to make public statements taking responsibility for his actions, Americans are now blaming the president more for creating the situation than they did before his Aug. 17 speech to the country. Before the speech, a majority said the president's political enemies were more to blame. Now a majority say he is to blame.

While half the public says they are satisfied with President Clinton's statements about the Lewinsky matter, 42 percent think he still needs to say more on the matter.

The scandal may have increased public concern about moral issues overall. When asked to name the most important problem facing the nation, 12 percent cited moral values—making it the most frequently cited issue. Although some respondents have always mentioned morality when asked to name the most important problem facing the country, the figure rose both in January, when the scandal first emerged, and in this poll. Much of the increase appears to come from Republicans. Twenty-two percent of Republicans in this poll cite moral values as the country's most important problem, and an additional 10 percent specify the scandal as the biggest problem.


This poll was conducted among a nationwide random sample of 738 adults interviewed by telephone Sept. 8-9, 1998. The error due to sampling could be plus or minus four percentage points for results based on the entire sample.

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