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U.S. Stocks Fall After Weak Data

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- U.S. stocks were mixed Wednesday, after better-than-expected earnings from Oracle Corp. lifted technology shares, while a weak economic report did little to offset recent jitters about the subprime mortgage market and hedge fund woes.

The recent near collapse of two hedge funds owned by Bear Stearns Cos. Inc. with heavy exposure to the subprime market has made investors more adverse to risk taking in recent sessions.

"The market remains in a very nervous state," said Peter Cardillo, chief U.S. market economist at Avalon Partners. "Bailing out hedge funds is not good news for the market, so the pullback is still intact and its run has to continue for now."

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 16 points at 13,320, as 26 of its 30 stocks retreated, led by the likes of Caterpillar Inc. , Alcoa Inc. , Boeing Co. , General Motors Corp. , and Citigroup Inc. .

The S&P 500 index fell 0.9 points to 1,492, while the Nasdaq Composite rose 4.2 points to 2,578.

Lifting tech shares on Nasdaq, Oracle Corp. gained 1.9%. The company quarterly earnings before special items beat expectations, as did its revenue. The profit was 23% above the year-earlier level.

By sector, banks , hardware and oil were weak, while utilities and semiconductors advanced.

Economy, Fed

In a sign of economic weakness, the Commerce Department reported that durable goods orders last month dropped by 2.8%, far exceeding the fall of 1.7% predicated by MarketWatch, amid a 22.7% decline in civilian aircraft orders.

The report's details showed orders for U.S.-made investment goods dropped 3% in May, ending a brief rebound in businesses' capital spending. The figures undercut the theory that business investment would be robust enough to power the U.S. economy out of a slow patch that's lasted more than a year.

The data helped bonds to rally, boosting the case that the Federal Reserve can afford to cut interest rates, a move the bond market would like to see. "The bond-friendly durables plunge sent yields sharply lower to fresh session lows," said Action Economics, in a note.

The benchmark 10-year Treasury note last was up 11/32 at 95-25/32 with a yield of 5.041%.

The Fed, which just started a two-day meeting on interest rates, is widely expected to leave rates unchanged at 5.25%, on Thursday. But investors will parse the accompanying statement for clues about whether a rate increase or cut could be in store in coming months.

Market sees rate cut again

Following the durable goods report, the futures market is again pricing in a cut in interest rates by the end of the year. It's the first time in nearly a month that the futures market is predicting a rate cut.

On Tuesday, Pimco chief investment officer and founder Bill Gross also predicted that the subprime mortgage crisis's impact will spread beyond the housing sector and prompt the Fed to cut rates to stir a flagging economy.

Stocks on the move

Nike Inc. gained 2%. The company's fourth-quarter earnings were in line with analysts' expectations, while revenue was a bit above forecast.

Wells Fargo & Co. fell 0.4% The bank has named John Stumpf CEO to replacing Dick Kovacevich, who will retain his chairman's post.

Dow Jones & Co. Inc. , the publisher of this report, remains in the news. News Corp. . Chairman Rupert Murdoch was quoted in a media report saying that he has no plans to raise his $5 billion bid for Dow Jones. He expects Dow Jones controlling shareholders, the Bancroft family, to either approve the deal "in the next two, three weeks' time or not at all," Reuters quoted him as saying.

On Tuesday the company's talks with News Corp. moved ahead as both sides reached a preliminary understanding on a deal to protect the editorial integrity of The Wall Street Journal.

Guitar Center Inc. agreed to be bought by affliates of Bain Capital Partners LLC, a private investment company, for about $2.1 billion.

Other markets

Crude oil futures rallied $1.16, or 1.7%, to $68.93 a barrel, after weekly data showed a drop in gasoline inventories.

The durable goods data was negative for the dollar, as it decreases the chances for a Fed rate hike. The dollar last was 0.5% lower at 122.37 yen, as the euro fell 0.08% to $1.3436.

Gold futures were pressured by the expanding risk-aversion trade, as the August contract gave up 40 cents to $642.10 an ounce.

By Nick Godt

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