Why Brady Finta is gone:
He was born 33 years ago. The alliance of elders simply refuses to budge one bit, despite all of the evidence to the contrary. Brady simply picked the wrong horse to bet on from day one, and it finally caught up with him.
He refused to adapt or alter his strategy. After two failed attempts, it should have been obvious that Rory wasn't going anywhere. Instead of focusing on outlasting John K., Brady tried yet again to convince Sarge that Rory had to go. If a strategy isn't working, you have to discard it as soon as possible.
John K. clearly outplayed him. It was painfully obvious that Brady was a much more productive worker than John K, but that meant nothing because of his stubbornness and loyalty to a non-existent alliance. John K. saw an opportunity to ensure himself another couple of days and he took it, even though he had to throw Brady under the bus. It's surprising that an FBI agent got beat by a mechanical bull operator, but, then again, this is "Survivor" we are talking about.
Lopevi Tribe Analysis
Even if he is booted next week, John K.can take some pride in the fact that he was the last remaining member of his slaughtered alliance.
Unlike many past failed alliance victims, John K. was willing to throw a vote his friend's way in order to make himself look docile and willing to go along with the plan. In the short term, it bought him more time to make it to a merge or tribal mix-up.
Lopevi made a mistake in keeping him around. His looks, charm and familiarity with the women give him an advantage, should there be a merge/mix-up next week.
Chris did make a really asinine comment to Jeff about how the men didn't know how the women would approach the merge if they have numbers, which is just beyond stupid. They need to win the next challenge desperately or Chris will find out how wrong he was.
If Lea is calling the shots, he might be dooming his tribe to a pagoning after the merge. After two "mental" challenges, it is very likely that the next immunity challenge will be a physical one. Brady would be a much bigger asset than Rory in such a competition.
There is a concept in "Survivor" lore that many people are unfamiliar with. It is called "a winner's edit." The idea is that the producers of the show want viewers to emotionally invest themselves in certain players, so they can feel gratified when they ultimately succeed or go far into the game. At the very least, they want viewers to believe that the winner deserved his or her crown. Rory is clearly not getting such an edit, which means he is doomed at some point.
To his credit, Rory doesn't seem to take any move against him personally and he has remained loyal to his tribe despite his insecurity. Those are two good characteristics to have in this game.
No one really has any idea of the breakdown of who supports whom within the flab five, so it is entirely possible that Travis feels John K. would be a better ally than Rory, once they have to go at each other.
However, it is very possible that Chad and Chris will catch wind of this maneuvering and call him out on it. Chad and Chris seem dead set on keeping the five together at all costs, while Travis' actions seem to be more concerned with his own individual fate at this point.
There was also possible foreshadowing that Travis is too focused on his family and that he is letting the focus get to him.
Yasur Tribe Analysis
Eliza is aggressively attacking Lisa for doing the same thing she did. Well, she needs to shut her yasur - I mean yapper - immediately. Eliza needs to learn from her mistakes and pursue a strategy similar to John's. At this point, the best thing she could do is outlast Julie and hope for some type of switch. The only way to accomplish that is to stop being annoying, play nice and be productive. I'm not sure she is capable of any of those things.
Predictions for next week: If the women lose, I again have to believe that Eliza is gone. However, I believe they will win the next immunity challenge because of the physicality and stamina apparently required by what the official Web site hypes as the deepest underwater challenge in "Survivor" history.
My current ultimate Survivor pick: Scout. I think the women are in a position to dominate the game for the time being. Of the women, Scout seems to be the safest and most likeable. I respect the game Chris is playing, but his tribe is really poorly constructed.
BY GREG FELTES