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Battleground State Profile: North Carolina

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State Data:

2008 Caucus Results:

Barack Obama: 56%

Hillary Clinton: 45%

John McCain: 74%

Mike Huckabee: 12%

2004 Election Results:

George W. Bush: 56.02%

John Kerry: 43.58%

2000 Election Results:

George W. Bush: 56.03%

Al Gore: 43.20%

Racial Breakdown:

White: 70.2%

Black: 21.6%

Hispanic: 4.7%

Other: 3.5%


Under 25k: 30.7%

25-50k: 31.6%

50-100k: 28.3%

Over 100k: 9.4%


Less than H.S.: 13.0%

H.S. or Higher: 78.1%

BA or Higher: 22.5%

Grad/Prof Deg: 7.2%

Who do you think will win North Carolina?

John McCain

Barack Obama

North Carolina

Despite having a reputation as a solidly Republican state, North Carolina has a long history as a closely contested state between the two major parties. The state hasn't gone for a Democratic candidate since 1976 when Jimmy Carter carried it but it has been close at times, particularly in 1992 when George H. W. Bush narrowly won it, and has a history of electing Democrats statewide.

Like Virginia, North Carolina is one of those states likely to determine whether this election will be close or whether Obama wins comfortably.

In 2008, the state has been put in play for a variety of reasons. The economy has overtaken the kinds of social and cultural issues that have helped Republicans in this mostly-conservative state as the issue driving voter concerns, as has been the case across the nation. A large black population is expected to give Barack Obama a significant boost and the technological area surrounding Raleigh, Durham and Chapel Hill is loaded with the demographics which have backed Obama throughout this election.

The tilting landscape has put incumbent Senator Elizabeth Dole in danger of losing her seat and forced John McCain to revisit the state just three weeks before Election Day. Like Virginia, North Carolina is one of those states likely to determine whether this election will be close or whether Obama wins comfortably.

CBS Evening News: Supporters' Hard Work Changed N.C. Dynamic

North Carolina Analysis By Region

Ways To Win

Predict A Winner

Make picks for each state to build a path to electoral college victory.

Related North Carolina Campaign Stories

Poll Averages

Real Clear Politics averages recent polls from a wide number of media sources, including some not recognized or used by CBS News, and shows the average lead of the top candidate.