Horserace
July 18, 2008 10:07 AM

Starting Gate: Going Global

As Barack Obama prepares for his upcoming trips to Iraq and Afghanistan and a jaunt through the power centers of Europe, the expectations seem to be growing -- not so much for any great policy development but for the spectacle itself.

The potential benefits and risks are obvious. Obama has the chance to shore up his foreign policy credentials in a setting befitting a presidential visit. The images and opportunities for Obama to appear statesmanlike should only enhance his stature to the voters back home. Of course, the spotlight means that any missteps or flubs are likely to be greatly enhanced as well.

As carefully as the trip appears to have been planned, the chances of a major mistake should be at a minimum. But there’s something about Obama taking off a good chunk of time in the middle of a presidential campaign that points to bigger concerns for Obama. The fact that the campaign appears to feel the need to bolster his foreign policy credentials with the trip highlights just how little time has been in the arena.

In 2000, George W. Bush appeared almost uninterested in foreign affairs at times. In a famous interview in New Hampshire, Bush was asked to name the leaders of several foreign countries and was unable to. Although it was a “gotcha” question from a local journalist, the episode combined with his stated desire to stay out of the business of foreign entanglements to portray a candidate who had little experience in global affairs.

Of course, the events that have happened in the interim have made foreign policy an essential for a presidential candidate, and Obama’s is limited. That’s one reason for taking this trip before the election. As John McCain and his campaign have pointed out this week, Obama’s policy approach seems to be set already, especially when it comes to the war in Iraq. Nothing that happens on this trip seems likely to change any of that.

McCain, and Hillary Clinton before him, have argued that Obama’s inexperience raises serious questions about his ability to handle a complicated and dangerous world. The Democrat is taking precious time out of his campaign to try and inoculate himself against those concerns. And his counter-argument that the type of experience Clinton and McCain boast hasn’t been effective has so far carried the day among voters. Still, the stakes are significant for this trip if he wants to take the next step towards becoming the odds-on front-runner in this race.


Around The Track

  • Bill Clinton signaled that the chill of the primary season is beginning to thaw when he told reporters yesterday that he has spoken with Obama and is ready to hit the campaign trail on his behalf. “I told him that whenever he wanted me to do it, I was ready, and so it's basically on their timetable,” Clinton said. After the trouble the former president found himself in during the primary season, the bigger question might be whether the Obama campaign wants him to.

  • McCain is back in Michigan today to talk about the economy after raising an reported $1.4 million in a fundraiser in the state last night.

  • A federal judge ruled that Libertarian candidate Bob Barr should be allowed on the Ohio ballot this November after the party sued the sued the state for requirements that would have kept the former GOP congressman off, the AP reports. The ruling is under review and could be appealed but if Barr gets on the ballot in state like Ohio, it could damage McCain’s campaign by siphoning away conservatives.
  • Tags:
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    Starting Gate
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    Add a Comment See all 62 Comments
    by jb01201a July 19, 2008 7:09 AM EDT
    If we had listened to Obama, we would not have invaded a sovereign country with no connection to 9/11.

    Yea, we would have let 3,000 people die in vain.
    Reply to this comment
    by samthetvcat July 19, 2008 4:22 AM EDT
    PS Like okay, a German reporter wrote out what he is hoping/expecting Barack to say to them in his speech when he visits - like this is what he imagines Barack as representing:

    "Today, globalization has made isolationism impossible. The United States will not turn inward. But my country has no calling to run the world"

    "More than 80 percent of Americans think our nation is going in the wrong direction."

    "I%u2019m sure I can learn from Europe on universal health care or environment policy."

    "But it has depended on respect of the values and essential freedoms that defined America. We cannot compromise essential liberties at home and be an example to anyone. We cannot rise to our new global challenges when we abandon our own ideals."

    * * * * *

    Like are the Germans expecting us to apologize to them on the world stage?!? Because apparently an advisor told another reporter at that same newspaper that "he would spell out clearly that Europe needs to assume more international responsibility, especially in Afghanistan, and perhaps in Iraq as well."

    So like that''s a big difference between expectation and reality - but I guess since they haven''t been hearing him speak every day for the past year, he may still win over the crowd with the novelty?
    Reply to this comment
    by samthetvcat July 19, 2008 4:01 AM EDT
    ---"Obama has an 85% percent approval rate in Germany, and a 75% approval rate in France, which is better than the approval rates for the leaders of those two countries."---
    Posted by caliguy55

    I checked out some of the articles and comments sections over in Europe and they''re still under the impression that Barack''s humble, in tune with the folk, and wants to be friends as equals. But there''s an article in der spiegel saying Barack plans on ''making clear demands on Europe'' . . . wonder if some of the lustre will wear off for them too after they realize he''s using them as a prop to try and win votes back home.
    Reply to this comment
    by jtyler271 July 19, 2008 3:56 AM EDT
    Posted by caliguy55 at 12:07 AM : Jul 19, 2008

    The McCain campaign may become a footnote in US history, but the legend will live on as we tell our grandchildren about the oh-so-hilarious moments that he granted us.

    Grampa Walnuts, we hardly knew ye.

    Or, we knew you and didn''t like you anyway.
    Reply to this comment
    by jtyler271 July 19, 2008 3:53 AM EDT
    Posted by BlackShaft at 11:31 PM : Jul 18, 2008

    If we had listened to Obama, we would not have invaded a sovereign country with no connection to 9/11.

    Just sayin.
    Reply to this comment
    by incog-nito July 19, 2008 3:32 AM EDT
    They criticize him when he didn''t go abroad. They criticize him when he does go. They criticize the location where he''ll make his speech. The only time these professional critics might stop is when Obama says "I give up. Here''s the presidency." Even then I doubt it.
    Reply to this comment
    by caliguy55 July 19, 2008 3:07 AM EDT
    Obama has an 85% percent approval rate in Germany, and a 75% approval rate in France, which is better than the approval rates for the leaders of those two countries. McCain and his cronies can''t stand the thought of an Obama trip across the Globe where he receives the adulations of millions as the next leader of the free world. The power of such imagery has the potential to turn the McCain campaign into a footnote in a paragraph in American history.

    The obvious is beginning to show. McCain is so out of touch with reality that it is pitiful. However, what worries me is to what lengths Bush would stoop to get rid of Obama. Think about it!!! With Bush, I don''t think anything is out of question. However, if Bush and his cronies know we are watching very closely and are ready to react with the strongest possible condemnation (again THINK), it may prevent them from doing anything. Spread the WORD and protect Obama. Obama 2008!!!
    Reply to this comment
    by samthetvcat July 19, 2008 2:54 AM EDT
    pt 1

    ---"If Obama Hussein was wrong about the surge what else will he do wrong."---
    Posted by BlackShaft

    Okay in the name of the Dem Party, since Barack''s team of 300 advisors can''t seem to muster one on their own, what John McCain advocated when he spoke out in favor of the ''surge'' was an increase in troops to fight the INSURGENCY. More troops and fighting al quaeda were the only two ideas he set forth.

    What you didn''t hear him mention which has been a key component of bringing about success is the rearming and re-empowerment of the formerly disavowed Sunnis. You also didn''t hear him mention partitioning neighborhoods such that contact between Sunnis and Shiites was minimized.
    Reply to this comment
    by samthetvcat July 19, 2008 2:54 AM EDT
    pt 2

    Now McCain has said that the success of the surge in Iraq is now his template for success in Afghanistan. Isn''t he then saying that he''s defining success as being bringing about calm and achieving that through increased troops. That''s a military strategy, but is it one that''s actually led to Sunnis feeling like they''re equal players in the Iraqi government? The last ABC/BBC in March said no. Are the enemeies in Afghanistan of the same nature as in Iraq? Aren''t the trouble-makers there just the transplants from Iraq, and the taliban such that a move of the surge from Iraq to Afghanistan will just cause them to flee back to Iraq?

    Did the surge just make it harder but not impossible for Iraqis to continue resistance such that it was easier to just wait out the end of the Bush term assuming Dems were going to honor their desire to leave? Where does McCain stand on letting Iran troops help Iraq with security? If he''s unwilling to let them help are the Iraqis combined with possibly the Iranians going to feel once again like fighting is their best means of getting troops out? Will McSurge then continue to believe increased troops are always the solution to increases in violence such that the difference between ''winning'' and ''losing'' means reinstituting the draft?

    I feel like Barack should be asking these questions, but hey I guess he feels like he can win without ''making waves'' (?)
    Reply to this comment
    by randynason July 19, 2008 2:51 AM EDT
    Can you imagine the sneers of foreign leaders behind Obama''''''''''''''''s back?


    Posted by joe1022joe

    Not really. But, I can understand the disgust and revulsion they must feel when they have to pretend they can stomach Bush and his obnoxious presence.
    Reply to this comment
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