Horserace
November 7, 2008 12:12 PM

The Spoilers That Weren't

If the election results that came in Tuesday night had been closer, you might have been hearing the names of Libertarian presidential candidate Bob Barr and perennial presidential hopeful Ralph Nader quite a bit this week.

Barack Obama's clear victory has rendered both men minor footnotes in the 2008 race. (Obama presently holds 364 electoral votes, far more than the 270 he needed to take the White House.) But had the electoral map looked like 2004 or 2000, when one state effectively decided the election, either man's run could have decided who became president.

Consider three of the closest state races: North Carolina, Missouri and Indiana. CBS News this morning called North Carolina for Obama, who leads John McCain by just under 14,000 votes there. Barr won more than 25,000 votes in the state. We don't know to what degree Barr's presence cut into McCain's vote total – some of Barr's votes likely came from voters who would have supported Obama or sat out the election – but it is safe to assume that Barr's appeal rested in large part with Republicans. Which means it's possible that without Barr in the race, North Carolina's 15 electoral votes would have ended up in McCain's column.

The story is similar in Indiana, another formerly red state that went blue. Obama won the state by less than 26,000 votes. Barr took more than 29,000. Though it's unlikely, with this close a margin, that the absence of Barr would have swung the state to McCain, it could have made things a lot tighter, triggering calls for a recount. At which point, as well all learned eight years ago, anything can happen.

And then there's Missouri, which CBS News has not called yet, but where McCain is leading by less than 6,000 votes. Nader took nearly 18,000 votes in Missouri – more than enough to have cost Obama the state's 11 electoral votes. Barr, with more than 11,000 votes, and even Constitution Party candidate Chuck Baldwin, with more than 8,000, could also have made a difference.
Tags:
bob barr ,
ralph nader ,
spoilers
Topics:
Battleground States
Add a Comment
by montana43k November 7, 2008 3:32 PM PST
Congratulations To The Obama Family
We all know you are headed for hard times...Hope you have the strength to calm the rough waters..
Reply to this comment
by mag324 November 7, 2008 4:22 PM PST
Nader should be our president.
Reply to this comment
by miasm November 7, 2008 6:26 PM PST
yeah.. Nader and Bar "took" the votes and could''ve "cost" them the election.. As if the votes were already Obama''s and McCains. Of course they were. They own your vote! Thankfully they don''t own mine.
Reply to this comment
by spotter4444 November 7, 2008 7:15 PM PST
SUPREME COURT ORDERS OBAMA TO RESPOND


The Supreme Court asked Barack Obama to respond by December 1 on the question of his citizenship.
If Obama proves his alleged Hawaii birth certificate to be valid and the Kenyan birth certificate invalid, he will continue on as president-elect. If not, the Supreme Court could rule he is ineligible, which could get many people upset.
There could be violence and rioting.
The law that stated that his American mother could not pass her citizenship to him because she was under 18 has been changed. The law that he was born under did not grant him citizenship if he was born in Kenya of an American mother under 18 and a foreign father. I believe the other issues are frivolous.
http://www.worldnetdaily.com/index.php?fa=PAGE.view&pageId=80072 sums up the issues



Supreme Court No. 08-570

Title:
Philip J. Berg, v. Barack Obama, et al.

Docketed:
October 31, 2008

Lower Ct:
United States Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit



Case Nos.:
(08-4340)

Rule 11



Oct 30 2008
Petition for a writ of certiorari before judgment filed. (Response due December 1, 2008)

Reply to this comment
by dburfears November 7, 2008 9:05 PM PST
Could seomone PLEASE call the people with the white coats? These nuts with the "citizenship" issue have been disproved over and over again. They are either stupid or just plain crazy. I''m thinking its "crazy" since they seem above to copy and paste.
Reply to this comment
by likelyvoter November 8, 2008 12:41 PM PST
Don''t confuse the vote totals with the level of interest in a candidate. Millions of people would like to vote for Nader and other 3rd party candidates, but they are afraid of "wasting" their votes. For instance, Ralph Nader was polling at 3% nationally the day before the election, 6% a month ago, and 10% in Michigan back in May. And those are the people that actually consider voting for Nader. Millions of others would prefer Nader over Obama and McCain but would never even register in the polls because they know they''ll never actually cast their votes for Nader due to "spoiler" fears.


Let''s fix the voting system and allow voters to vote for who they prefer intead of the candidate they dislike the least. Let''s try some sort of a runoff voting system. Maybe Instant Runoff Voting, which is used in the UK, Ireland, Australia, New Guinea, Fiji and some cities in the U.S.
Reply to this comment
by shockolit November 8, 2008 3:43 PM PST
Around the nation, perhaps people don''t know much about Bob Barr. Very reliable black people I used to work with would snicker about him and how he "passes." Not that it should matter, except he should be comfortable with who he is. How about some birth certificates for him and his parents? :)
Reply to this comment
by vatofla November 9, 2008 9:31 AM PST
Everything else aside; Nader, like McCain, is too old. Maybe in good times they could manage, but we need someone young right now.

Glad Obama won.
Reply to this comment
by seah5 November 9, 2008 11:43 AM PST
I notice the Fraud and election errors are being faded into history, and not dealt with.

Reply to this comment
by karela33 November 9, 2008 3:51 PM PST
Barack Obama was born in Hawaii. His father''s second wife returned to Kenya with the older Obama and gave birth there when Obama was a few years old. Friends in Hawaii can testify to this as well the state of Hawaii. Friends and family of the older Obama can testify to his second wife giving birth there. This is such a done conversation.
Reply to this comment

About Horserace

Description for Horserace

Add to your favorite news reader
google
yahoo
msn
  • MOST POPULAR
  • Viewed
  • Commented