February 11, 2009 10:33 PM
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Sen. Ron Wyden's campaign for his first full term in the Senate this fall will not deliver nearly as much drama as the January 1996 special election to replace Sen. Bob Packwood. Two years ago, his opponent, state Senate President Gordon Smith, held Wyden to a less than 20,000 vote victory margin. (Smith went on to win the '96 race in November to replace retiring Sen. Mark Hatfield.)
This year, Republican John Lim emerged from a field of three candidates to win the primary with 59% of the vote. The self-made millionaire has yet to launch an aggressive campaign. Lim's fundraising thus far has been respectable, but low compared to Wyden. If Lim chooses to inject personal money into the race, however, the landscape could change.
Barring a bump in the road, Wyden should be able
cruise to victory.
The last time a Republican won the governor's office in Oregon was in 1982. The GOP may have to wait another four years for a shot at it because Republican challenger Bill Sizemore has little chance of unseating the popular incumbent, Democratic Governor John Kitzhaber.
Sizemore's campaign suffered a severe blow before the May primary when an investigation by The Oregonian revealed that the anti-tax activist. who pledged to handle the people's money like "real money," had a history of personal bankruptcy and failed businesses that left $795,000 in debt.
Sizemore won the primary, but he never recovered his credibility. More recently, news broke that he is under investigation by the Department of Justice because he may have broken state campaign finance laws by soliciting contributions to a tax-exempt foundation that passed the money on to a campaign for a ballot initiative backed by the organization he heads, Oregon Taxpayers United.
With his trademark jeans and cowboy boots, Kitzhaber projects a populist image, and he remains popular. He is campaigning on four main issues: education, juvenile crime, expanding health care and environment.
His commercials, reminiscent of Ross Perot, feature
Kitzhaber offering up a copy of his "plan" for Oregon that one can
get by calling a toll-free number. Neve a close ally of Clinton, Kitzhaber
has said that he would decline if the President offered to do a fundraiser
for him. However, it looks like Kitzhaber won't need the cash anyway. He
should have no problem being re-elected to a second term
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Current Lineup: 5 Districts, 1 Republicans, 4 Democrats |
CD1 |
 face=Arial>Open Seat |
 Molly Bordonaro (R) Conservative Lobbyist/Fmr ALEC Policy Analyst/’96 candidate
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David Wu (D) --age 43 Attorney Michael DePaulo (Libertarian) John Hryciuk (Socialist) |
Outlook |
Toss Up |
District Profile; |
Western Portland and suburbs . size=2>Elizabeth Furse (D) is retiring |
 CD2 |
 face=Arial>Open Seat |
 Greg Walden (R) --age 41 Fmr State Sen Majority Leader/Radio Station Owner
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|
Kevin Campbell (D) --age 47 Fmr Grant Cnty Judge/Consultant Lindsey Bradshaw (Libertarian) Jackson Cnty Libertarian Vice Chair Rohn "Granpa" Webb (Socialist) |
Outlook |
Strong Republican |
District Profile; |
size=2> East and Southwest - Medford; Bend . size=2>Robert Smith (R) is retiring |
 CD3 |
 Incumbent |
 EARL BLUMENAUER (D) --age 49 Elected May 1996. /FONT>
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Opponents |
Walt Brown (Socialist) Fmr State Sen/Fmr Dem Bruce Alexander Knight (Libertarian) Retail Store Manager/’96 nominee |
Outlook |
Strong Democrat |
District Profile; |
size=2> East and North Portland and eastern suburbs . 1996 House:D-67% R-26% |
 CD4 |
 Incumbent |
 PETER DeFAZIO (D) --age 51 Elected 1986.
|
Opponents |
Steve Webb (R) --age 26 Retail Manager/Religious Right Activist Karl Sorg (Socialist) |
Outlook/i> |
Strong Demoocrat |
District Profile; |
size=2> Southwest - Eugene . 1996 House: size=2>D-66% R-28% |
 CD5 |
 Incumbent |
 DARLENE HOOLEY (D) --age 59 Elected 1996.
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Opponents |
Marylin Shannon (R) --age 57 State Senator Jim Burns (Natural Law) Michael Donnelly (Pacific) ‘95 Sen candidate/Property Mangr/Enviro Activ Ed Dover (Socialist) Kelly Keith (I) Blaine Thallheimer (Libertarian) |
Outlook |
Likely Democrat |
District Profile; |
size=2> Wilamette Valley, Pacific Coast - Salem; Corvallis . 1996 House: D-51% R 46% |
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