Battleground State Profile: Nevada

























State Data:




2008 Primary Results:

Hillary Clinton: 51%

Barack Obama: 45%

John Edwards: 4%




Mit Romney: 51%

Ron Paul: 14%

John McCain: 13%





2004 Election Results:


George W. Bush: 50.47%

John Kerry: 47.88%





2000 Election Results:


George W. Bush: 49.52%

Al Gore: 45.98%





Racial Breakdown:


White: 65.2%

Black: 6.8%

Hispanic: 19.7%

Other: 8.3%





Income:


Under 25k: 24.7%

25-50k: 31.2%

50-100k: 32.8%

Over 100k: 11.3%





Education:


Less than H.S.: 19.3%

H.S. or Higher: 80.7%

BA or Higher: 18.2%

Grad/Prof Deg: 6.1%















Who will win Nevada?






John McCain

Barack Obama










































Nevada










Nevada has gone Republican in the last two presidential elections - President Bush beat John Kerry here by two points and Al Gore by four - as well as in eight of the last ten presidential elections. But Barack Obama feels he can win the state, thanks in part to an influx of outsiders - the state's population grew by more than 10 percent in three years, with many of the new residents coming from more liberal states. There has also been a significant influx of Hispanic residents, a group that tends to vote Democrat.



Obama may not be the best positioned Democrat to win the state, however - he has struggled to win over Latinos, as evidenced by his loss to Hillary Clinton in the state's Democratic caucuses where Hispanics preferred Clinton to Obama almost 2-to-1. McCain's relative moderation on immigration could help him compete for Latino votes.



Barack Obama feels he can win the state, thanks in part to an influx of outsiders - the state's population grew by more than 10 percent in three years.



One key issue in the state: The proposed nuclear waste dump at Yucca Mountain. McCain has suggested that the facility could be "unnecessary," though he favors it. Obama opposes the plan.








Ways To Win






Predict A Winner


Make picks for each state to build a path to electoral college victory.
















Related Nevada Campaign Stories

















Poll Averages










Real Clear Politics averages recent polls from a wide number of media sources, including some not recognized or used by CBS News, and shows the average lead of the top candidate.

























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