New Poll Shows Tight Indiana Race

Depending on what happens in the April 22nd Pennsylvania primary, May 6th – the day that voters in North Carolina and Indiana go to the polls – could be a pivotal day in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination.

There has been little polling out of Indiana in this election cycle, but yesterday brought new numbers showing Hillary Clinton with a three-point lead over Barack Obama in the state. That makes the WSBT-Tribune poll too close to call, since the margin of error is 5 percentage points. The poll found that most Indiana voters have made up their minds. Clinton leads among whites and women; Obama among blacks and men.

There are also new Pennsylvania numbers suggesting that Clinton's lead in that state may be shrinking. A Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll shows Clinton leading Obama by 11 points, 49-38. That's down three points from her lead in the same poll in mid-February, though it's important to keep in mind that the margin of error is five percentage points.

Clinton is widely seen as needing a strong win in Pennsylvania to keep her campaign viable, and Obama has been campaigning and advertising in the state in the hopes of narrowing the gap between himself and the former first lady. With North Carolina expected to go to Obama, the Indiana results could help the Illinois senator land a knockout blow – or give Clinton the momentum she needs to continue battling for the nomination.