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Rudy Gets Ready To Run

Vaughn Ververs is senior political editor for CBSNews.com.


(CBS/EARLY SHOW)
"America's Mayor" has taken his furthest step yet toward a run for the White House, but Rudy Giuliani may have one of the toughest roads ahead of any prospective candidate. The man many Americans know from his steadfast leadership of New York City during 9/11 is flying high in the polls, both nationally and in key primary states. The conventional wisdom holds that his moderate social positions and steadiness in crisis makes Giuliani the strongest Republican candidate in a general election if he could just capture the nomination.

Giuliani has his work cut out for him getting to that point. He'll have to convince enough of those party stalwarts in places like Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina to look the other way on key issues they disagree on – abortion, gun control and gay rights to mention a few. Giuliani has begun to have that conversation. When it comes to abortion, he says he wants to appoint "strict constructionists" to the courts – judges like Chief Justice John Roberts and Associate Justice Samuel Alito.

On gun control, Giuliani defends his record as mayor of New York but says what worked in a big city isn't necessary everyplace. He says marriage should be between a man and a woman but has signed domestic partnership legislation and says it's important to recognize such relationships. Translation: I'm not going to crusade on abortion, I won't take away your guns and I'll defend the traditional definition of marriage.

In a Republican field that is going to be crowded, it's a message that might work. Republicans, unlike Democrats, have winner-take all primary contests and with five or even six serious candidates, it's possible to win with less than a majority of primary votes.

Will it work? It's certainly possible, but I wonder whether Giuliani risks damaging the very elements which make him such an attractive general election candidate in the first place. What happens when the steady hand which comforted New York, and much of the nation, on 9/11 and during its aftermath begins to sound like any other politician? Will voters who might be attracted to Rudy today start to get turned off by his "strict constructionist" judges and his defense of marriage? In order to get the nomination, he has to bend toward his party's base to some degree.

The question is, can he bend without being broken?

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