College Football Picks: Playoff Races Break For Mismatches

By RALPH D. RUSSO, AP College Football Writer

Maybe college football could use a break after two straight weeks of ranked matchups and playoff-race altering results, and with two weeks coming up that will be loaded with rivalry games and championship implications.

The Southeastern Conference as usual is doing its part to give many of its fans a chance to re-charge for the final stretch run with Saturday matchups such as Mercer at No. 1 Alabama and Louisana-Monroe at No. 6 Auburn. It's not just an SEC thing: No. 4 Clemson hosts The Citadel. We'll pass on picking those FBS-FCS games, thanks.

Most of the other ranked teams and playoff contenders will face only another moderately tougher competition though in most cases it was just the luck of the schedule rather than an coordinated attempt squeeze in a tuneup before a rivalry game.

Twenty-four teams in the Top 25 plays this weekend and 17 of them are double-digit favorites or playing FCS teams. In the top 10, only No. 5 Wisconsin, which hosts No. 19 Michigan in the day's only ranked vs. ranked matchup, is facing an opponent within 17 points, according to the odds makers.

Of course, it is the really unexpected results that shake-up the playoff race most. So you never know.

The picks:

THURSDAY NIGHTER

Tulsa (plus 22) at No. 23 South Florida

Bulls get UCF next week in a game that could decide the AAC East if they take care of the Golden Hurricane ... USF 42-17.

SATURDAY
MAIN EVENT

No. 19 Michigan (plus 7 ½) at No. 5 Wisconsin

Both teams want to keeps things simple for their quarterbacks and keep it on the ground ... MICHIGAN 24-20, UPSET SPECIAL.

PLAYOFF HOPEFULS (EVEN LONG SHOTS)

Virginia (plus 19 ½) at No. 2 Miami

Last test for rising Hurricanes is avoiding a letdown after two weeks of statement victories and adulation ... MIAMI 38-17.

No. 3 Oklahoma (minus 35 ½) at Kansas

Sooners have won 12 straight against the Jayhawks but the last three have been especially gruesome: 162-17 combined ... OKLAHOMA 54-7.

Louisiana-Monroe (plus 36) at No. 6 Auburn

Auburn gets a tuneup. Warhawks get a tuneup for their championship weekend showdown with win-starved Florida State ... AUBURN 45-7.

Kentucky (plus 21 ½) at No. 7 Georgia

Under-the-radar quality season for Wildcats RB Benny Snell, third in the SEC in rushing (101.3 yards per game) and second in touchdowns (15) ... GEORGIA 38-14.

Illinois (plus 39 ½) at No. 8 Ohio State

Ten-year anniversary of the Illini upsetting No. 1 Ohio State in Columbus, their last win in the series ... OHIO STATE 58-10.

Navy (plus 17 ½) at No. 9 Notre Dame

Plodding Midshipmen limited the Irish to six possessions in a one-point win last season ... NOTRE DAME 49-28.

No. 11 TCU (minus 7 ½) at Texas Tech

Horned Frogs would all but lock up a trip to the Big 12 title game, with a home game against hapless Baylor next week ... TCU 35-23.

UCLA (plus 16 ½) at No. 12 Southern California

Trojans might be eyeing a little down time. This is their 12th straight week playing, but they'll have a break before the Pac-12 title game on Dec. 1 ... USC 45-17, BEST BET.

STILL ALIVE FOR CONFERENCE TITLE

Kansas State (plus 21) at No. 10 Oklahoma State

Wildcats were preseason ranked and now in danger of failing to reach bowl eligibility with games against the Cowboys and Iowa State remaining ... OKLAHOMA STATE 42-17.

Nebraska (plus 26) at No. 13 Penn State

Cornhuskers have the worst run defense in the Big Ten. How does that happen? ... PENN STATE 42-14.

No. 14 UCF (minus 13 ½) at Temple

Took a while but Temple seems to have a found a QB in Frank Nutile, who has thrown for 809 yards and six TDs in last three games; can he keep up with the Knights? ... UCF 42-21.

Utah (plus 17) at No. 16 Washington

Huskies need to win out and get help from Cal against Stanford to reach second straight Pac-12 title game ... WASHINGTON 31-13.

SMU (plus 11 ½) at No. 18 Memphis

Two straight grueling losses for the Mustangs and now they get the Tigers, who can clinch a division title with a victory ... MEMPHIS 48-35.

California (plus 16) at No. 20 Stanford

Bears have gone from being the worst defensive team in the Pac-12 under Sonny Dykes to the worst offensive team under Justin Wilcox ... STANFORD 28-10.

Maryland (plus 17) at No. 22 Michigan State

What number quarterback are the Terps on now? ... MICHIGAN STATE 27-9.

Texas (plus 3 ½) at No. 24 West Virginia

Longhorns need another victory to get Tom Herman to a bowl in his first season in Austin ... WEST VIRGINIA 27-20.

BOWL POSITIONING

No. 17 Mississippi State (minus 11 ½) at Arkansas

Remarkably, the Razorbacks can still get bowl-eligible with two wins ... MISSISSIPPI STATE 34-14.

No. 21 LSU (minus 15 ½) at Tennessee

Can the Vols show a little more fight with an interim coach than Florida has shown? ... LSU 28-7.

No. 25 North Carolina State (plus 2) at Wake Forest

Best season by a Power Five quarterback that hardly anybody is noticing: Wake's John Wolford is averaging 321 total yards per game, with 20 TD passes and three INTs ...

NORTH CAROLINA STATE 35-31.

TWITTER REQUESTS

Arizona (pick'em) at Oregon — @Duckfan7712

Ducks could have QB Justin Herbert back. They're a different team with him healthy and effective ... OREGON 31-28.

UAB (plus 10 ½) at Florida — @BamaBobblehead

Blazers last beat an SEC team in 2004 (Mississippi State). It hasn't gotten this bad for the Gators, has it? ... FLORIDA 27-14.

FIU (plus 14) at FAU — @realbbbb

FAU's Lane (Kiffin) Train has won six straight and is closing in on a Conference USA title game berth ... FAU 42-24.

Pitt (plus 15) at Virginia Tech — @9timevictor

To get bowl eligible Panthers must beat Virginia Tech and Miami ... VIRGINIA TECH 35-17.

Texas A&M (plus 3) at Mississippi — @baconfed_ninja

First of two road game for Aggies to possibly close out the Kevin Sumlin era ... TEXAS A&M 35-31.

___
Record last week: 15-5 straight up; 11-9 against the spread.
Record this season: 183-60 straight up; 110-118-6 against the spread.
Upset specials: 4-7 (straight up).
Best bets: 7-3 (against the spread).
___
Follow Ralph D. Russo at www.Twitter.com/ralphDrussoAP
___
More AP college football: www.collegefootball.ap.org and www.twitter.com/AP_Top25

(Copyright 2017 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.)

Read more
f

We and our partners use cookies to understand how you use our site, improve your experience and serve you personalized content and advertising. Read about how we use cookies in our cookie policy and how you can control them by clicking Manage Settings. By continuing to use this site, you accept these cookies.