Last Updated Aug 2, 2010 6:23 PM EDT
The tantalizing dilemma facing AA's shareholders and creditors is this: Somewhere inside this company is a viable retail clothing business (its total sales are still growing even though same-store sales are in decline). Charney's mismanagement has ruined that business. He must be removed as CEO. But Charney owns 53 percent of APP's shares, and thus completely controls the company. If he wants to go down in flames, into bankruptcy, no one can stop him.
It would be a dramatic end for a company -- a man, really, as Charney essentially is his company -- that turned modern fashion advertising on its head. Before AA, fashion ads tended to be exquisitely shot, well-lit, art-directed mini-movies with famous models and actors. Charney, who shoots his own ads, showed you could sell clothes with grainy Polaroids of no-name girls (as long as those girls were mostly naked).
Yet we could be at the end. Normally, when a company gets into this type of difficulty, investors and creditors approach the CEO with loaded guns: Leave, or we'll force you into bankruptcy and take your company from you. CEOs have no choice, as they generally don't own a majority of their own firms.
As a majority owner, Charney can't be threatened. If he wants to commit business suicide, he can. That's a real possibility: The quality of Charney's decision-making has been in decline over the last two years:
- He's focused relentlessly on expanding AA's retail footprint when everyone knows it should have done the Starbucks thing and contract.
- He's focused relentlessly on porny ads when everyone knows that the core of his problems are structural, not image-based.
- He's focused relentlessly on hiring cute young girls willing to take their clothes off when everyone knows his senior management layer is desperately short on talent.
The really scary thing about all this is that as the majority holder, Charney has seen his fortune decimated. His current holdings are worth somewhere near 10 percent of their uppermost value. And that's not including the money that Charney has lent his own company from time to time.
A rational person would have given up control of AA to someone more qualified to run it. The fact that Charney hasn't done that suggests ... well, let's just see how this whole thing pans out.
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