Last Updated Jan 22, 2011 9:49 AM EST
Last week, there was more evidence of stabilization in Europe, though international investors soon anointed China as the problem child of the world. The world's second largest economy said that growth continues to be strong, which raised the probability that the Chinese central bank would have to raise interest rates to fight inflation.
President Obama named GE CEO Jeffrey Immelt to head his outside panel of economic advisers, replacing Paul Volcker.
The S&P 500's seven week winning streak came to an end, though bulls took comfort in the Dow's eighth straight week of gains, as it closed at a 30-month high.
- DJIA: 11,871, up 0.7% on week, up 2.5% YTD (up 7% over last 8 weeks)
- S&P 500: 1283, down 0.7% on week, up 2% YTD
- NASDAQ: 2689, down 2.4% on week, up 1.4% YTD
- March Crude Oil: $89.11, down 3.7% on week
- February Gold: $1341.90, down 1.4% on week
FACTOIDS OF THE WEEK: Bank earnings edition
There were mixed results from the nation's largest financial firms. Goldman Sachs' net fell 52%, the third straight quarterly decline; Citigroup was (barely) profitable, but missed expectations, as did Wells Fargo. Bank of America reported a larger loss from the previous year and missed analysts' estimates, while Morgan Stanley surprised on the upside, with a 35% increase in earnings.
Here's what we've learned about compensation levels so far:
- Goldman Sachs - staff comp = $15.3B; average payout of $430,700 (down 14% on 2009)
- Goldman Partners charitable contribution: $1.8M per GS partner over last 2 years, via Goldman Sachs Gives, a public charity established by the firm in 2007
- JPMorgan - staff comp = $9.73B; average payout $369,651 (2.4% down on 2009)
- Morgan Stanley - staff comp = $16B ($7.08B to investment bank, balance to brokers); average payout = $256,596 (up from $236,602 in 2009, though dramatically skewed due to payout to Smith Barney brokers. MS purchased SB brokerage from Citigroup after the financial crisis.)
- Bonus GOSSIP: Tales of slamming doors and threats of "I quit" were rampant throughout the week, as bonus numbers plunged for many bank employees.
The Federal Open Market Committee will hold a two-day meeting starting on Tuesday, with a statement published on Wednesday afternoon. No change in policy is expected.
American Express, McDonald's
3M, DuPont, Johnson & Johnson, Travelers, Verizon
FOMC Meeting Begins
9:00 S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index
10:00 FHFA House Price Index
President delivers SOTU
10:00 Consumer Confidence
Boeing, United Technologies
10:00 New Home Sales
2:15 FOMC Announcement
Treasury Secretary Geithner testifies on TARP before the House Oversight committee
CBO releases annual budget and outlook
Caterpillar, Microsoft, Procter & Gamble
8:30 Weekly Claims
8:30 Durable Goods Orders
10:00 Pending Home Sales Index
The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission delivers its report
8:30 GDP-Q4 Advance (+3.5% expected)
9:55 Consumer Sentiment