Japan raises growth forecast as yen slides


TOKYO Anticipating a boost from stimulus spending and a weakening yen, Japan's government on Monday raised its growth forecast, predicting the economy will emerge from recession and expand 2.5 percent in the coming fiscal year.

The yen has dropped more than 10 percent in recent months, reaching its lowest level since July 2010. Share prices have surged in anticipation that higher stimulus spending will boost economic activity, and that the weaker yen will aid exporters.

The Cabinet office's earlier estimate for growth in the fiscal year that starts April was 1.7 percent. It expects inflation-adjusted growth of 1.0 percent in the current fiscal year.

The consumer price index is forecast to rise 0.5 percent, less than the inflation target of 2 percent announced by the central bank and the government last week after lobbying by Prime Minister Shinzo Abe.

Abe took office a month ago and has made his top priorities reviving the economy and ending a prolonged spell of deflation -- falling prices that can dampen investment and growth.

The revised forecasts assume the yen will average 87.8 yen per U.S. dollar in fiscal 2013, compared with 81.9 yen per dollar for this fiscal year.

The benchmark Nikkei 225 stock index topped 11,000 for the first time since April 2010 early Monday before falling back to close 0.9 percent lower at 10,824.30.

The yen was trading at 90.68 to the dollar late Monday, after briefly hitting 91.06.



Live Video

Market Data

Watch CBSN Live

Watch CBS News anytime, anywhere with the new 24/7 digital news network. Stream CBSN live or on demand for FREE on your TV, computer, tablet, or smartphone.

Watch Now

Market News

Stock Watchlist

New Android App

For your Android phone and tablet, download the FREE redesigned app, featuring CBSN, live 24/7 news.

The all new
CBS News App for Android® for iPad® for iPhone®
Fully redesigned. Featuring CBSN, 24/7 live news. Get the App