Last Updated Apr 10, 2009 5:46 PM EDT
So what do we do? One possibility is to sit on our hands -- to say that nothing more is to be done.
The second possibility is to choose to do something along the lines of one or more of three types of policies that are, in normal times, much less effective and less appropriate than standard monetary policies, but that just might work. These three are:
- Banking sector policy (bank recapitalization and government taking private-sector risk onto its own balance sheet)
- Printing money
- Big cyclical deficits
Now I will go off and think about what facts about the world that might be true would convince me that Tyler is right -- that Plan B should be quantitative easing alone, and that other measures should be reserved for Plan C and Plan D, rather than Plan B being a mix of all three possibilities.
Follow Blog War over the federal stimulus package:
- Monday, April 6, Brad DeLong: The Stimulus Package: Like the Housing Bubble, Only Better
- Monday, April 6, Tyler Cowen: Good Policy, Bad Timing: How the Stimulus Package Could be Smarter
- Tuesday, April 7: Tyler Cowen: Stimulus Won't Help U.S. Industry Restructure Itself
- Tuesday, April 7: Brad DeLong: Arguments Against Fiscal Stimulus Exhibit a "Deep Incoherence"
- Tuesday, April 7: Tyler Cowen: It's Easier For the Government to Print Money Than to Spend It; Or, Monetarism Rulz!
- Tuesday, April 7: Brad DeLong: Fiscal Stimulus Beats Doing Nothing -- By a Lot
- Wednesday, April 8: Brad DeLong: Why the Geithner Plan is Good Medicine for the Banking System
- Wednesday, April 8: Tyler Cowen: The Geithner Plan: An End Run Around Congress
- Thursday, April 9: Tyler Cowen: Coming to Grips With the End of Debt-Fueled Consumption
- Thursday, April 9: Brad DeLong: Yes to Economic Restructuring; No to Universal Bankruptcy
- Friday, April 10: Brad DeLong: Final Thoughts: What Would Turn Me Against Fiscal Stimulus
- Friday, April 10: Tyler Cowen: The Economy is in Too Much Trouble for Stimulus to Help