Battleground State Profile: New Hampshire



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State Data:


2008 Primary Results:


Hillary Clinton: 39%

Barack Obama: 37%

John Edwards: 17%



John McCain: 37%

Mitt Romney: 32%

Mike Huckabee: 11%



2004 Election Results:


John Kerry: 50.24%

George W. Bush: 48.87%



2000 Election Results:


George W. Bush: 48.07%

Al Gore: 46.80%



Racial Breakdown:


White: 95.1%

Black: 0.7%

Hispanic: 1.7%

Other: 2.5%



Income:


Under 25k: 21.7%

25-50k: 28.8%

50-100k: 35.7%

Over 100k: 13.9%



Education:


Less than H.S.: 12.6%

H.S. or Higher: 87.4%

BA or Higher: 28.7%

Grad/Prof Deg: 10.0%



Who do you think will win New Hampshire?



John McCain


Barack Obama




























New Hampshire



New Hampshire, a state whose commitment to a philosophy of rugged individualism is displayed in its "Live Free Or Die" motto, is the only state in liberal New England in which John McCain can realistically expect to be competitive. In 2004, the state went narrowly to Democrat John Kerry, of neighboring Massachusetts; in 2000, by a small margin, voters chose George W. Bush over Al Gore.


Independents, who make up more than 40 percent of the state's electorate, will be key in determining who takes New Hampshire's four electoral votes.


Mr. Bush wasn't the first choice of those who voted in the state's 2000 Republican primary, however: McCain defeated Mr. Bush in that contest, a victory that almost propelled him to the GOP nomination. McCain's also won the state's primary this year. Barack Obama, meanwhile, saw his Iowa caucuses momentum halted in the Granite State when rival Hillary Clinton took the state's first-in-the-nation primary.

Independents, who make up more than 40 percent of the state's electorate, will be key in determining who takes New Hampshire's four electoral votes. McCain's "maverick" image plays well New Hampshire, but the state has been trending Democratic: In 2006, all of the major races in the state went to the Democrats, and statistics suggest a leftward shift in the state, due in part to an influx of relatively liberal residents originally from out-of-state.

Ways To Win




Predict A Winner

Make picks for each state to build a path to electoral college victory.



Related Colorado Campaign Stories



Poll Averages




Real Clear Politics averages recent polls from a wide number of media sources, including some not recognized or used by CBS News, and shows the average lead of the top candidate.