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Sabato's Crystal Ball: GOP Comes Out On Top

September 2, 2010 1:03 PM

UVA Professor and political extraordinaire, Larry Sabato unveils his predictions for the 2010 mid-terms. Plus; CBS News' Kaylee Hartung on Facebook's growing popularity among Washington's politicians.

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by bradkt1 September 3, 2010 12:06 AM EDT
Although the trends are currently bad for the Democrats, I still say it's too early to count your chickens. A lot of these predictions are based on projections of "likely voters." Everything depends on the actual candidates and some of the GOP candidates are not all that strong. A lot can change in two months...

...but the Democrats had better get cracking.
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by propitiation September 2, 2010 11:07 PM EDT
Looking at the poll numbers from www.realclearpolitics right now, swinging the Toss Ups 1 toward the Dems:

Sabato says,
House +47 GOP, the polls are saying right now around +44 GOP
Senate +8-9 GOP, the polls are saying right now around +7 GOP
Governor +8 GOP, the polls are saying right now around +6 GOP

Though, for example Fiorina today in the latest poll is ahead of Senator Boxer by 2%, showing that Firoina did well in their first Debate last night. Sabato's numbers look accurate.
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