CBS News/ April 8, 2011, 8:12 AM

1995 shutdown v. 2011: Economy a key difference

As negotiations continue in an effort to avert a federal government shutdown, pundits are pointing to the many similarities between this go-round and the shutdowns in 1995.

"It's kind of deja vu all over again," CBS News Senior White House Correspondent, Bill Plante observed on "The Early Show" Friday.

Plante covered the 1995 events.

"You have both sides standing on principle," Plante pointed out. "You have a clash between the president and the speaker. Back then, it was Democrat Bill Clinton in the White House, and Republican Newt Gingrich, the Speaker of the House.

Time's almost up: No deal yet as shutdown looms

"But, just like today's speaker, John Boehner, Gingrich was determined to cut money out of the budget. The money issues are very similar, too. Congress had passed a budget that cut Medicare, Medicaid, education, environmental controls, and President Clinton refused to sign that budget. He said the Republicans were putting ideology ahead of common sense. Sound familiar?"

Democrats are making the same charges against the GOP today.

"And, of course," Plante continued, "just as today in 1995, an election year, a presidential year, was just around the corner."

But, he stressed, there's a striking difference this time around from last time - a difference that's very much a wildcard: The economy was on a very sound footing in '95.

"Also," Planted added, "there were no social issues like abortion clouding the debate. But the economy was the big thing.

"Back then, the economy was growing. Credit was easy. Consumers were spending. And Gingrich thought that Clinton would fold.

"But Clinton didn't fold, and there were two shutdowns - one for about a week in November, and then for three weeks over the Christmas/New Year holiday.

"And believe me, by the beginning of that third week, people were really, really angry. They blamed both the president and Congress, but Clinton rode it out and, in the end, Congress wound up getting most of the blame, and specifically, Speaker Gingrich.

"But this time, of course, the economy is in much worse shape, and the White House is not at all certain that things would turn out the same way.

"But neither side wants to blink first."

© 2011 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved.
31 Comments Add a Comment
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mikelpond says:
One difference is that gingrich is (and was) a much higher profile and I would argue less appealing leader on the con side. but at this moment the Planned parenthood rider looks to be giving a big advantage to the Dems argument that this isn't really about the deficit at all but rather cons trying to get policy changes they could never win otherwise. In CA we see this all the time with the cons and it looks like that is the MO here as well.
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AlFranken says:
President Clinton was the last president to have a surplus instead of a budget. He did it by taxing the very wealthy and it was he that brought us out of another bad economy generated from another GOP president named "BUSH". That is the key similarity that the article neglected to point out.

No Dem president has came close to increasing the federal deficit as much as both Bush's have. Clinton decreased the the deficit substantially.

This idea that DEMS spend recklessly is ridiculous. They keep saying and we keep letting them say it. The truth is, the GOP is just as happy spending tax dollars but only on their priorities -- corporate subsidies and spending money on foreign wars to benefit the likes of oil mongers.
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MerrellObrian says:
Would there BE a budget issue if George Bush hadn't made all the bank bailouts and we weren't extended into so many foreign countries? How about if now, we cut the military budget 2% and lower the deficit $500,000,000,000. And, we can stop giving money to countries like Pakistan, who are secretly working to kill our troops. We haven't stopped funding Haiti yet and we're shelling out billions to help Japan, one of the richest nations on earth. I'm a liberal democrat and this is the way I believe!
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mccullo2005 replies:
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You mam, are not a liberal democrat. Stop degrading our political beliefs by claiming a stance which you do not support.
smitvict replies:
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A good start would have been to NOT have the failed Obama stimulus. ~$1T flushed.
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gunndee3 says:
Some lessons have to be learned the hard way, no matter how old we ar. The real winner with a shutdown will be the media who will be serving Kool Aid to both sides while cashing in on a sure ratings bonanza and we turn on the TV to discover how many seconds, minutes, hours, days, weeks ... the shutdown has lasted.
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ffrecster says:
The economy is recovering and the GOP wants to stop it in it's tracks lest Obama gets any credit and a 2nd term. Playing politics, pure politics with the American people. Power corrupts, absolute power corrupts absolutely. The GOP is going to do it because they can and they will.
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Mortarman429 replies:
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The economy is floundering and the Democrats want to kill it off so they can take it over.
MerrellObrian replies:
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The GOP is scared to death there is recovery happening. "NO!!," they scream and do everything they can to shut it down. Big logic question here: Doesn't the Tea Party want smaller Government? According to them, aren't the Dems craving larger government? This is their argument, not mine. So, stating that it's the Dems who want to the shut down...that is stupid, isn't it?
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recoveringRepub says:
Repeal the extended tax cuts for the highly wealthy people. Why is this not on the table along with the cuts?
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sjc_1 replies:
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Tax cuts for the rich are sacred, going after Planned Parenthood is ideology.
smitvict replies:
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How about getting some of the 47% of Americans who pay NO federal income taxes to pay something, even if just a little.

Dems have this attitude that other people's money actually belongs to them to give away as they please.
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sjc_1 says:
It they can show a plan where the deficits will be lower in a reasonable time, people might listen. This GOP terrorist hatchet job does much more harm than good and is just being used to advance their agenda. Wake up people!
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Mortarman429 replies:
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What about the terrorist spending job the Dems have done over the past few years and continue to want to do?

Remember the terrorist actions called "Stimulus" and "Obamacare"???
mikelpond replies:
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I don't believe this is about the deficit at all. In CA we see the cons continually trying to achieve their policy goals on the back of budget battles and I think that is what is happening nationally right now. I mean they could never defund Planned Parenthood as a stand alone bill, so they try to hang on this budget issue.
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theaffluentsociety2 says:
A key difference between the tea party and the Democrat's ability to ride this crisis out will be initial popularity and strength of the ties between voters and representatives. I honestly believe that Obama has a larger demographic of moderate supporters, while the Tea Party has a small cadre of extremely enthusiastic supporters. But most of the Tea Party's supporters are more anti-'socialist' than pro-anything. I feel that their representatives' unwillingness to compromise, and inexperienced viewpoint that change can occur overnight on the national level, shows this 'young' party's achilles heel: unlike the Democrats, with their strong nationwide political organization, the Tea Party was a populist movement. Without showing results to the American People save for the hardships and pain wrought on by governmental shutdown, they will quickly fold in 2012 and 2014.
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jgg000101 replies:
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yea, once the coffee party gets wind of this, and air america runs with it, those tea partiers are skarooed.
Mortarman429 replies:
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Air America? LOL!!
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myopinionpal says:
All the GOP wants to do is to keep the economy in such bad shape to make the president look bad in order to win back the White House. So that they can cut and do whatever without threat of a veto. The GOP could careless about the american people its all about them.If this were not so then why is it that congress will still get paid if the goverment shuts down?
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meboard says:
#1 stated goal of GOP...defeat Pres Obama at ALL costs. That's al this is about. The GOP never did ANYTHING to help the middle and lower classes.
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smitvict replies:
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Cutting taxes - that's a good start.

Since 47% of Americans don't pay federal income tax, it's hard to give the 'lower'classes a genuine tax cut.

As far as what Obama / Pelosi / Reed have given the middle and lower classes - sustained high unemployment, record deficits, record gas prices and no economic or energy plan.
Mortarman429 replies:
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#1 goal of Democrats is to defeat GOP at all costs.
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