August 5, 2010 10:32 AM

Patience With Environmental Half Steps is Over

By
CBSNews
(CBS)  Bill McKibben is founder of 350.org and the author, most recently, of Earth: Making a Life on a Tough New Planet This article originally appeared on TomDispatch.

Try to fit these facts together:

According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the planet has just come through the warmest decade, the warmest 12 months, the warmest six months, and the warmest April, May, and June on record.

A "staggering" new study from Canadian researchers has shown that warmer seawater has reduced phytoplankton, the base of the marine food chain, by 40% since 1950.

 Nine nations have so far set their all-time temperature records in 2010, including Russia (111 degrees), Niger (118), Sudan (121), Saudi Arabia and Iraq (126 apiece), and Pakistan, which also set the new all-time Asia record in May: a hair under 130 degrees. I can turn my oven to 130 degrees.

And then, in late July, the U.S. Senate decided to do exactly nothing about climate change. They didn't do less than they could have -- they did nothing, preserving a perfect two-decade bipartisan record of no action. Senate majority leader Harry Reid decided not even to schedule a vote on legislation that would have capped carbon emissions.

I wrote the first book for a general audience on global warming back in 1989, and I've spent the subsequent 21 years working on the issue. I'm a mild-mannered guy, a Methodist Sunday School teacher. Not quick to anger. So what I want to say is: this is messed up. The time has come to get mad, and then to get busy.

For many years, the lobbying fight for climate legislation on Capitol Hill has been led by a collection of the most corporate and moderate environmental groups, outfits like the Environmental Defense Fund. We owe them a great debt, and not just for their hard work. We owe them a debt because they did everything the way you're supposed to: they wore nice clothes, lobbied tirelessly, and compromised at every turn.

By the time they were done, they had a bill that only capped carbon emissions from electric utilities (not factories or cars) and was so laden with gifts for industry that if you listened closely you could actually hear the oinking. They bent over backwards like Soviet gymnasts.  Senator John Kerry, the legislator they worked most closely with, issued this rallying cry as the final negotiations began: "We believe we have compromised significantly, and we're prepared to compromise further."

And even that was not enough

 They were left out to dry by everyone -- not just Reid, not just the Republicans. Even President Obama wouldn't lend a hand, investing not a penny of his political capital in the fight.

The result: total defeat, no moral victories.

Now What?

So now we know what we didn't before: making nice doesn't work. It was worth a try, and I'm completely serious when I say I'm grateful they made the effort, but it didn't even come close to working. So we better try something else.

Step one involves actually talking about global warming.  For years now, the accepted wisdom in the best green circles was: talk about anything else -- energy independence, oil security, beating the Chinese to renewable technology. I was at a session convened by the White House early in the Obama administration where some polling guru solemnly explained that "green jobs" polled better than "cutting carbon."

No, really?  In the end, though, all these focus-group favorites are secondary.  The task at hand is keeping the planet from melting. We need everyone -- beginning with the president -- to start explaining that basic fact at every turn.

It is the heat, and also the humidity.  Since warm air holds more water than cold, the atmosphere is about 5% moister than it was 40 years ago, which explains the freak downpours that seem to happen someplace on this continent every few days.

It is the carbon -- that's why the seas are turning acid, a point Obama could have made with ease while standing on the shores of the Gulf of Mexico. "It's bad that it's black out there," he might have said, "but even if that oil had made it safely ashore and been burned in our cars, it would still be wrecking the oceans." Energy independence is nice, but you need a planet to be energy independent on.

Mysteriously enough, this seems to be a particularly hard point for smart people to grasp. Even in the wake of the disastrous Senate non-vote, the Nature Conservancy's climate expert told New York Times columnist Tom Friedman, "We have to take climate change out of the atmosphere, bring it down to earth, and show how it matters in people's everyday lives." Translation: ordinary average people can't possibly recognize the real stakes here, so let's put it in language they can understand, which is about their most immediate interests. It's both untrue, as I'll show below, and incredibly patronizing. It is, however, exactly what we've been doing for a decade and clearly, It Does Not Work.

Step two, we have to ask for what we actually need, not what we calculate we might possibly be able to get. If we're going to slow global warming in the very short time available to us, then we don't actually need an incredibly complicated legislative scheme that gives door prizes to every interested industry and turns the whole operation over to Goldman Sachs to run.  We need a stiff price on carbon, set by the scientific understanding that we can't still be burning black rocks a couple of decades hence. That undoubtedly means upending the future business plans of Exxon and BP, Peabody Coal and Duke Energy, not to speak of everyone else who's made a fortune by treating the atmosphere as an open sewer for the byproducts of their main business.

Instead they should pay through the nose for that sewer, and here's the crucial thing: most of the money raised in the process should be returned directly to American pockets. The monthly check sent to Americans would help fortify us against the rise in energy costs, and we'd still be getting the price signal at the pump to stop driving that SUV and start insulating the house. We also need to make real federal investments in energy research and development, to help drive down the price of alternatives -- the Breakthrough Institute points out, quite rightly, that we're crazy to spend more of our tax dollars on research into new drone aircraft and Mars orbiters than we do on photovoltaics.

Yes, these things are politically hard, but they're not impossible. A politician who really cared could certainly use, say, the platform offered by the White House to sell a plan that taxed BP and actually gave the money to ordinary Americans. (So far they haven't even used the platform offered by the White House to reinstall the rooftop solar panels that Jimmy Carter put there in the 1970s and Ronald Reagan took down in his term.)

Asking for what you need doesn't mean you'll get all of it.  Compromise still happens. But as David Brower, the greatest environmentalist of the late twentieth century, explained amid the fight to save the Grand Canyon: "We are to hold fast to what we believe is right, fight for it, and find allies and adduce all possible arguments for our cause. If we cannot find enough vigor in us or them to win, then let someone else propose the compromise. We thereupon work hard to coax it our way. We become a nucleus around which the strongest force can build and function."

Which leads to the third step in this process. If we're going to get any of this done, we're going to need a movement, the one thing we haven't had. For 20 years environmentalists have operated on the notion that we'd get action if we simply had scientists explain to politicians and CEOs that our current ways were ending the Holocene, the current geological epoch. That turns out, quite conclusively, not to work. We need to be able to explain that their current ways will end something they actually care about, i.e. their careers. And since we'll never have the cash to compete with Exxon, we better work in the currencies we can muster: bodies, spirit, passion.



Copyright 2010 CBS. All rights reserved.
Add a Comment See all 26 Comments
by pasheast August 6, 2010 1:22 PM EDT
Bill McKibben claims that "Nine nations have so far set their all-time temperature records in 2010, including Russia (111 degrees)... and Pakistan, which also set the new all-time Asia record in May: a hair under 130 degrees. I can turn my oven to 130 degrees." No you can't, Bill. You are confusing Centigrade (Celsius) with Fahrenheit. The temperature records quoted are in F degrees, your oven temperature is in C. The lowest oven temp is 1/4 which is Very Slow/Very Cool and equates to 225C. Doesn't augor well for the accuracy of rest of his piece or of the propaganda put out by the organisation he founded.
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by pasheast August 7, 2010 5:49 AM EDT
Looks like Bill McKibben isn't the only one confusing C with F -- I'm embarrassed to add that the 225C figure should of course be 225F! McKibben's claimed oven temp of 130F degree equates to 54C which is way, way below the lowest oven temp of 107C (225F).
by sabniz August 6, 2010 1:25 AM EDT
Government can do something about environment and green energy if they really want to. They can just push some mandates on all new constructions or buildings to meet LEED standard, and give incentives to do green upgrade on older non-green buildings and residential buildings. If this can happen, then we are talking about a significant step towards energy conservation and sustainable materials consumptions and green energy applications, which in turn will create tons of related jobs.

Also, to reduce oil consumption, government needs to ban oil heating, in commercial and residential buildings, and replace such energy consumption by wind and solar energy instead. Thus, we could curb significant amount of oil consumption and push forward green energy production and applications. Another big thing is building national high speed rail network, so that alternative transportation to either cars or airlines would become reality and thus further curb the nation's oil/gas consumption.


If Obama admin is serious about renewable energy and reducing oil consumption, they should do these things or push such agendas quickly. But, with the admin's record so far, I doubt it would really happen. However, as people in this country, we need to advocate the changes like these and make them happen now.
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by smitvict August 6, 2010 8:07 AM EDT
"ban oil heating, in commercial and residential buildings, and replace such energy consumption by wind and solar energy instead".
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Total fantasy. If there were any options to avoid home heating oil in the northeast that were affordable, they'd be in place now. Windmills and solar collectors are not energy dense enough to make even a dent in the short cold January days.
by sabniz August 6, 2010 12:54 AM EDT
Demos and Obama are pretty much spineless on environmental issues. Repubs are just a bunch of global warming deniers or the idiots who see the world with blind eyes. Unless we really have more people push our government to do something about the environment, nothing would happen in Congress or Obama administration.
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by Void-Master August 5, 2010 8:38 PM EDT
I do agree that civilization must evolve past fossil fuels if it is to survive much longer. And frankly, barring some great innovation, nuclear energy seems the most accessible to us. Civilization simply may not have time to develop anything better. So go with nuclear first then worry about developing something else.

The U. S. probably needs to lead the way since it seems to be the greatest carbon fuel user. The problem with the nuclear industry in the United States is that each and every power plant currently on line was designed and built as though it were the first and only one of its kind. There were no standards. There are no interchangeable parts. What works just fine at one nuclear power plant most likely will not even fit equipment at another.

Look to the French. They have a pretty well developed nuclear industry and that is largely because they used one engineering company to design and build all of their plants. The U. S. should at least copy their model if not contract that same company to perform the same task here.
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by thomderr1 August 6, 2010 10:21 AM EDT
Given the current economy, solar power is still out of reach for most Americans. The conversion to solar is just as far away as their next electric bill payment. Even further.

The incoming electric cars will be great, depending on one's needs. However, if they get their electricity from a fossil fuel plant the benefits are offset.

Newer nuclear energy would be great. But I can hear the naysayers now, "You are only providing more targets for the terrorist's."

It's easier to speak to a family pet and get them to understand, than it is to speak to a politician.
by tmittelstaed August 5, 2010 5:17 PM EDT
The fact of the matter is that the Earth has a capability of carbon-fixing, of absorbing carbon from the atmosphere, and that as long as total carbon production of the Earth is equal or less than the maximum capacity of the Earth to fix carbon, then we are fine.

The problem is that our carbon production is too high. It isn't a question of -eliminating- carbon it's a question of -reducing- carbon production.

And the most important thing that we can do to -reduce- carbon production to to HALT THE GROWTH OF THE WORLD'S POPULATION.

As long as world population continues to increase it doesen't matter if you do something that reduces your carbon output, such as conserve energy, because what carbon you save will be spent the next day by more bodies on the planet, using more resources. Total carbon output will still increase, just not as quickly, but it will still go up.

People like this article author claim that the politicians don't want to face the hard choices - well, the Green environmental people don't wanna, either. If they did they would be going up against organizations like the Catholic Church which has opposed birth control for centuries.

It's easy to assemble a hundred thousand people across the globe to be in favor of the environment. But when you start telling those
people that they either cannot have children at all, or should only have 1 child, in order to counterbalance all the wild breeders out there so as to help reduce population growth, well your gonna see your support evaporate like a puff of air.

The next time you see a Greenie protesting with a sign she is carrying, ask them if they are doing their part by not having children or just having 1 child, and watch them run off.
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by Void-Master August 5, 2010 8:28 PM EDT
Reduce the population, 'eh? If that's all it takes but that is what it takes, we're doomed. As long as makin' babies remains more popular than dying... well you get the picture.

Here's another problem with "fixing global warming." The U. S. economy is still hurting. The average working citizen cannot afford for his utility bills to go up. In fact, he cannot afford for them to not go down. Cap-and-trade or any other carbon tax scheme cannot help but force utility bills up.

Further, while I do see clear and compelling evidence of global warming, I do not believe that human activity caused or causes it. The very notion actually seems a bit arrogant of us to thing we are that significant. That said, I don't think there is squat we can to do reverse, slow, stop, impede or very much change global warming.

I sincerely believe that global warming is a very natural, cyclic process -- invariably followed by global cooling. For example, at least once in Earth's past, the planet was collectively hot enough that there was no ice on it. During that time, the sea levels were so high that most of what is now the Continental United States was under water with really only the Appellations and Rocky Mountain ranges above sea level.

Subsequent to that were periods of glaciation, commonly and collectively known as the Ice Ages. During that time, so much of Earth's water was locked up in ice that sea levels were hundreds of feet lower than they are now. In fact they were so low as to expose a land bridge between Asia and North America (the Beringia land bridge).

Incidentally, Beringia was most likely responsible, at least in part, for the *first* time that Old World humans invaded North America. You see? Everything in life is cyclic.

Yes, global warming is a fact. The planet is getting hotter. And in time it will get colder again. Meanwhile, life is resilient. Life will *change*, but life will remain. Civilization on the other hand... well that's anybody's guess.
by sabniz August 6, 2010 1:47 AM EDT
I agree with your comments on population, but our government under influence of religion right encourage population instead with all that child tax credits, i.e. the more baby you make the more you get rewarded. Unless we change this tax practice, we are not going to encourage people having less babies. Right now, even hospitals and doctors are trying to help women having 3-8 babies at one time, which is completely insane.
by dadirt August 5, 2010 4:18 PM EDT
Scientist have told us the air inthe US is too clean and that the polution was reflecting heat back into the atmosphere. Our air in the US is cleaner that any time in the past 100 years. Heating cycle of the sun are known and ignored, we had one of the coldest winters on record. They were hoping we would get overrun with hurricanes for he past several years and that has not happended. global warming people are looking for the doom and gloom. It has been in the 120's in AZ, and the middle ease every summer. I am tired of listening to junk science reports, about global warming. Like everything else, the sky is falling is big news, whether the story is true or not. They got caught a while back witholding the truth because it went against global warming. It is all about taxes, and political power.
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by ColoradoBob1 August 5, 2010 2:00 PM EDT
Moscow made 98 F degrees today , their extended forcast ;

Friday
Scattered Clouds. High: 104 ?F . Wind Calm.
Saturday
Clear. High: 100 ?F . Wind Calm.
Sunday
Scattered Clouds. High: 100 ?F . Wind Calm.
Monday
Clear. High: 100 ?F . Wind Calm.
Tuesday
Clear. High: 100 ?F . Wind Calm.
Wednesday
Scattered Clouds. High: 98 ?F . Wind Calm. Heat Index: 98 ?F .

http://www.wunderground.com/global/stations/27612.html

Today's satellite pass -

Smoke and fires across western Russia

http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/gallery/?2010217-0805/Russia.A2010217.0820.2km.jpg
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by louiville35 August 5, 2010 2:07 PM EDT
Yawn more useless stuff. You forget to mention the rest of Russia is also below normal.
by louiville35 August 5, 2010 2:10 PM EDT
Also ALL of your temps are recorded in Cities probably at airports where BIG Jets take off from HOT runways.
by ColoradoBob1 August 5, 2010 1:46 PM EDT
" Nine nations have so far set their all-time temperature records in 2010, including Russia (111 degrees), Niger (118), Sudan (121), Saudi Arabia and Iraq (126 apiece), and Pakistan, which also set the new all-time Asia record in May: a hair under 130 degrees. I can turn my oven to 130 degrees. "

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This number has changed , it is now 16 nations that have set their all time temperature records in 2010.

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Ukraine ties its record for hottest temperature in history
On August 1, Ukraine tied its record for hottest temperature in its history when the mercury hit 41.3?C (106.3?F) at Lukhansk. The Ukraine also reached 41.3?C on July 20 and 21, 2007, at Voznesensk. Sixteen of 225 nations on Earth have set extreme highest temperature in history records this year, the most of any year. The year 2007 is in second place, with fifteen such records.

Five major U.S. cities record their warmest month in history during July
July 2010 was the warmest month in history for five U.S. cities:

Las Vegas, NV: 96.2?F (old record: 95.3?F, July 2005).
Atlantic City, NJ: 79.8?F (old record: 78.7?F, July 1983)
Washington, D.C.: 83.1?F (tied with July 1993)
Baltimore, MD: 81.5?F (tied with July 1995)
Trenton, NJ: 80.5?F (tied with July 1955)

Also, in June, Miami, FL recorded its warmest month in history: 85.6?F (old record: 85.4?F in June 1998.)

Commentary
None of the 303 major U.S. cities listed in the records section of Chris Burt's book Extreme Weather has set a coldest month in history record since 1994 (these 303 cites were selected to represent a broad spectrum of U.S. climate zones, are not all big cities, have a good range of elevations, and in most cases have data going back to the 1880s.) There were just three such records (1% of the 303 major U.S. cities) set in the past twenty years, 1991 - 2010. In contrast, 97 out of 303 major U.S. cities (32%) set records for their warmest month in history during the past twenty years. It is much harder to set a coldest month in history record than a coldest day in history record in a warming climate, since it requires cold for an extended period of time--not just a sudden extreme cold snap.

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1565&tstamp=
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by louiville35 August 5, 2010 2:04 PM EDT
How come you stuff doesn't match this NOAA graph which shows most of the US ~62% below normal for temps this year? Are you Fear mongering?

http://www.hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/YearTDeptUS.png
by louiville35 August 5, 2010 2:06 PM EDT
Oh and BTW I've been in Las Vegas in July when it was 120 deg so your info looks pretty fishy.
by FrogPad1 August 5, 2010 12:47 PM EDT
Is this for real?
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by antiglobal5 August 5, 2010 12:12 PM EDT
part 3
"(You will remember that Tony Rezko was the guy who gave Obama an amazing sweet deal on his new house. Years prior to this, the law firm of Davis, Miner, Barnhill & Galland had represented Rezko's company and helped him get more than 43 million dollars in government funding.Guess who worked as a lawyer at the firm at the time. Yes, Barack Obama).

Adele Simmons, the Director of ShoreBank, is a close friend of Valerie Jarrett, a White House senior advisor to Obama. Simmons and Jarrett also sit on the board of a dubious Chicago Civic Organization.

Van Jones sits on the board of ShoreBank and is one the marketing directors for "green" projects. He also holds a senior advisor position for black studies at Princeton University. You will remember that Mr. Van Jones was appointed by Obama in 2009 to be a Special Advisor for Green Jobs at the White House. He was forced to resign over past political activities, including the fact that he is a Marxist.

Al Gore was one of the smaller partners to originally help fund the CHICAGO CLIMATE EXCHANGE. He also founded a company called Generation Investment Management (GIM) and registered it in London, England. GIM has close links to the UK-based Climate Exchange PLC, a holding company listed on the London Stock Exchange. This company trades Carbon Credits in Europe (just like CXX will do here) and its floor is run by Goldman Sachs. Along with Gore, the other co-founder of GIM is Hank Paulson, the former US Treasury Secretary and former CEO of Goldman Sachs. His wife, Wendy, graduated from and is presently a Trustee of Wellesley College. Yes, the same college that Hillary Clinton and Jan Piercy, a co-founder of Shorebank attended. (They are all friends).

Interesting? And now the closing...

Because many studies have been exposed as scientific nonsense, people are slowly realizing that man-made global warming is nothing more than a money-generating hoax. As a result, Obama is working feverishly to win the race. He aims to push a Cap-and-Trade Carbon Tax Bill through Congress and into law.

Obama knows he must get this passed before he loses his majority in Congress in the November elections. Apart from Climate Change he will "sell" this bill to the public as generating tax revenue to reduce our debt. But, it will also make it impossible for US companies to compete in world markets and drastically increase unemployment. In addition, energy prices (home utility rates) will sky rocket.

But, here's the KICKER (THE MONEY TRAIL).

If the bill passes, it is estimated that over 10 TRILLION dollars each year will be traded on the CXX exchange. At a commission rate of only 4 percent, the exchange would earn close to 400 billion dollars to split between its owners, all Obama cronies. At a 2 percent rate, Goldman Sachs would also rake in 200 billion dollars each year.

But don't forget SHOREBANK. With 10 trillion dollars flowing though its accounts, the bank will earn close to 40 billion dollars in interest each year for its owners (more Obama cronies), without even breaking a sweat.

It is estimated Al Gore alone will probably rake in 15 billion dollars just in the first year. Of course, Obama's "commissions" will be held in trust for him at the Joyce Foundation. They are estimated to be over 8 billion dollars by the time he leaves office in 2013, if the bill passes this year. Of course, these commissions will continue to be paid for the rest of his life.

Some financial experts think this will be the largest "scam" or "legal heist" in world history. Obama's cronies make the Mafia look like rank amateurs. They will make Bernie Madoff's fraud look like penny ante stuff. "
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by ColoradoBob1 August 5, 2010 2:05 PM EDT
I await your report on the money behind the denier camp.
by louiville35 August 5, 2010 3:32 PM EDT
Isn't that your job BOB to post those numbers?
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