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CBSNews /

CBS/ AP/ June 16, 2010, 10:02 AM

Scientists: Oil Leak Up to 60,000 Barrels a Day

The Spanish flag flies near a statue of Christopher Columbus on May 29, 2012 in Madrid, Spain.

The Spanish flag flies near a statue of Christopher Columbus on May 29, 2012 in Madrid, Spain. / File,Denis Doyle/Getty Images


Updated at 12:37 a.m., June 16, 2010 EDT

On the eve of President Obama's Oval Office address to the nation about the ongoing oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico and efforts to contain it, scientists provided a new estimate for the size of the oil spill on Tuesday that indicate it could be worse than previously thought.

Special Section: Disaster in the Gulf

A government panel of scientists said that the ruptured well is leaking between 1.47 million and 2.52 million gallons a day of oil, or between 35,000 and 60,000 barrels (based on a standard 42-gallon barrel). That is an increase over previous estimates that put the maximum size of the spill at 2.1 million gallons per day.

"This estimate brings together several scientific methodologies and the latest information from the sea floor, and represents a significant step forward in our effort to put a number on the oil that is escaping from BP's well," Energy Secretary Steven Chu said in a statement.

The latest numbers reflect an increase in the flow that scientists believe happened after undersea robots earlier this month cut off a kinked pipe near the sea floor that was believed to be restricting the flow of oil, just as a bend in a garden hose reduces water flow. BP officials has estimated that cutting the kinked pipe likely increased the flow by up 20 percent.

The pipe was removed so BP could install a containment cap that is trapping leaking oil and drawing it a ship waiting on the ocean surface.

The new numbers are based on a combination of scientific data, including an analysis of high-resolution video taken by underwater robots, pressure meters, sonar, and measurements of oil collected by the containment device on top of the well.

It is the fourth - and perhaps not last - time the federal government has had to increase its estimate of how much oil is gushing. At one point, the federal government claimed only 42,000 gallons were spilling a day and then it upped the number to 210,000 gallons.

As of Tuesday, the maximum amount of oil that has gushed out of the well since the April 20 explosion is 116 million gallons, according to the estimates by scientists advising the federal government.

Latest on the oil spill:

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Lawmakers Berate Oil Execs over Response Plans
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Obama Seeks to Show Control of Spill with Oval Office Address
Gibbs: BP Will Be Removed From Claims Process
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(CBS)
CBS/ AP
5 Comments Add a Comment
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wyodutch says:
"My fellow Americans", President Obama stated, "While the oil spilling into the Gulf of Mexico is an inconvenience, as Commander-In-Chief of the United States military, I want to assure you all that this has not effected our military posture."
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"A mere 60,000 barrels of oil a day are leaking into the pristine waters of the Gulf. Yes, that sounds like a lot. However, remember that our heroic troops occupying Iraq and Afghanistan are burning 120,000,000 barrels of oil a year in their Bradleys, Strykers, ships and planes."
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"Think about that, my Fellow Americans... At 60,000 barrels a day, it will take over 2,000 days to leak as much oil as we burn every year in our Patriotic Wars of Occupation."
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"God Bless Us All... and good night."
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TheYock says:
I just discovered why we are not using supertankers to clean up the oil spill . Supertankers did a great job of removing an oil spill near Saudi Arabia . This spill is a result of the cozy relationship between big oil, and the MMS that oversees drilling . We cannot use supertankers because of the Jones Act, a result of the cozy relationship between government, and unions . The Jones Act prevents use of supertankers because they are not built here, well what is built here ? Our leader does not want to offend the unions by taking charge, and suspending the Jones Act . We are stuck with toxic dispersant, and oil everywhere . If you offend the unions, who will pay for your re-election ? Enough sweet talk, we need action ! The Yock
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wfw3536 says:
It seems unbelievable that it took 57 days to figure this out. Is Obama still trusting BP? Several weeks ago independent scientist said it was 10 to 20 times what the government was telling us. This administration just can't seem to get a handle on this disaster. Maybe they should start using expert from around the world rather than trusting BP.
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spaceatoms replies:
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Its simple math
2*pie*19inch pipe times flow rate......
60,000 barrels * 42 gallons equals 240,000 gallons a day....latest guess
Standard bathtub 24 gallons, so could the leak fill up 10,000 bathtubs a day with a 19" hole versus a one inch bathtub source, probably from the look of the rate of the flow, its only 400 bathtubs an hour or 8 bathtubs a minute; it looks more like one bathtub a second which would mean the leak is 60 times worse or a million gallons a day!
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imthaid says:
BP is going to end up filing for bankruptcy and all the share holders will end up penniless. They are already exaggerating the cost and trying to hide money and minimize payouts. Remember what happened when GM filed for bankruptcy? Everyone ended up empty handed and GM was allowed to wipe away all legal claims, even the ones they had already lost over safety liability suits. And after BP files bankruptcy? Yeah, it's BAILOUT TIME. Right now the BP CEO is making deals with OBAMA to avoid jail time in exchange for a $20 BILLION slush fund. This will become the latest corporation to join The Obama Group.
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