Scientists: Oil Leak Up to 60,000 Barrels a Day

The Spanish flag flies near a statue of Christopher Columbus on May 29, 2012 in Madrid, Spain. / File,Denis Doyle/Getty Images
Updated at 12:37 a.m., June 16, 2010 EDT
On the eve of President Obama's Oval Office address to the nation about the ongoing oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico and efforts to contain it, scientists provided a new estimate for the size of the oil spill on Tuesday that indicate it could be worse than previously thought.
Special Section: Disaster in the Gulf
A government panel of scientists said that the ruptured well is leaking between 1.47 million and 2.52 million gallons a day of oil, or between 35,000 and 60,000 barrels (based on a standard 42-gallon barrel). That is an increase over previous estimates that put the maximum size of the spill at 2.1 million gallons per day.
"This estimate brings together several scientific methodologies and the latest information from the sea floor, and represents a significant step forward in our effort to put a number on the oil that is escaping from BP's well," Energy Secretary Steven Chu said in a statement.
The latest numbers reflect an increase in the flow that scientists believe happened after undersea robots earlier this month cut off a kinked pipe near the sea floor that was believed to be restricting the flow of oil, just as a bend in a garden hose reduces water flow. BP officials has estimated that cutting the kinked pipe likely increased the flow by up 20 percent.
The pipe was removed so BP could install a containment cap that is trapping leaking oil and drawing it a ship waiting on the ocean surface.
The new numbers are based on a combination of scientific data, including an analysis of high-resolution video taken by underwater robots, pressure meters, sonar, and measurements of oil collected by the containment device on top of the well.
It is the fourth - and perhaps not last - time the federal government has had to increase its estimate of how much oil is gushing. At one point, the federal government claimed only 42,000 gallons were spilling a day and then it upped the number to 210,000 gallons.
As of Tuesday, the maximum amount of oil that has gushed out of the well since the April 20 explosion is 116 million gallons, according to the estimates by scientists advising the federal government.
Latest on the oil spill:
BP: Ship Siphoning Oil Again After Fire
Obama Looks to Reassure, Flex Muscle on Spill
Lawmakers Berate Oil Execs over Response Plans
BP Gets OK to Burn Captured Gulf Oil at Sea
Foreign Flagging of Oil Rig Tied to Blast Cause
Obama Seeks to Show Control of Spill with Oval Office Address
Gibbs: BP Will Be Removed From Claims Process
Gulf Coast Skeptical of Obama's Spill Response
Vulnerable Gulf Species
Oil Drowning Small Businesses
11-Year-Old Draws for Gulf Relief

(CBS)
Popular on CBSNews.com
-
Photos: Underground shots of NYC's Second Ave. subway project New York City's Second Ave. subway was first conceived almost a century ago and when it is completed, it will extend all the way down the eastern side of Manhattan with 16 new stations. CBS News' Don Dahler reports on one of the most challenging public works projects in the country.
- Day care worker accused of drugging snacks for nap-time
- Report: U.S. teacher training an "industry of mediocrity"
- Shock as alleged Nazi unit leader, 94, found in U.S
- FAA approval sought for 650-foot-tall Vegas thrill ride
- Feds digging in Mich. field for Jimmy Hoffa's remains
- Church shooting in Ogden, Utah not a random act of violence Play Video
- Report: Pregnant workers face routine discrimination
- Former hitman testifies at "Whitey" Bulger trial














.
"A mere 60,000 barrels of oil a day are leaking into the pristine waters of the Gulf. Yes, that sounds like a lot. However, remember that our heroic troops occupying Iraq and Afghanistan are burning 120,000,000 barrels of oil a year in their Bradleys, Strykers, ships and planes."
.
"Think about that, my Fellow Americans... At 60,000 barrels a day, it will take over 2,000 days to leak as much oil as we burn every year in our Patriotic Wars of Occupation."
.
"God Bless Us All... and good night."
2*pie*19inch pipe times flow rate......
60,000 barrels * 42 gallons equals 240,000 gallons a day....latest guess
Standard bathtub 24 gallons, so could the leak fill up 10,000 bathtubs a day with a 19" hole versus a one inch bathtub source, probably from the look of the rate of the flow, its only 400 bathtubs an hour or 8 bathtubs a minute; it looks more like one bathtub a second which would mean the leak is 60 times worse or a million gallons a day!