June 12, 2010 10:51 PM

Oil Spill's Damage Far Greater than Once Thought

By
CBSNews

 

New numbers showing the amount of oil gushing from a well in the Gulf of Mexico may be double what was previously thought means the crude is likely to travel farther away, threatening more birds, fish and other wildlife that call the fragile waters their home, scientists said Friday.

The new figures could mean 42 million gallons to more than 100 million gallons of oil have already fouled the Gulf's delicate ecosystem and are affecting people who live, work and play along the coast from Louisiana to Florida — and perhaps beyond.

More oil means the giant gooey cloud can spread out over a greater distance, having far worse consequences for the environment, said Paul Montagna, a marine biologist at Texas A&M University Corpus Christi.

Special Section: Disaster in the Gulf

"Doubling the amount of oil does not have a linear effect, it doesn't double the consequences, it may instead have quadruple the consequences," Montagna, who studies the Gulf of Mexico deep sea reefs and other underwater ecosystems, said.

The new spill estimates released Thursday are worse than earlier ones — and far more costly for BP, which has seen its stock sink since the April 20 explosion that killed 11 workers and triggered the spill. Most of the new estimates had more oil flowing in an hour than what officials once said was spilling in an entire day.

The spill was flowing at a daily rate that could possibly have been as high as 2.1 million gallons, twice the highest number the federal government had been saying, said U.S. Geological Survey Director Marcia McNutt, who is coordinating estimates. But she said possibly more credible numbers are a bit lower.

Those estimates were the third — and perhaps not the last — time the U.S. government has had to increase its estimate of how much oil is gushing. Trying to clarify what has been a contentious and confusing issue, officials gave a wide variety of figures on Thursday.

But none of the estimates took into account the cutting of the well's riser pipe on June 3 — which BP said would increase the flow by about 20 percent — and subsequent placement of a cap. No estimates were given for the amount of oil gushing from the well after the cut. Nor are there estimates since a cap was put on the pipe, which already has collected more than 3 million gallons.

The increased estimates presents a larger danger to the animals who live the Gulf's coastal marshes, said John Andrew Nyman, a wetlands ecologist at Louisiana State University.

For example, the brown pelican population was believed to be near its healthy capacity before the spill, Nyman said, but with the spill continually gooing a larger area of its sensitive coastal habitat, the increase in pelican deaths could seriously impact the bird's recent recovery.

"This is a nightmare that keeps getting worse every week," said Michael Brune, the executive director of the Sierra Club. "We're finding out more and more information about the extent of the damage."

More coverage:

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BP Vows Faster Payment of Claims as Anger Mounts

The oil flow estimates are not nearly complete and different teams have come up with different numbers. A new team from the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute came in with even higher estimates, ranging from 1 million gallons a day to 2.1 million gallons. If the high end is true, that means nearly 107 million gallons have spilled since April 20.

The Obama administration's point man for the Gulf Coast oil spill acknowledged Friday that reliable numbers are hard to get.

"I think we're still dealing with the flow estimate. We're still trying to refine those numbers," said Coast Guard Adm. Thad Allen said.

But even using other numbers that federal officials and scientists call a more reasonable range would have about 63 million gallons spilling since the rig explosion. If that amount was put in gallon milk jugs, they would line up for nearly 5,500 miles. That's the distance from the spill to London, where BP is headquartered, and then continuing on to Rome.

By comparison, the worst peacetime oil spill, 1979's Ixtoc 1 in Mexico, was about 140 million gallons over 10 months, and the Exxon Valdez, the previous worst U.S. oil spill, was just about 11 million gallons. The new figures mean Deepwater Horizon is producing an Exxon Valdez size spill every five to 13 days.

BP said it could double the amount of oil it captures every day by next week, reports CBS News correspondent Don Teague. But local leaders say they need more help than they're getting.

"I have spent more time fighting the officials of BO and the Coast Guard than fighting the oil," Billy Nungesser, president of Plaquemines Parish in Louisiana.

The mounting frustration at the government's response has put Allen under increasing scrutiny, but he said local officials have been given ample ability to communicate with the Coast Guard.

Allen also outlined the timetable in which containment efforts would be able to capture 40,000 to 50,000 barrels of oil daily - a level he said could be reached in the first week of July, with the construction of a new flexible riser pipe system and the arrival of two pairs of production and storage tankers, which are en route to the region.

Currently, the containment effort is capturing between 15,000 and 18,000 barrels of oil a day, which will increase to up to 28,000 barrels next week with the arrival of additional equipment, he said. Capacity could reach 38,000 barrels daily by the end of the June.

Meanwhile, oil still was washing up on Gulf beaches. But it wasn't as bad Friday morning at Orange Beach, Ala., as it had been earlier in the week. Waves brought in a foot-long chunk of what appeared to be solid oil on the white sand. One side was flat and curved, while the other was honeycombed with bubbles and a single spot where crude oozed out. Standing near the water line, Elaine Fox picked it up without a thought.

"I'm not dead, I'm not sick," Fox, of West Monroe, La., said Friday. "I think a lot of this is nothing but media hype."

With all sorts of estimates for what's flowing from the BP well — some even smaller than the amount collected by BP in its containment cap — McNutt said the most credible range at the moment is between 840,000 gallons and 1.68 million gallons a day. Then she added that it was "maybe a little bit more." Scientists used sonar, pressure readings and video analysis to make the new estimates.

Previous estimates had put the range roughly between half a million and a million gallons a day, perhaps higher. At one point, the federal government claimed only 42,000 gallons were spilling a day and then it upped the number to 210,000 gallons.

Allen said that it will be at least July before BP has the tankers in place to capture oil spilling from the well. And if undersea efforts to direct the oil to the surface succeed, it will take weeks to get the proper equipment in place to hold it, he said.

A day earlier, the White House released a letter from Allen inviting BP Chairman Carl-Henric Svanberg and "any appropriate officials from BP" to meet Wednesday with senior administration officials. Allen said Obama, who has yet to speak with any BP official since the explosion, would participate in a portion of the meeting.

Asked if a relationship of "trust" had been established between the White House and BP, Allen said Friday that "This has to be a unified effort moving forward if we are to get this thing solved. If you call that trust, yes."

(AP/CBS/NOAA)

CBS/AP
Add a Comment See all 56 Comments
by elmgreen11 June 12, 2010 2:04 PM EDT
Maps ought to show oil all the way up to the coastline and over a much wider area - more lowballing!
Reply to this comment
by Overruled1 June 13, 2010 11:47 AM EDT
I agree. The map is inaccurate.
by jd2408 June 11, 2010 7:16 PM EDT
I think both parties are to blame. The MMS did not become corrupt overnight and many of our politicians are bought out as we all know. As an Independent voter I voted for President Obama in the election but that does not make me a blind sheep. I do feel President Obama has a responsibility for this disaster. I am posting a web site article for you to read this article:

www.wsws.org/articles/2010/may2010/oilr-m10.shtml
Reply to this comment
by Overruled1 June 13, 2010 11:57 AM EDT
Unfortunately, due to the fear another spill would cost the oil companies, their lobbyists manipulated the congress after the Exxon Valdez spill into Prince William Sound.
They managed to limit their liability to only $75,000,000 and costs of cleanup.
Furthermore they managed to include cleanup costs of .08 cents per gallon to the consumer.
They are also in charge of the cleanup, not the government. So if the government acts to start it's own cleanup, BP would get off the hook.
It's corruption at its' finest.
EXXON has yet to pay a dime in liability after the corrupt Supreme Court lowered the damage award as well.
BP has killed the Gulf and nobody really knows how long it will take to recover from this man made disaster.
Since it will be still another 40 years for Prince William to recover, I estimate it to be about 500-1000 years before the Gulf region recovers.
The congress that was corrupted and the top officials of British Petroleum should be placed onto a newly reconstructed prison in San Francisco Bay called Alcatraz.
by Vertrauen June 11, 2010 7:00 PM EDT
It's always 'worse than we thought'...they just take their time to advise the public...it's like BP saying 'here...have a drink to dull your pain'...but they go from giving you a glass of wine to a glass of moonshine over time.
Reply to this comment
by icecap50 June 11, 2010 6:54 PM EDT
The longest term and most devastating damage is that being done by the Obama regime. While bad / sad, the oil spill is basically "light crude" which will do little long term damage. The economy killing measures being pushed by the Obama regime have already, and will for many decades, impose massive economic damage, not to mention the impact on personal freedoms. Wake me up when the Obama nightmare is over!
Reply to this comment
by valwayne June 11, 2010 6:45 PM EDT
Obama fiddled while the Gulf filled with oil. Jon Stewart had it right on his show! You really need to see the clip. Obama is on an "A--Search 2010" to find an A-- to kick, when the A-- that he really needs to kick is his own. What a miserable failure!!!!
Reply to this comment
by underdogus2009 June 11, 2010 6:24 PM EDT
In an interview by Andrea Mitchell on Mitchell's MSNBC show yesterday, Senator Bill Nelson of Florida, who has been one of the most informed and diligent, if not the most informed and diligent, Congressmen on the BP Gulf Oil Spill issue, stated he had reports there is oil and gas leaking from the seabed surrounding the BP Macondo well in the Mississippi Canyon sector of the Gulf.
WE'RE UTTERLY UTTERLY DOOMED!!
Reply to this comment
by YourRearViewMirror1 June 11, 2010 6:22 PM EDT
But Rush Limbaugh told me the North Koreans did it.

Hey, Republicans: hows that 'small government' working for you? What happens when you 'get big government off the backs of business'? Ans: Time-bombs go off everywhere: the housing market, the derivatives market, coal mining, oil drilling, and right in your stomach, courtesy of our unregulated foods industries. Sorta makes you wonder, what's still out there, ticking, waiting to go off.

but here's what's important: income taxes are lower this year than since the Truman administration. Put a few bucks in your pocket, and pass the tar ball.
Reply to this comment
by Vertrauen June 11, 2010 6:44 PM EDT
You're blaming republican's for this mess?? sorry pal - your dems are holding the key to every decision that's been made - and congress held that same key whle Bush was in office
by Vertrauen June 11, 2010 6:58 PM EDT
speak for yourself about low taxes - BO did us no favours but I'm certain the welfare receipiants and those taking full on advantage of the unemployment extention that don't want to work anyhow are (still) dancing in the streets
by underdogus2009 June 11, 2010 6:21 PM EDT
.........now we're totally screwed!
Reply to this comment
by YourRearViewMirror1 June 11, 2010 6:19 PM EDT
Lifeson2112,

Good-luck in your faith with WE THE PEOPLE.

All the Prosperities from Capitalism more than disappears during the Recessions and Great Depressions due to the Greed in Capitalism.

Capitalism works best under Communism because workers have little rights and Greed is in Firm Control by a Strong Central Government.

H-1B Visa Demand Rebounding Strong right now:
http://www.eweek.com/showblog/56980/H1B-Visa-Demand-Rebounding/

More Demand for H1B Visas in 2008, which was a recession year, than in 2007 which was not a recession year.
http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/9142163/H_1B_visa_use_by_U.S._firms_holds_steady_in_09?source=CTWNLE_nlt_dailyam_2009-12-14

Our Top Universities hire only H1Bs:
http://www.eweek.com/c/a/IT-Management/Top-25-Companies-with-H1B-Visas-in-2009-466847/?kc=EWKNLCSM01052010STR1

American Corporations Fired U.S. Citizens and hired only H1Bs during 2009:
http://www.eweek.com/c/a/IT-Management/Hiring-Expectations-for-IT-Are-Positive-Report-863637/?kc=EWKNLCSM01052010STR2
Reply to this comment
by Lifeson2112 June 11, 2010 7:13 PM EDT
I never in my life thought I would meet other Americans who despise our way of life. The things that made us great are ridiculed and demeaned while the murderous cultures of communism and socialism (responsible for the death of literally tens of millions) are praised for their fairness and equality. It truly makes me sick.
by underdogus2009 June 11, 2010 6:17 PM EDT
BREAKING!Senator Nelson:Casing Broke...Oil Leaking from Seafloor!!!
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