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January 11, 2010 5:20 PM

Stocks Tumble on Fears over Dubai Debt

By
CBSNews
Wall Street sign in the downtown financial district of New York, USA

Wall Street sign in the downtown financial district of New York, USA (iStockphoto)

(AP)  Stocks skidded Friday as concern swept world markets that financial trouble in the Middle Eastern city-state of Dubai will upend a global economic recovery.

Major stock indexes fell more than 1 percent from 13-month highs, including the Dow Jones industrial average, which lost 155 points in a shortened trading day but ended off its worst levels.

Five stocks still fell for every one that rose at the New York Stock Exchange and all 30 stocks that make up the Dow slid.

Investors' broad retreat from riskier assets pushed Treasury prices higher. The dollar gained against most other major currencies as investors sought safety following steep drops in overseas markets. Commodities prices tumbled.

Investors are worried that a default by a government investment company in Dubai over $60 billion in debt payments could have a ripple effect in world financial markets. The fear is that losses in the small emirate, which has drawn wealthy tourists from around the globe in the past decade with its Las Vegas-in-the-Middle East appeal, could imperil a nascent economic rebound.

Worries about bad debt are fresh in investors' minds after the collapse of the U.S. brokerage Lehman Brothers in September last year pushed the world overnight deeper into recession as banks halted lending on fears of a domino effect of bad loans.

"I think this is a sign of things to come," said Dave Rovelli, managing director of trading at brokerage Canaccord Adams in New York. "Commercial real estate continues to go lower. People are going to continue to default on debt payments."

Investors are being forced to ask whether the troubles in Dubai will usher in a new period of financial instability and put in danger an eight-month rally in the stock market. However, the ability of world markets to digest the troubles in Dubai without widespread panic could also boost investor confidence in the recovery in the financial markets in the past year.

The latest trouble on Wall Street comes as the U.S. kicks off the unofficial start to the holiday shopping season. Investors will be tracking news from retailers for insights into how much consumers will spend in the coming month. Consumer spending is the biggest driver of the U.S. economy.

According to preliminary calculations, the Dow fell 154.48, or 1.5 percent, to 10,309.92, after being down as much as 233 points.

The broader Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 19.14, or 1.7 percent, to 1,091.49, and the Nasdaq composite index fell 37.61, or 1.7 percent, to 2,138.44.

Energy, materials and financial stocks posted some of the biggest losses as commodities fell and investors worried about bank balance sheets.

Investors sought the safety of U.S. government debt Friday. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, fell to 3.21 percent from 3.28 percent late Wednesday. The yield on the three-month T-bill, which is considered one of the safest investments, was flat at 0.03 percent.

The ICE Futures U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of foreign currencies, rose 0.2 percent.

Commodities, which are priced in dollars, fell as the dollar gained. The move reflected an unwinding of trades that relied on a weak dollar to finance purchases of higher-yielding assets. Spooked traders reversing the so-called "carry trade" were demanding safe-haven assets.

Investors have been pushing into riskier assets in recent months as they seek higher returns. U.S. interest rates are at record lows, making riskier investments like stocks an enticing alternative to the paltry earnings of safer investments like government debt.

Crude oil fell $2.20 to $75.76 on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Gold fell after a 10-day climb.

European markets, which fell more than 3 percent Thursday, closed higher after an early slide Friday. Britain's FTSE 100 rose 1 percent, Germany's DAX index rose 1.3 percent and France's CAC-40 advanced 1.2 percent.

In Asia, Japan's Nikkei stock average slid 3.2 percent. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index tumbled 4.8 percent. South Korea's benchmark dropped 4.7 percent.

Kevin Shacknofsky, portfolio manager of the Alpine Dynamic Dividend Fund in Purchase, N.Y., said the reaction and calming of currency markets and the rebound in Europe was a signal investors are taking Dubai's problems in stride.

"The currency markets and the European markets are telling us that this not as bad as initially thought," he said.

The worries about Dubai erupted amid a period of relative calm in U.S. markets. The Chicago Board Options Exchange's Volatility Index, known as the market's fear index, rose more than 4 percent to 24.74. On Wednesday it fell to its lowest level since August 2008. That signaled investors hadn't been worried about big swings in the market.

The historical average of the VIX, as it's known, is 18 to 20. It jumped to a record 89.5 in October last year around the height of the financial crisis.

The latest test of the market comes as major stock indicators had been up by more than 6 percent this month after stalling last month on worries about the economy. The S&P 500 index is up 64.2 percent from a 12-year low in March.

Trading volume in November has been light as many professional investors have pulled back from markets in hopes of locking in the big gains for 2009.

Rovelli said investors have been too quick to assume that the financial markets are on the mend.

"We're way ahead of ourselves in this market. We're in the eye of the storm now and we've been in it since March," he said. "Now we're in the back end of the storm."

Volume on the New York Stock Exchange came to 654.8 million shares.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 14.98, or 2.5 percent, to 577.21.

AP
Add a Comment
by billy377 November 29, 2009 9:17 PM EST
60,000 million dollars of debt!!!
What the heck is wrong with these guys? They spend like crazy then they wanna get bailed out to! Seriously though they?ve only been doing what everyone else has
Here?s something interesting I read?
<a href="http://ketiva.com/Arts_and_Humanities/dubai_world_postpones_payment_of_increasing_debt.html"> http://ketiva.com/Arts_and_Humanities/dubai_world_postpones_payment_of_increasing_debt.html</
Reply to this comment
by nowhiningallowed November 27, 2009 11:02 PM EST
...liars, frauds, charlatans and thieves exist is both parties...at this point it's a toss up as to which party is worse, but given some of the failed government programs, promoted by and backed mostly by the Dems, I'd say they're ahead in the running...
Reply to this comment
by nowhiningallowed November 27, 2009 10:54 PM EST
Having a rough day there jumpkey with handling the truth? You blaspheme and then judge me? How kind of you, but for now, I won't share with you what kind I think you really are; I'll leave that up to your own destructive little devices.
Reply to this comment
by P0STING_AWAY November 27, 2009 6:06 PM EST
by Mortarman-29 November 27, 2009 11:41 AM EST
With Obama, all you have to do is to look to Dubai to see where we are headed!
===================================================================
Excellent! Another Faux-Noise Troll .... If you "poke" a hole in your
Sarah Palin blow-up doll .... maybe Obama will give you a tax break
so you can patch "her" up .....
Reply to this comment
by P0STING_AWAY November 27, 2009 6:06 PM EST
by Mortarman-29 November 27, 2009 11:41 AM EST
With Obama, all you have to do is to look to Dubai to see where we are headed!
===================================================================
Excellent! Another Faux-Noise Troll .... If you "poke" a hole in your
Sarah Palin blow-up doll .... maybe Obama will give you a tax break
so you can patch "her" up .....
Reply to this comment
by nowhiningallowed November 27, 2009 12:28 PM EST
Never mind harping on the trickle down theory and Republicans. What all of us need to be concerned with is the glut and bloat of government spending on social programs that only benefit non-taxpayers who are taking rather than contributing to the system, as well as the devalued dollar, interest rates that are too low, a skittish stock market, continued bad habits both on Wall St. and Main St., owing too much to foreign interests for loans, etc. World markets are another concern.
Reply to this comment
by jumkey November 27, 2009 12:53 PM EST
Jesus stop your whining. Get some self-respect.
by P0STING_AWAY November 27, 2009 6:03 PM EST
Never mind harping on the trickle down theory and Republicans. What all of us need to be concerned with is the glut and bloat of government spending on social programs that only benefit non-taxpayers who are taking rather than contributing to the system, as well as the devalued dollar, interest rates that are too low, a skittish stock market, continued bad habits both on Wall St. and Main St., owing too much to foreign interests for loans, etc. World markets are another concern.
===========================================================================
I agree - no more welfare payments for companies like Haliburton ....
who move there headquarters overseas to avoid income taxes.
by renonv5 November 27, 2009 12:05 PM EST
Consumer spending is the biggest driver of the U.S. economy.

As long as all companies maintain the "business as usual" attitude, I fear the American people are not going to spend. I know I am taking the meaning of the word frugal to the limit until I see some changes made, starting with our greedy government officials and straight on down the line.
Reply to this comment
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