McDonnell Wins in Va.; Close Race in N.J.

CBS News Estimates GOP Candidate Wins Va. Gov. Race; Corzine and Christie are Close in N.J. with Daggett a Distant Third

(CBS/ AP)  Updated at 9:42 p.m. ET.

CBS News projects that Republican gubernatorial candidate Bob McDonnell will win the governor's race over Democratic candidate Creigh Deeds.

McDonnell's victory is the first triumph for a Republican party looking to rebuild after being booted from power in national elections in 2006 and 2008. It also was a setback for the White House in a swing state that was a crucial part of President Obama's electoral landslide just a year ago.

Unofficial results showed McDonnell, a conservative and former state attorney general, with nearly two-thirds of the vote over Democrat R. Creigh Deeds. He will be the state's first Republican governor in eight years.

"I just got tackled by my five kids and my wife, and there are a lot of tears on my cheeks right now," McDonnell told The Associated Press.

Meanwhile in New Jersey, CBS News exit polls indicate a close race for governor between Democratic incumbent Jon Corzine and Republican challenger Chris Christie, with independent candidate Chris Daggett a distant third.

Exit polls from Virginia and New Jersey showed that an overwhelming majority of voters in both states said they are worried about the direction of the nation's economy over the next year, a similar trend to Election Day in 2008.

In both states the economy topped the list of issues that mattered most to voters in their choice for governor - in Virginia health care was second, while in New Jersey the second choice was property taxes.

In addition, exit polls also showed the impact of Mr. Obama on the race. Majorities of voters in both states said the president was not a factor in their vote. Those who said Mr. Obama was a factor in New Jersey divided as to whether their vote was a vote for the president or against him. In Virginia, slightly fewer voters said their vote was for Mr. Obama than against him. (Read more analysis of the exit polls in both states.)

In Virginia, McDonnell's decisive 62 percent majority of the independent vote was a key to his victory.

"McDonnell's victory in this off-year election has as much to do with who didn't vote as who did," CBS Poll Analysis Fred Backus said. "African Americans broke overwhelmingly for Deeds, but though they make up 20 percent of Virginians and voted proportional to their population in 2008, they made up just 15 percent of the voting population today in Virginia. Voters under 30 made up only 10 percent of the voters in Virginia - half the percentage that turned out in 2008 - and nearly half of those who did show up to the polls voted for McDonnell." (Read more on why McDonnell won in Virginia)

Read more Election Day Coverage:

What McDonnell's Win Means for the GOP, Obama
McDonnell Won Due to Turnout, Independents
Exit Polls in Va. and N.J.: The Obama (Non) Factor?
Washington Unplugged: A Referendum on Obama?
Off-Year Elections: Just Like Preseason Games
Schieffer: Hard Right Driving the GOP Train

Beyond the immediate outcome of the elections, results in these races and a handful of other contests nationwide will go under the microscope as the nation's political class looks for clues about the future direction of the country, chances that Mr. Obama's Democrats will retain power in the 2010 midterm vote or signs of a resurgence among wobbly Republicans.

"The Republican Party's overwhelming victory in Virginia is a blow to President Obama and the Democrat Party," Republican National Committee chairman Michael Steele said in a statement. "It sends a clear signal that voters have had enough of the president's liberal agenda."

But the president's aides downplayed the impact of the off-year votes.

"I don't think looking at the two gubernatorial races you can draw with any great insight what's going to happen a year from now," said Obama spokesman Robert Gibbs.

CBS News chief Washington correspondent Bob Schieffer also weighed in.

"I'm not one who thinks that local candidates are ever helped out much by a national candidate who comes in. These two races in both Virginia and New Jersey were so much about local issues -- about property taxes, about the economy," he said.

"Predicting national trends from off year elections is like predicting the World Series winner from Spring training," added CBS News senior political correspondent Jeff Greenfield.

CBS News political director Steve Chaggaris notes that Republican excitement will be tempered by the reality of the continued debate within the Republican Party about whether to emphasize its right-wing base or to soften up in an attempt to appeal to more moderates.

"McDonnell's success was partly based on downplaying his social conservative views and making a somewhat moderate play for independent votes," he writes. (Read more analysis from Chaggaris)

In other races, New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg was expected to cruise to a third term. Atlanta, Houston, Boston, Detroit and Pittsburgh also were electing mayors.

A special election in New York state's 23rd congressional district promised to be interesting. There potential 2012 Republican presidential aspirants the most conservative among them have been lining up behind a third-party candidate, Doug Hoffman, who is running under the banner of New York's Conservative Party.

His heavyweight Republican backing from the likes of Sarah Palin, last year's Republican vice presidential candidate; Republican Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty; and former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson, led Republican state Assemblywoman Dierdre Scozzafava to suspend her campaign abruptly and endorse her Democratic opponent, Bill Owens.

Until Scozzafava dropped out, the race pitted conservatives against the moderate wing of the Republican Party. Hoffman painted Scozzafava as too liberal, specifically noting her support of abortion rights and same-sex marriage. He told voters that she was not the kind of Republican they want representing their interests in a Democratic-led Congress.

"This is the most interesting race on the card by far, because what you have is this third-party conservative who literally pushed a moderate republican out of the race," Schieffer said. "The Republican Party is really split and it is the conservatives who seem to have the juice right now. It's very much like what Democrats went through in 1972. The party activists on the left were so upset with mainstream candidates that in an effort to purify their party they pushed it so far to the left that they nominated a very liberal George McGovern for president. Now it's conservative Republicans who are upset with their mainstream candidates. They want to push the party to the right. And if in this frustration continues, I think you're going to see more moderates challenged next year in republican primaries by conservatives."

The White House suggested those developments show that hard-liners are taking over the Republican Party, and the trend will affect the 2010 elections. On Monday, Gibbs predicted, "This is a model for what you'll see throughout the country."

Voters also will decide ballot measures in a number of states.

In Maine there is a referendum on gay marriage, whether to accept or reject a same-sex marriage law approved by legislators in May.

In Washington, voters will decide whether to keep a legislature-approved "everything but marriage" domestic partnerships law, which grants registered partners the same legal rights as married couples.

Ohio voters will decide on legalizing casino gambling.

[ocreader]

...agree with "askagain"...Calling the American voter stupid won't make many voters want to vote for the Democrats....wow, kevjustice maybe, wants to reacquaint themselves with "awareness"!!??????

[kevjustice]

Neocons act if their team just won the superbowl after getting their behinds spanked by Obama in the big election.

[nearl451]

Alot of visceral nonsense.

There is little impetus for focus on off year elections.

Healthcare reform will pass and 2010 will be a fine year for Dems.

Divide and conquer, just say no, just say no, be afraid. Yeah the fascists will be back, but this is much ado about little.

I'm dissapointed in Obama too...he's not liberal enough!

[SocietysNightmare]

This partisan noise is starting to get OLD real fast. I wish Americans would start looking at CANDIDATES and not PARTIES. The way Obama supporters insulted Hillary Clinton in the primaries made me want to be an independent. Similarly, The way John McCain was disrespected I found very distasteful as well. President Obama is approaching his anniversary, and most of you are no better off then when you voted. Stop looking to the government to SAVE YOU, and start looking for candidates with viable solutions to modern problems. DEM ..... GOP ....... what difference does it make in this economy?

[marcodele]

Yes! It's a landslide revolution! Palin! Limbaugh! Coulter! Virginia RULES!

[apachekid]

The three candidates for governor of New Jersey, from left, Democrat Jon. S. Corzine, Independent Chris Daggett and Republican Chris Christie. (AP Photo)

The ACORN Holers are still being paid by Obama doing what they do best. New Jersey Hospital Denies Claim That ACORN Workers Collected Absentee Ballots.

East Orange General Hospital CEO Kevin Slavin says that "all proper protocols" were followed as part of its program to allow patients to vote via absentee ballot, and that no third-party groups were signing up patients.

A New Jersey hospital is denying accusations that ACORN workers have been inside collecting absentee ballots for the state's gubernatorial race. Reminiscence of Obamas Chicago Connection.

[shirkandjoe]

Go Chris Christy.

[apachekid]

CBS News Estimates GOP Candidate Wins Va. Gov. Race; Corzine and Christie are Close in N.J. with Daggett a Distant Third ......


As a Virginian Moveon, Korn Holer I'll never accept McDonnell as our Governor. He is Bigoted & Racist and very unlike our beloved Craig Deeds will lead Virginia & Our Country into record unemployment & debt. If I were President Obama I would start talking about balancing our budget.

[rufusfan]

Pleased as punch at McDonnell's win in the great Commonwealth of Virginia,

[thatchmo62]

It'll be close until ACORN starts stuffing the ballot box for Corsine.

[askagain]

What do you call a governor who raises the tax on cigarettes by a dollar per pack to provide more health care to children and then watches the tax revenue on cigarette sales go down two years in a row. A loser, perhaps. The governor of Maryland will be biting the Republican dust in a couple of years.

[askagain]

Now this is one for the Gipper. Two ways to interpret McDonnell's win in Virginia. He was lucky or this is the beginning of the end for the Democrats. Congratulations Governor McDonnell for a successful campaign.

[jumkey]

Never underestimate the stupidity of the American voter. After the war, terrorism, criminal activity and economic collapse caused by the Republicans in the last eight years a Republican shouldn't be able to be elected dog catcher in this country.

I assume McDonnell made a racist appeal to the voters. It's all the Republicans have left.

[thatchmo62]

Revisionist history and insults by partisan sore losers from either side doesn't work anymore. I'm no Republican, but I can't see any reason to vote Democratic either when their plans are making things worse than they were before. Bring on the other political parties to clean up this Country.

[askagain]

Calling the American voter stupid won't make many voters want to vote for the Democrats.

[patkidder]

I can't believe all the sexist comments. When a woman runs all people talk about is clothes and what they cost. I sure O'bama and Biden didn't shop at Goodwill. We need common sense and some who has traveled outside of New York, LA and Washington.

[dwilson59]

I can feel the tide turning

[curse914]

by dwilson59 November 3, 2009 8:12 PM EST
I can feel the tide turning
Reply to this comment

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It is amazing that Deregulation of the Financial sector is at the heart of our economic strife and has been a core platform for the GOP since the GOP's inception and voters continue to elect the Party of Deregulation. The only explanation is that Americans truly do not understand even the basic fundamentals of our Economic model. It does not bode well for our future given the level of ignorance of our nation.

Ultimately, the hot button issues really mean nothing without an economy. You can not fight wars, feed your people, or protect your people without money.

All the Free Market Cheerleaders that are still infesting Obama's administration are just a stain left by the Party of Deregulation (GOP) and need to be expelled before real economic change can take place.

[lous33]

showe you right