October 22, 2009

The Democrats' Debt Dilemma

Gary Andres: What's Unclear Is Whether The President And His Allies Understand How To Navigate This Dangerous Moment

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(Weekly Standard)  Gary Andres is vice chairman of research at Dutko Worldwide in Washington, D.C., and a regular contributor to The Weekly Standard.

Democrats face a growing political crisis with federal spending and debt, a self-inflicted quandary they created in some obvious and non-obvious ways. Enacting a massive stimulus bill that failed to produce economic growth and tax revenue contributed to this predicament. Not a lot of bang for the bucks.

But President Obama and his allies in Congress now face another, less foreseen dilemma. Ironically, it was Obama and his party that stoked these fiscal concerns over the last eight years. As a result, worries about spending and debt are now a bipartisan pastime. It wasn't always that way.

Twenty years ago Democrats in Washington rarely fretted about budgetary largess. True, some liberals railed against too much defense spending. But Republicans routinely expressed more worries about spending, debt and deficits.

"To the extent that the level of federal debt was an issue in politics, Republicans, not Democrats, talked about it," Tony Blankley, who worked in the Reagan Administration and for Speaker Newt Gingrich, told me.
George W. Bush and his political opponents in Washington changed all that. During the eight years of his presidency, Democrats discovered a new issue: bludgeoning Republicans for "fiscal irresponsibility." A new line of attack was born. A Medicare bill that wasn't paid for, tax cuts that added to the deficit, and massive spending on the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, were all examples of Republican fiscal profligacy. Democrats reminded Americans about this fiscal recklessness every day. Attacking federal spending and raising concerns about debt became part of the anti-Bush arsenal.

And many took the message to heart. Democratic rank-in-file and independent voters responded to the new line of assault from party elites in Washington. Surveys leading up to the 2006 and 2008 elections found independents trusted Democrats more than Republicans on issues related to controlling federal spending and managing fiscal policy. Democratic House members posted placards outside their offices in the Cannon, Longworth and Rayburn office buildings in 2007 and 2008 lamenting the burgeoning federal debt--a malady brought about by George W. Bush and Republicans in Congress. And even now with Democrats firmly controlling Congress and the White House, a June 2009 Gallup poll revealed 75 percent of self-identified Democrats say they are very worried about the federal budget deficit.

The new Democratic obsession with fiscal restraint was jarring for many long-time Washington observers and Republican activists. How could the party routinely labeled as the "tax and spend" liberals say these things with a straight face? It was like Paris Hilton joining the Sisters of the Poor.
Yet the constant barrage of Democratic rhetoric had an impact on public opinion. Concerns about spending, deficits and debt are now shared among a broad swath of the electorate. This wasn't always the case. A little over a decade ago sharper partisan differences existed about deficit spending, according to the 1996 American National Election Study. In that study, a majority of self-identified Democrats (56 percent) said they favored "increasing the deficit in order to increase domestic spending"--more than twice the percentage among Republicans.

So the tide has turned. Debt and spending are not only more salient, but fiscal issues are important to voters of both parties.

What's unclear is whether the president and his allies in Congress understand how to navigate these new waters. Based on their policies to date, the answer is no. Obama and the Democrats seem overleveraged--a political posture increasingly out of step with most Americans.
While most households and businesses are doing more with less--paying down debt, scaling back, and sacrificing--Democrats move against these currents. More spending, a pricey health care bill, cap and trade, maybe even another "stimulus" bill.

The president and many Democratic lawmakers fail to grasp that their constituents listened to and believed them in the last two campaigns. Maybe we are spending too much. Maybe unprecedented levels of debt will cripple the economy and cause more job loss. Maybe someone in Washington ought to do something about it before it's too late.

We now face a fiscal apocalypse. Democrats control all the levers of power in Washington, and voters of both parties want leadership and results. When it comes to spending and debt, Obama and his allies cannot ignore the seeds they've sown. They can't say, "Just kidding."

By Gary Andres:
Reprinted with permission from The Weekly Standard.



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by singlevote October 24, 2009 9:46 AM EDT
I wish that our Federal Government would adopt something like... If the average national income is off by 30%, they take a pay cut of 30%! They have done NOTHING to curb spending and the spending they are doing means 0 to American people! They are a bunch of arrogant self centered schmucks. Only FOX asks questions and they are not scared to ask questions. I am deeply disapointed at CBS and can no longer watch.
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by owlgal October 23, 2009 10:54 AM EDT
Everything the government is doing is loaded with "pork" from both parties. Until the President follows through on his promise to veto pork in bills the debt will keep climbing since both Republicans and Democrats are greedy and looking out for themselves not the people who voted for them. They vote on the bills as rapidly as possible so no one has a chance to go through the tons of pages and see what is actually in the bills.
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by stuart-johns2 October 22, 2009 9:43 PM EDT
This author is braindead. I only had to read the first two paragraphs and it was clear this guy is a partisan hack. Nothing further to say.
Reply to this comment
by cidaia October 25, 2009 11:43 PM EDT
yes, having identified that this person does not embrace your ideology, is clear proof that you don't need to actually consider his argument before you know it's wrong.

Because ***HE*** is a partisan hack LOL

Someday Democrats are going to look in the mirror and see that they're the exact-yet-reversed mirror image of their Republican twins, and it's going to be soooo funny...
by HemiHead66 October 22, 2009 4:29 PM EDT
Yeah - well, if it wasn't for the Republicans, we wouldn't need this stimulus, or the bank bail-outs. I know there's a lot of finger pointing about who started this mess - but the truth is - it was Greenspan and the Republicans that encouraged this mass lending throughout Bush's Presidency. Getting people to refinance into an adjustable rate mortgage when interest rates were at zero and one percent was a disaster just waiting to happen. And you just watch what happens when Obama starts talking about cutting spending, or pay-go. The Republicans will be the first ones to say no. Spending 600+ billion a year on defense is just fine with them. That's because they've got an interest in those defense companies - especially the ones serving the Middle East. They'd rather cut the support system of our country. Putting food in people's mouths is not profitable.
Reply to this comment
by cidaia October 25, 2009 11:45 PM EDT
Try to make it about the Republicans, and maybe people won't notice that Obama has contributed to the debt problem waaaay more than you're prepared to accept...

What's funny is that Hillary rather wonkishly set out data on what she would have done, and you didn't even read it or care because Hillary is so ugly and Obama just LOOKS so GOOD...!! IMAGE! STYLE! BLACK!
by brian1920 October 22, 2009 2:38 PM EDT
We are a huge debtor nation because of out of control government spending. This must stop. The government must stop blocking competition in health care, must stop "porkulus" packages, must dispense with Cap and Tax, and must reduce taxes on businesses to they can create more jobs. The governemnt is the problem and always has been.
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by sjc_1 October 23, 2009 9:51 AM EDT
Reagan was going to decrease taxes (for the wealthy) increase spending (for the military) and balance the budget (impossible with the first two). He took away the interest deductions on cars and credit cards, which was a big tax increase and added $2000 billion to the debt.
by noloyalisti October 22, 2009 2:10 PM EDT
Essentially, the US has become the world's biggest debtor nation in the world. We don't make anything except weapons, it's no wonder the big corporations who run the country want Endless War.

We the people must rise up en masse and take our country back from the big corporations. They have robbed us blind and are setting up the next bubble now. How many times will we let them do this before we threaten them with boycotts and general strikes and then carry them out, millions of us?
Reply to this comment
by sjc_1 October 26, 2009 9:39 AM EDT
The savings rate is low because real wages have not kept pace with rises in housing, health care, education and other expenses. We are creating two Americas of the people that have and those that will never have. For a prosperous America, those that have must share the wealth with those that create it...labor.

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