Oct. 16, 2009

Afghan Election Runoff Key to U.S. Success

U.S. Can't Win in Afghanistan if Government It Is Backing Is Seen as Illegitimate - But Runoff May Delay War Plan

  • Afghan incumbent President Hamid Karzai holds up his finger, inked purple after casting his election ballot, as he meets with the press in Kabul on Thursday Aug. 20, 2009.

    Afghan incumbent President Hamid Karzai holds up his finger, inked purple after casting his election ballot, as he meets with the press in Kabul on Thursday Aug. 20, 2009.  (AP Photo/Rafiq Maqbool)

  • Play CBS Video Video Afghan Election Redo

    Afghanistan officials are expected to announce that there will be a runoff in the country's presidential election. Many of Hamid Karzai's ballots have been disqualified. David Martin reports.

  • Photo Essay Election Day in Afghanistan

    Despite Taliban threats, Afghans head to the polls for the country's second presidential election

  • Special Report Afghanistan

    The latest news and analysis on the war in Afghanistan and the debate in Washington over its future.

(CBS)  It looks like the Afghan people have to do it all over again - and it's not just the presidency of Hamid Karzai that's riding on the outcome, reports CBS News national security correspondent David Martin.

Bruce Riedel, a principal architect of the Obama administration's strategy in Afghanistan, says the runoff is critical to American success.

"The most immediate requirement we need is to fix the Afghan election fiasco," Riedel said. "We have got to come up with a better solution than the one we have right now."

A runoff is not likely to produce a new president. Secretary of State Clinton has already declared Karzai the preemptive favorite.

"I think one can conclude that the likelihood of him winning a second round is probably pretty high," Clinton said.

CBS News Special Report: The Road Ahead

But, says Alexander Thiery of the U.S. Institute for Peace, it gives Karzai a chance to erase the stigma which hangs over his victory in August.

"The legitimacy of this election has been so tainted by the allegations of fraud that a runoff holds the promise in some ways of clearing away some of that illegitimacy," Thiery said.

The U.S. can't win in Afghanistan if the government it is backing against the Taliban is seen as illegitimate. But a runoff will take time.

"It could delay at least for another month and a half our learning who the next president of Afghanistan will be," Thiery said.

And General McChrystal, the American commander in Afghanistan, is still waiting for the president to grant his urgent request for more troops.

"This situation is not static," Riedel said. "It is going downhill and it is going downhill rapidly."

In August McChrystal warned that without more troops in the next 12 months the war could be lost. By the time the Obama administration makes a decision he could be down to 10 months.




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Add a Comment
by pjk12354 October 16, 2009 11:52 PM EDT
Here is how the U.S. can really be successful..........start packing up all of our implements of destruction, pack up all our people who are trained to kill, and bring them all home.

Then concentrate our efforts on fixing all the stuff that needs to be fixed here at home. Let the rest of the world fix their own problems. We only make their problems worse.

Why break the bank on something we are only going to screw up? Maybe it is time to turn swords into plow shares.
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by abby_del_abbey October 16, 2009 7:11 PM EDT
The Karzai government is notoriously corrupt; there are reports his brother is involved with the drug trade. The people have little to no faith in the national government. However, Karzai, no doubt, will fight any run-offs because he could lose if he can't rig the elections again.

Tell me why are we propping up another corrupt, ineffectual foreign government? We don't have enough problems at home that we have to waste billions of dollars in Iraq, Afghanistan, and now Pakistan?

Just think of what that money could do to rebuild America, to create jobs here.

But, of course, the military industrial complex doesn't want the wars to end, and our elected officials have to do the bidding of their benefactors who donate millions to their campaign.

So, the poor continue to suffer in America as well as in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Pakistan....
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