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January 11, 2010 5:20 PM

Dow Suffers Biggest Loss in 3 Months

By
CBSNews
Wall Street sign in the downtown financial district of New York, USA

Wall Street sign in the downtown financial district of New York, USA (iStockphoto)

(AP)  Stocks began the fourth quarter with a slide as pessimism about the economy gripped investors.

The Dow Jones industrial average and the Standard & Poor's 500 index posted their biggest drops in three months after reports on manufacturing and the labor market rattled the market, overshadowing good news on housing and consumer spending. The Dow tumbled 203 points and bond prices jumped as investors sought a safer place for their money.

It was the sixth drop in seven days for stocks and another reminder of how fragile the market's 50 percent gain since March has become. The mixed economic reports added urgency to questions about how strong the recovery really is, and racheted up investors' anxiety ahead of the Labor Department's closely watched monthly jobs report on Friday.

"Fear is still very, very fresh in people's minds and the magnitude of the potential disaster that we had last September through March, I think still has investors pretty skittish," said Darell Krasnoff, managing director of Bel Air Investment Advisors in Los Angeles. "So our sense is that some bad news can shift sentiment pretty quickly."

The stock market's mood darkened after the Institute for Supply Management said its index of manufacturing activity in September slipped to 52.6 from 52.9 in August. The number fell short of analysts' expectations.

Worries about the still-troubled employment sector grew after the Labor Department said new claims for jobless benefits rose last week to 551,000. Economists polled by Thomson Reuters had predicted claims would come in a 535,000.

The increase broke a string of three straight weekly drops and added to worries about the monthly jobs report, which carries more weight with investors because it is less volatile than the weekly readings.

Economists predict that unemployment, which stands at a 26-year high of 9.7 percent, will rise to 9.8 percent for September. Most analysts expect the rate to top 10 percent by early next year. Economists are hoping the pace of job cuts will slow, however. Employers are expected to have cut 180,000 jobs in September compared with 216,000 in August.

Christian Bendixen, director of technical research at Bay Crest Partners LLC in New York, said recent economic numbers have reminded investors that a recovery in the economy will be difficult.

"For the first time in a while they're coming in a little bit lower than expectations and I think that's scaring a few investors," he said.

According to preliminary calculations, the Dow fell 203.00, or 2.1 percent, to 9,509.28. The drop was the biggest fall for the Dow since July 2, when it fell 223 points, or 2.6 percent, after the government said the nation's unemployment rate had reached the highest level in decades.

The broader Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 27.23, or 2.6 percent, to 1,029.85, and the Nasdaq composite index dropped 64.94, or 3.1 percent, to 2,057.48.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 20.53, or 3.4 percent, to 583.75.

Five stocks fell for every one that rose on the New York Stock Exchange, where volume came to 1.6 billion shares compared with 1.8 billion Wednesday.

Bond prices jumped as investors sought safety, sending the yield on the 10-year Treasury note down to 3.19 percent from 3.31 percent late Wednesday.

Several economic reports this week have raised doubts about the strength of the recovery and whether the market rally should continue. The Dow fell about 30 points Wednesday following a disappointing report on Midwestern manufacturing.

Despite ending on a wobbly note in September, stocks still put in a stellar third quarter. Both the Dow and the S&P 500 index gained 15 percent. It was the Dow's best quarter in nearly 11 years.

Not all the economic news on Thursday was negative. The Commerce Department said consumer spending surged by the largest amount in nearly eight years in August, even as personal income growth lags. Consumer spending rose 1.3 percent and incomes edged up 0.2 percent.

Even so, economists worry whether that rebound can be sustained with U.S. households facing rising unemployment and tight credit conditions.

Spending got a temporary boost from the government's Cash for Clunkers program. Major automakers on Thursday posted big drops in September sales following the government's incentive program in July and August.

Meanwhile, the National Association of Realtors said pending home sales in August rose 6.4 percent from July to 103.8. Economists surveyed by Thomson Reuters expected the index would rise to 98.6.

The dollar mostly rose against other major currencies, while gold slid.

Light, sweet crude rose 21 cents to settle at $70.82 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Overseas markets fell, even as the International Monetary Fund said the global economy is recovering faster than expected, but warned it will be a sluggish rebound.

Britain's FTSE 100 fell 1.7 percent, Germany's DAX index slid 2.1 percent, and France's CAC-40 lost 2 percent. Japan's Nikkei stock average fell 1.5 percent.

AP
Add a Comment
by credibility2 October 2, 2009 10:51 AM EDT
It's only numbers folks, so stop getting worked up in a froth every time it goes up or down. The numbers are going to fluctuate on a regular basis and won't necessarily be indicative of the strength of our economy.
Reply to this comment
by morningsun2009 October 2, 2009 6:05 AM EDT
I have my own business in California and I have never seen it so bad in over 25 years of experience.

"Experts" may have access to better topline data, but let me tell you that down in the trenches it stinks.

The funny thing is that the jobs data doesn't account for self employed and that market is tanked. One of my key acounts died because those folks who got government bailouts fouled up financing for a key client and forced them to cut budgets an pull the plug on a key program. I really may become part of the next Grapes of Wrath but no bailout for guys like me is coming . . . I've heard rumors of SBA low or no interest programs for folks like me but no bailout supported bank is pushing them as I think they would rather sell their own higher interest loans.

In an odd way this inaction supports the call for a goverment option in healthcare as profit systems with limited competition do nothing to support the economy versus narrower goals of investors who receive government support and protection. The invisible hand is invisible as far as I am concerned.

I think Palin and McCain would have been a horrible choice but I see nothing good coming out of Washington for me with Dems in charge.
Reply to this comment
by Grand_Supercycle October 2, 2009 12:49 AM EDT
I warned of an impending stockmarket crash back in *early 2007*

The primary trend remains down, is the current bear market rally ending ?

Yesterdays action may be important.


more analysis at this forum:
http://www.zerohedge.com/forum/market-outlook-0
Reply to this comment
by reality42 October 1, 2009 9:49 PM EDT
I thought the USSA was the strongest and best and honest markets in the world. The only place for the land of free money
Oh maybe for the corrupt wall street crowd
Reply to this comment
by chelokee October 1, 2009 8:23 PM EDT
www.yoeddie.com
Reply to this comment
by nearl451 October 1, 2009 8:22 PM EDT
Doesn't mean much.

Wall Street ALWAYS over-reacts to anything.
Reply to this comment
by stuart-johns1 October 1, 2009 7:10 PM EDT
Well, let's hope it goes right back up Monday.
Reply to this comment
by melchg07 October 1, 2009 9:10 PM EDT
By the end of October it will likely hit 10,000.

One other guy and I said it would hit 10,000 by years end back when it was still under 7,000. Most people laughed at us and said "a 36 percent increase over 1 years time....that's not possible".....my reply was "why not?"

People just don't understand the overall picture. The Dow will be back close to 14,000 (I'd wager $100 that it hits at least 13,000) again by this time next year......barring some horrible catastrophe like starting a new war or something of that nature.
by brentcox4 October 1, 2009 6:34 PM EDT
The economy cannot be sustained with the amount of debt we have. The stocks will continue dropping for the next 5 years until they level off at true value. The DOW at around 3000.
Reply to this comment
by melchg07 October 1, 2009 8:59 PM EDT
3000?......LOL...give me a break. Way to pull a number out of your hat.

I mean people can assume where it 'should be' but throwing 3000 out there like it is credible is rediculous at best.
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