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August 10, 2010 2:45 PM

Wall St. Falters Despite Fed's Upbeat View

By
CBSNews
(AP)  Investors were encouraged by the Fed's latest improved assessment of the economy, but not enough to propel the Dow Jones industrial average past 10,000.

Stocks closed lower Wednesday as a brief rally followed the Fed's economic statement and then faded. The Dow came within 82 points of crossing 10,000 for the first time since October, but ended the day with a loss of 81.

Stocks often trade erratically on days when the Fed meets to discuss interest rates as investors pore over the statement accompany the Fed's interest rate decision for clues about the economy and what the central bank's next steps might be.

The Fed's governors said the pace of economic activity has "picked up" since their last meeting in August, and said they would keep short-term interest rates at historically low levels near zero "for an extended period."

That allayed any lingering concerns that the Fed was considering a rate increase, something it will have to do eventually in order to keep inflation in check. Higher interest rates would protect against prices creeping higher, but it would also mean greater borrowing costs for banks and businesses, a negative for both stocks and bonds.

In its statement, the Fed said it would "continue to employ a wide range of tools" to spur a recovery while also staving off inflation. It said it would again slow some of its purchases of mortgage-backed securities, part of the extraordinary support the central bank has been giving the economy over the past year. The move shows the Fed is increasingly confident about a recovery.

The Fed's decision on rates and gently upgraded view of the economy were in line with what investors anticipated but didn't give the market enough reason to push higher.

"The market got exactly what it was expecting," said Thomas Wilson, managing director of the institutional investments and private client group at Brinker Capital in Berwyn, Pa.

With major market indicators up more than 50 percent off their lows in early March, many market watchers are worried that stocks have become overvalued, especially with the strength of the economy's recovery still in question. Despite their doubts, investors continue to buy up stocks afraid of missing out on an extended rally.

According to preliminary calculations, the Dow fell 81.32, or 0.8 percent, to 9,748.55. The Standard & Poor's 500 fell 10.79, or 1 percent, to 1,060.87, while the Nasdaq composite fell 14.88, or 0.7 percent, to to 2,131.42

Losing stocks outnumbered winners by about 3-to-2 on the New York Stock Exchange, where volume came to 1.3 billion shares, even with Tuesday's pace.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke had already tipped off the market last week about the Fed's view on the economy when he said that the recession was "likely over" from a technical standpoint, even as trouble spots like unemployment remain.

"If they had come out with anything other than no changes, the market would have reacted negatively," said Tom Nyheim, vice president and portfolio manager at Christiana Bank & Trust Co. "But the policy decision was uniform, unanimous. They are not concerned about inflation."

Another drop in oil prices weighed heavily on energy and industrial shares. The price of crude for November delivery tumbled nearly 4 percent, or $2.79, to settle at $68.97 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The decline in energy prices accelerated during the day after the government reported that supplies of crude, gasoline and distillate fuel surged above expectations.

In corporate news, a surprisingly strong earnings report helped lift shares of General Mills Inc. The maker of Cheerios and Yoplait yogurt said its profit jumped 51 percent on lower ingredient costs and solid demand for its products. The food maker also increased its full-year outlook. Shares soared $2.83, or 5 percent, to $63.80.

Bond prices rebounded after the Fed alleviated worries about inflation and said it would keep its short-term interest rate near zero. Treasurys recouped their losses from earlier in the day, which came after somewhat disappointing demand for the latest auction of 5-year notes.

The 10-year note rose 6/32 to 101 20/32 and its yield fell to 3.43 percent from 3.45 percent.

The dollar rose against other major currencies. Gold prices fell

In other trading, the Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 7.32, or 1.2 percent, to 613.37.

Overseas, European indexes reversed early gains and finished slightly lower. Britain's FTSE 100, Germany's DAX index and France's CAC-40 all fell 0.1 percent.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng index fell 0.5 percent. Japan's markets were closed for a public holiday.

AP
Add a Comment
by kenhamlett September 23, 2009 8:33 PM EDT
It looks like a typical "Buy on the rumor, sell on the news" scenario. None of the information was a real surprise.
Reply to this comment
by bubbadubba September 23, 2009 4:44 PM EDT
<<<bubbadubba, I agree with you. We always tried to stay within our means. Our house is paid for and our two cars are also paid for. Our house was built in the 50s and our two cars are also old but run great. Yeah I'm always having to fix something but that's OK. I like being out of debt.>>>

People like you are my heros. I am trying to get where you are as fast as I can. Good for you.
When I see an old house with old cars I am jealous because I know they are probably not slaves to debt like I am and they are a lot happier and sleep better at night. I will get there.
Reply to this comment
by jgg00009 September 23, 2009 8:56 PM EDT
seriously, dude, are you writing messages to yourself? The "hero" thing really got to me. I almost wept until I realized it was you talking to yourself
by bubbadubba September 23, 2009 4:42 PM EDT
I bet taking the interest cap off mortgages today while still loaning the banks money at 0% had nothing to do with any stock increases.
LOL
We are not stupid, we know the FED is just making their friends rich at our expense.
Bernanke - you and your friends are busted!
Reply to this comment
by jgg00009 September 23, 2009 4:37 PM EDT
umm, CBS, you might wanna revise your story. The market went from +70 to -81
Reply to this comment
by underdogus09 September 23, 2009 4:34 PM EDT
It's all a scam folks...
Reply to this comment
by hologram5 September 23, 2009 4:08 PM EDT
Again, as long as the jobless claims are in the double digits and our GDP is at an all time low, we will NOT recover. Bring the jobs and manufacturing back to the USA and we'll start the road to recovery.
Reply to this comment
by tmittelstaed September 23, 2009 3:51 PM EDT
It has been many years since the stock market was anything other than a rich man's gambling casino. However the legend still exists that it has something to do with the economy. Well, wages were flat from 2000 to 2007 and stocks did well during that time - yet still people believe there's a connection. Fools!
Reply to this comment
by bubbadubba September 23, 2009 2:52 PM EDT
Houses ARE NOT selling in my area and many are being foreclosed.
Just this week major banks announced they will settle their way out of government assistance and oversight from the bailout program (for a fraction of the money they actually got).
Now comes Bernanke and the Fed to stop the loan programs at low interest and limits on foreclosers so the banks can really make profits by getting money at 0% and then loaning it at high interest rates - RIGHT BEFORE THE BANKS GET OUT FROM UNDER THE GOVERNMENT.
I hope everyone sees what is going on here.
It's all rigged folks, and we are the suckers.
I think I will sell my house, buy a nice small modular home and put it on some cheap piece of big property in the country, have no house payment or debt, and laugh at the rest of you suckers who are nothing but slaves to the banks and creditors.
Really, you work for the banks and their huge CEO bonuses and salaries and a big chunk of your money goes right into their pockets.
Washington isn't going to help you because the banks and wall street own Washington.
Reply to this comment
by pollroller1 September 23, 2009 3:27 PM EDT
bubbadubba, I agree with you. We always tried to stay within our means. Our house is paid for and our two cars are also paid for. Our house was built in the 50s and our two cars are also old but run great. Yeah I'm always having to fix something but that's OK. I like being out of debt.
.
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