JERUSALEM, Feb. 11, 2009

Israeli Leadership, Peace Process In Limbo

Livni And Netanyahu Claim Election Win; PM Role Up To Negotiations, Peace Talks Up In The Air

  • Play CBS Video Video Israel's Close Election

    Tzipi Livni has a slight lead over Benjamin Netanyahu for Israel's' next Prime Minister but can her party alleviate peace efforts in the Middle East? Richard Roth reports.

  • Video Netanyahu's Lead Narrows

    Benjamin Netanyahu's lead in the race for Israel's next Prime Minister has narrowed but, as Richard Roth reports, whoever wins will have a hard time ignoring him.

    • Israeli Foreign Minister and Kadima party leader Tzipi Livni, while waiting to cast her ballot in Tel Aviv, Feb. 10, 2009.

      Israeli Foreign Minister and Kadima party leader Tzipi Livni, while waiting to cast her ballot in Tel Aviv, Feb. 10, 2009.  (AP Photo)

    • An ultra-Orthodox Jewish man casts his ballot at a polling station in Jerusalem, Feb. 10, 2009.

      An ultra-Orthodox Jewish man casts his ballot at a polling station in Jerusalem, Feb. 10, 2009.  (AP Photo/Peter Dejong)

    • Likud Party leader Benjamin Netanyahu (left) and Israel's Foreign Minister and Kadima Party leader Tzipi Livni, Feb. 10, 2009.

      Likud Party leader Benjamin Netanyahu (left) and Israel's Foreign Minister and Kadima Party leader Tzipi Livni, Feb. 10, 2009.  (AP)

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(CBS/AP)  Inconclusive election results sent Israel into political limbo Wednesday with both Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni and hard-line leader Benjamin Netanyahu claiming victory and leaving the kingmaker role to a rising political hawk with an anti-Arab platform.

Livni's Kadima Party won 28 seats, just one more than Netanyahu's Likud, in Tuesday's election for the 120-member parliament, according to nearly complete results. Without a clear majority, neither party can govern alone.

"Political Tangle," read the headline on the front page of the daily Yediot Ahronot, alongside photos of the two smiling candidates.

Livni celebrated her Kadima party's slim victory at the polls, but that may be all her supporters have to cheer about, reported CBS News correspondent Richard Roth. What she'd need to govern as Israel's first female prime minister in more than thirty years is a strong coalition of rivals to back her in parliament, and she'll have trouble getting that.

So, with fewer votes but Livni's predicament in mind, Netanyahu claimed victory, too. Roth reports, however, that the hard-liner is expected to garner more support from his traditional allies in right wing political parties. "With God's help, I will lead the next government," he told supporters.

But the bargaining that will determine who becomes Israel's next prime minister is just beginning, reports Roth, but whoever it is, they're likely to have obligations to parties on the fringe of Israeli politics.

The results set the stage for what could be weeks of coalition negotiations. The first meetings began Wednesday, with Netanyahu meeting the head of the ultra-Orthodox Shas faction.

Two of the more likely options would see a hard-line government led by Netanyahu, leaving Livni in the opposition, or some form of accommodation between the two in the form of a centrist coalition in which they would share power.

Whatever government is forged, it is unlikely to move quickly toward peace talks with the Palestinians and instead could find itself on a collision course with President Barack Obama, who has said he's making a Mideast peace deal a priority.

"President Obama looks forward to working with whoever makes up that next Israeli government in a search for lasting and durable peace in the region," White House spokesman Robert Gibbs said Wednesday.

"Like our own democracy, I think whether it's turbulent or tumultuous times or bad weather, did not seem to deter millions from voting yesterday. I think that's the sign and strength of a strong democracy," he added.

But Israeli governmental paralysis could dampen prospects for Egyptian-led attempts to broker a truce between Israel and Gaza's Hamas rulers after Israel's devastating offensive in Gaza last month. Hamas might be reluctant to sign a deal at the risk of having it overturned by the incoming coalition.

It's up to Israeli President Shimon Peres to decide whether Livni or Netanyahu should have the first shot at forming a government. Peres will meet next week with party leaders to hear their recommendations, and around Feb. 20 expects to assign the task, presidential spokeswoman Ayelet Frisch said. Once he makes his decision, the prime minister designate has up to six weeks to form a government.

President Obama spoke to Peres Wednesday afternoon, the White House said, congratulating the Israeli people on the elections and lauding "the democratic example they have set for the world."

However, the final word may be up to ultranationalist Avigdor Lieberman, a former Netanyahu protege and perhaps Israel's most divisive politician, whose rightist Yisrael Beiteinu emerged as the third-largest faction, with 15 seats.

Lieberman says he wants to redraw Israel's borders to push out heavily Arab areas and require Arabs who remain to sign a loyalty oath or lose the right to vote or run for office. Some 20 percent of Israel's 7 million citizens are Arabs, and about a dozen serve in parliament.

Lieberman kept his options open. "We want a right-wing government," Lieberman told party activists, but added that "we do not rule out anyone."

Several hours after polls closed, Livni and Netanyahu staged rival victory rallies.

Nearly everyone seemed to agree on one thing after Israel's fifth election in a decade - that the nation's fractious election system isn't working.

Livni, Lieberman, and Defense Minister Ehud Barak of the Labor Party said in post-election speeches that the system, in which votes are splintered among a proliferation of parties, must be changed to allow more stability.

With all of the civilian votes counted, Kadima won 28 seats, Likud 27 and Yisrael Beiteinu 15. Labor, for decades Israel's ruling party, won just 13 seats. Overall, right-wing and religious parties won a total of 65 seats, compared to 55 for center-left and Arab parties.

The tally did not include thousands of votes by soldiers, to be counted by Thursday evening. They could shift the final results by a seat or two.

Quote

With God's help, I will lead the next government.

Benjamin Netanyahu
During Netanyahu's three-year term as prime minister a decade ago, he largely froze the interim peace deals his predecessors negotiated with the Palestinians.

Netanyahu has derided the past year of peace talks under Kadima as a waste of time, and said he wants to focus on reviving the Palestinian economy. He has also called to crush Hamas, the Islamic militant movement that seized the Gaza Strip by force in June 2007, and remove it from power.

Livni has said she would continue peace talks with moderate Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, who governs from the West Bank. But she also advocates a tough line against Hamas and was one of the architects of Israel's three-week Gaza offensive, which ended with a temporary cease-fire on Jan. 18.

Abbas will restart talks only if Israel commits to a settlement freeze, his aides said Tuesday, posing such a condition for the first time.

Netanyahu wants to expand settlements, and even under the outgoing Kadima-led government, in which Livni served as chief negotiator, construction accelerated.

The Palestinians want all of the West Bank for a future state, along with Gaza and east Jerusalem. They say the West Bank settlements, home to nearly 300,000 Jews, will make that impossible.

It was not immediately clear whether the prospect of weeks of political paralysis would lessen chances for a long-term Gaza truce and a prisoner swap between Israel and Hamas. Under the proposed exchange, Israel would free hundreds of Palestinians for an Israeli soldier held since June 2006 by Hamas-allied militants.

Prime Minister Ehud Olmert, freed from concerns about political fallout, could approve a deal before the new government is sworn in. A swap is linked to efforts to reach a permanent truce on the Gaza-Israel border. Hamas wants Israel and Egypt to lift their blockade of Gaza, while Israel wants a halt to arms smuggling into the territory.

© MMIX, CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Associated Press Writer Steven Gutkin contributed to this report.
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Add a Comment See all 35 Comments
by earth5621 February 13, 2009 2:45 AM EST
earth5621, thank you for proving my point. Sure I exaggerated a little when I said Israel is already a facist state, but there is no consipiracy theory that Israel is heading towards facism.

And I would like to thank you once again for proving my point that Zionists and some Jews do not debate, instead they throw personal insults or use the old claims of anti-semitism.


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Posted by Anti-Zion at 11:13 AM : Feb 12, 2009

The only thing you prove is that you are dillusional and accept fantasys as fact and not to mention that you were never taught to do any critical thinking other than to figure out how to improve on being a mental midget
Reply to this comment
by wagolf1 February 13, 2009 12:18 AM EST
Of course the peace plans are in limbo: again and always,
so the Ugly step children of Hitler can continue the ethnic cleansing of the Muslims.
History repeats itself, duh.

Ethnic cleansing of the Gaza Ghetto.
It is not an image problem it is a historical fact of ethnic cleansing,
In the footsteps of Hitler.
Not all of the Muslims are dead.
The Ethnic cleansing was not complete, the final solution was not achieved.

Guilty of War Crimes:
Of course Israel is guilty of war crimes; recent and past.
Two states of course not; the jews want it all.

Starting in 1948 Jews have been guilty of war crimes.
The Ethnic Cleansing of Muslims has been taking place over 60 years;
and the Jews are guilty of this war crime; which they apparently learned from Hitler.

Why are my tax dollars paying for Ethnic Cleansing?
Gaza Ghetto.
Jerusalem
West Bank Ghetto.
Why has America supported ethnic cleansing for 60 years?
Why has the USA paid to create Radical Islamic Extremists?
The Jews have created Jihad terrorists. Thanks so much.

Stop the insanity. Yahweh, YHVH, Adonai; was invented by rag headed goat herders living in caves.
A fantasy world of religious stupidity.
Radicalized, Religious, Welfare Jews. Terrorists in their own right.

Of all the ethnic groups persecuted by Hitler, the Jews should have learned
the lesson; of not committing Ethnic Cleansing.
Israel is an embarrassment for the U.S.
Israel is an embarrassment to humanity.
Reply to this comment
by trapbreaker February 12, 2009 5:32 PM EST
Do countries that sponsor terror have the right to exist? - Posted by noloyalisti

Are you referring to Iran or Syria?
Reply to this comment
by trapbreaker February 12, 2009 2:36 PM EST

fascist? Hamas is fascist.

Fascists aim to create a single-party state in which the government is led by a dictator who seeks unity by requiring individuals to subordinate self-interest to the collective interest of the nation or a race. Fascist governments permanently forbid and suppress all criticism and opposition to the government and the fascist movement.

From the Hamas Charter:

"There is no solution for the Palestinian question except through Jihad. Initiatives, proposals and international conferences are all a waste of time and vain endeavors."

The charter states this view as an Islamic religious prophesy arising from Hadith, the oral traditions relating to the words and deeds of the Islamic prophet Muhammad.] The 1988 Charter also states that "renouncing any part of Palestine means renouncing part of the religion; the nationalism of the Islamic Resistance Movement is part of its faith.."
Reply to this comment
by earth5621 February 12, 2009 2:02 PM EST
FloydZeppSux, its so nice to know that zionists and some jews start throwing personal insults instead of debating. If it is not personal insults, it is claims of anti-semitism.

And FloydZeppSux, yea, I do have to take a massive dump. Thanks for asking.


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Posted by Anti-Zion at 10:25 AM : Feb 12, 2009

Gee,

I''ve been trying but its been the same old conspiracy theory to cover another conspiracy theory without one peace of evidence other than links to bloggers who still don''t have evidence. Not one news source

Reply to this comment
by earth5621 February 12, 2009 1:56 PM EST
Head to facism? Israel is ALREADY A FACIST STATE.


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Posted by Anti-Zion at 09:47 AM : Feb 12, 2009


I see you graduated without having to pass a test for literacy.

Reply to this comment
by endurorob February 12, 2009 12:31 PM EST
They will also forgive them if you are disabled, which from the looks of it she would not have any trouble proving mental deficiency.lol

Posted by demswin08 at 09:26 AM : Feb 12, 2009

We are deaded towards socilaism and Israel is headed towards fascism. What a lovely pair we make.
Reply to this comment
by goodsamarata February 12, 2009 11:04 AM EST
AP-For the first time in over a year Israeli authorities approved the export of 25,000 carnations from the Gaza Strip to the European market, at the request of the Dutch government.

According to the Israeli Ministry of Defense, the flowers will leave through the Kerem Shalom cargo terminal on Friday and arrive in Europe in time for Valentine''s Day.

There are more than 400 acres of flower farms in the Gaza Strip, some of which were damaged during Israel%u2019s war on the Strip in December and January.

AWWWWW! ISN''T THAT SWEET? IN FACT, ISRAEL SHOULD SEND A MILLION AND A HALF FLOWERS TO GAZA WITH AN APOLOGY NOTE ATTACHED TO IT. THAT''S THE LEAST THE B.AS.TA.RDS CAN DO.
Reply to this comment
by endurorob February 12, 2009 9:28 AM EST
When i was a teenager I spent one summer with some family friends that owned race horses as they went from small track to small track. I remeber one race in particular because the top 3 finishers were, 1. Tiz Biz 2. Fleat Fly 3. Zip Zap. Now I think the 4th place finisher may have been Tzipi Livni.
Reply to this comment
by earth5621 February 12, 2009 4:24 AM EST
It matters little whether either one of the Israeli thugs runs the country, there is no peace in that area anyways.


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Posted by pug_ster at 08:43 AM : Feb 11, 2009

Glad to see you got to kindergarten after 12 years
Reply to this comment
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