February 11, 2009 1:47 PM
- Text
Gaza And Diplomacy
(CBS)
Background and analysis by CBS News State Department reporter Charles Wolfson.
The ongoing war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza is something neither the outgoing Bush administration wanted nor the incoming Obama administration needed. Nevertheless, both are being forced to pay even more urgent attention to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict than they otherwise might have.
The outgoing Secretary of State, Condoleezza Rice, spent three days at the U N this week doing the nitty gritty work of negotiating the wording on a Security Council resolution the Bush administration really didn't want but was convinced to accept. That said, Rice ended up abstaining when it came time to vote. Sr. state department officials and Rice herself defended the diplomatic tactics and said Arab diplomats understood the logic of verbal support for the resolution without casting an affirmative vote. Others had trouble following the so-called logic train of Rice's actions. Chalk it up to fielding yet another curve ball from Hamas.
Hamas' role in the Israel-Palestinian conflict has constantly bedeviled the Bush administration's diplomatic efforts and it has refused to deal with Hamas because it has been declared a terrorist organization. Thus Rice's Middle East policy has been carried out by trying to ignore the group, as if it had no influence on peacemaking. Whether the ongoing fighting is a direct or an indirect result of this policy is not the issue now.
What is critical is working out a satisfactory way to stop the fighting, at least temporarily, so that the humanitarian crisis for the civilian population in Gaza can be dealt with. It was the urgency of the humanitarian situation--- with more than 750 dead and several thousand injured--- which forced Rice and her fellow foreign ministers to be at the UN this week.
While the Security Council debated the resolution, which passed 14-0 with Washington abstaining, other, more critical, diplomatic efforts were ongoing in Cairo. President Hosni Mubarek's government, which has its own problems with Hamas, has been playing a key role in trying to negotiate the details of what would constitute a workable, long term cease fire. Representatives of Hamas and Israel went to Cairo for separate consultations and Rice included senior Egyptian officials in her efforts.
Nabil Fahmy, Egypt's former ambassador to Washington, who is now back in Cairo and still in the government although not directly involved in the negotiations, said his government's discussions with officials from Hamas are a necessary element of obtaining a workable cease fire: "they came here for a purpose and we received them for a purpose." Egypt, Fahmy said, is "looking to establish a quick cease fire (for humanitarian purposes) and then work to sustain it."
What is apparent, almost 24 hours after the Security Council vote, is that the fighting has not stopped. Neither Hamas nor Israel has heeded the call for a cease fire from New York. The talks in Cairo and consultations in other capitals continue.
This would seem to leave the incoming Obama administration with a third "hot" war---along with Iraq and Afghanistan-- going on as it comes into office. While there is some speculation the new team of officials might be interested in establishing some contacts with Hamas, that may not happen at all and almost certainly will not play a part in getting to a meaningful cease fire. And Robert Satloff of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy says talking with Hamas is not a good idea under any circumstances. "It would destroy any hope that remains for a two state solution between Israel and the Palestinians (Hamas doesn't recognize Israel's right to be a state and hasn't signed on to agreements negotiated by the Palestinian Authority)….it would undercut our two moderate Arab partners, Egypt and Jordan and it would embolden bad actors from Beirut to Tehran and those in the caves of FATA and Pakistan."
How President-elect Barack Obama and his national security team deal with Hamas is obviously something not yet fully determined although the person tapped to be his Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton, said on June 4, 2008, "Here is how I feel: until Hamas renounces terrorism and recognizes Israel, negotiating with Hamas is unacceptable to the United States."
So merely picking up where the Bush/Rice Annapolis process left off is no longer limited to the relative niceties of diplomatic negotiations. All of the humanitarian misery, the problem of how to stop the smuggling of weapons into Gaza through tunnels from Egypt, the firing of rockets by Hamas into Israel and the opening of crossing points to allow trade to take place now falls, in the words of Aaron David Miller, author of "The Much Too Promised Land, " into Barack Obama's in box. "This is," says Miller, "the Arab-Israeli peace process for the next six months."
The ongoing war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza is something neither the outgoing Bush administration wanted nor the incoming Obama administration needed. Nevertheless, both are being forced to pay even more urgent attention to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict than they otherwise might have.
The outgoing Secretary of State, Condoleezza Rice, spent three days at the U N this week doing the nitty gritty work of negotiating the wording on a Security Council resolution the Bush administration really didn't want but was convinced to accept. That said, Rice ended up abstaining when it came time to vote. Sr. state department officials and Rice herself defended the diplomatic tactics and said Arab diplomats understood the logic of verbal support for the resolution without casting an affirmative vote. Others had trouble following the so-called logic train of Rice's actions. Chalk it up to fielding yet another curve ball from Hamas.
Hamas' role in the Israel-Palestinian conflict has constantly bedeviled the Bush administration's diplomatic efforts and it has refused to deal with Hamas because it has been declared a terrorist organization. Thus Rice's Middle East policy has been carried out by trying to ignore the group, as if it had no influence on peacemaking. Whether the ongoing fighting is a direct or an indirect result of this policy is not the issue now.
What is critical is working out a satisfactory way to stop the fighting, at least temporarily, so that the humanitarian crisis for the civilian population in Gaza can be dealt with. It was the urgency of the humanitarian situation--- with more than 750 dead and several thousand injured--- which forced Rice and her fellow foreign ministers to be at the UN this week.
While the Security Council debated the resolution, which passed 14-0 with Washington abstaining, other, more critical, diplomatic efforts were ongoing in Cairo. President Hosni Mubarek's government, which has its own problems with Hamas, has been playing a key role in trying to negotiate the details of what would constitute a workable, long term cease fire. Representatives of Hamas and Israel went to Cairo for separate consultations and Rice included senior Egyptian officials in her efforts.
Nabil Fahmy, Egypt's former ambassador to Washington, who is now back in Cairo and still in the government although not directly involved in the negotiations, said his government's discussions with officials from Hamas are a necessary element of obtaining a workable cease fire: "they came here for a purpose and we received them for a purpose." Egypt, Fahmy said, is "looking to establish a quick cease fire (for humanitarian purposes) and then work to sustain it."
What is apparent, almost 24 hours after the Security Council vote, is that the fighting has not stopped. Neither Hamas nor Israel has heeded the call for a cease fire from New York. The talks in Cairo and consultations in other capitals continue.
This would seem to leave the incoming Obama administration with a third "hot" war---along with Iraq and Afghanistan-- going on as it comes into office. While there is some speculation the new team of officials might be interested in establishing some contacts with Hamas, that may not happen at all and almost certainly will not play a part in getting to a meaningful cease fire. And Robert Satloff of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy says talking with Hamas is not a good idea under any circumstances. "It would destroy any hope that remains for a two state solution between Israel and the Palestinians (Hamas doesn't recognize Israel's right to be a state and hasn't signed on to agreements negotiated by the Palestinian Authority)….it would undercut our two moderate Arab partners, Egypt and Jordan and it would embolden bad actors from Beirut to Tehran and those in the caves of FATA and Pakistan."
How President-elect Barack Obama and his national security team deal with Hamas is obviously something not yet fully determined although the person tapped to be his Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton, said on June 4, 2008, "Here is how I feel: until Hamas renounces terrorism and recognizes Israel, negotiating with Hamas is unacceptable to the United States."
So merely picking up where the Bush/Rice Annapolis process left off is no longer limited to the relative niceties of diplomatic negotiations. All of the humanitarian misery, the problem of how to stop the smuggling of weapons into Gaza through tunnels from Egypt, the firing of rockets by Hamas into Israel and the opening of crossing points to allow trade to take place now falls, in the words of Aaron David Miller, author of "The Much Too Promised Land, " into Barack Obama's in box. "This is," says Miller, "the Arab-Israeli peace process for the next six months."
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